Best Of
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
@joshgerstein
Since White House says info in the chat was not classified, seems like @JeffreyGoldberg has the all clear to lay out everything in there....
https://x.com/joshgerstein/status/1904549267336819072
Since White House says info in the chat was not classified, seems like @JeffreyGoldberg has the all clear to lay out everything in there....
https://x.com/joshgerstein/status/1904549267336819072

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Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
We all hope you do!I'll be 91 that year. Gives me a target to keep going for!Perhaps Election 2029 will result the first Liberal majority government since 1906?Even more decent centrists will swing behind the LibDems. As will Lab voters where their candidate will running third.No way. They are as bad as each other and likely to be in coalition.I wonder if we could see Con/Ref battling it out for the lead and Lab/Lib crossover after Reeves' statement tomorrow?When it becomes a Con/Ref race, a lot of decent centrists will have to swing behind Badenoch to stop Farage.
I wouldn't touch either with a bargepole.
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
I'll be 91 that year. Gives me a target to keep going for!Perhaps Election 2029 will result the first Liberal majority government since 1906?Even more decent centrists will swing behind the LibDems. As will Lab voters where their candidate will running third.No way. They are as bad as each other and likely to be in coalition.I wonder if we could see Con/Ref battling it out for the lead and Lab/Lib crossover after Reeves' statement tomorrow?When it becomes a Con/Ref race, a lot of decent centrists will have to swing behind Badenoch to stop Farage.
I wouldn't touch either with a bargepole.
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
Using my one picture of the day.Yeah of course that is what happened. I can imagine the discussion now:I’m not even sure it’s an accidental leakI don't think he gives a shit about Signalgate. He doesn't know anything about it, the Atlantic is a failing rag, etc. There will definitely be no legal or disciplinary consequences for anyone involved.I return to the question Mark asked earlier, "How long will Trump tolerate his cabinet making him look like an idiot?", and the answer is 'a minimum of 4 years' if he is even aware of it@donwinslowI subscribe to the view that Donald Trump’s number one objective is to dominate the news cycle all day and every day. That's a worry when you consider what it will take to do this for four years. I can envisage a time when we come to yearn for the relatively sober early weeks of his tenure when all we had to fret about was him subverting American democracy, ripping up the western alliance, surrendering Ukraine to Vladimir Putin, ethnic cleansing the Palestinians, paralysing world trade, and invading Greenland, Panama and Mexico and Canada.
IF PAST IS PROLOGUE, DONALD TRUMP WILL DO SOMETHING INSANE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO CHANGE THE NEWS CYCLE.
What DJT really cares about is his own personal grandeur and authority. Signalgate doesn't affect him in that way.
It’s quite convenient for the Trump Admin to get out the idea that they are REALLY done with defending Europe
'Tell you what chaps, these Europeans don't seem to have understood the umpteen references to us not wanting to defend them, why don't we all make ourselves liable for a prison sentence and make ourselves look completely incompetent by leaking in advance our plans to bomb an enemy and even give them the possibility to defend themselves and shoot down our planes/missiles, by sneaking in a reference to not liking Europeans which may never see the light of day. What harm can it cause?'
'Yes. What a great idea. Go for it'

[although fear it may have already been posted]
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
About time the Nobel Committee issued a press release.So long as it doesn't dent his chances to win a Nobel Peace Prize he won't care.I don't think he gives a shit about Signalgate. He doesn't know anything about it, the Atlantic is a failing rag, etc. There will definitely be no legal or disciplinary consequences for anyone involved.I return to the question Mark asked earlier, "How long will Trump tolerate his cabinet making him look like an idiot?", and the answer is 'a minimum of 4 years' if he is even aware of it@donwinslowI subscribe to the view that Donald Trump’s number one objective is to dominate the news cycle all day and every day. That's a worry when you consider what it will take to do this for four years. I can envisage a time when we come to yearn for the relatively sober early weeks of his tenure when all we had to fret about was him subverting American democracy, ripping up the western alliance, surrendering Ukraine to Vladimir Putin, ethnic cleansing the Palestinians, paralysing world trade, and invading Greenland, Panama and Mexico and Canada.
IF PAST IS PROLOGUE, DONALD TRUMP WILL DO SOMETHING INSANE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO CHANGE THE NEWS CYCLE.
What DJT really cares about is his own personal grandeur and authority. Signalgate doesn't affect him in that way.
"To the Presdient of the United States:
You are never getting a Peace Prize.
Get over it.
Your chances of one for Economics don't look too rosy either.
The Committee."
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
@donwinslowHow will we tell the difference?
IF PAST IS PROLOGUE, DONALD TRUMP WILL DO SOMETHING INSANE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO CHANGE THE NEWS CYCLE.
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
Amazing, especially as they are totally ignored by sky/BBCThe bouyancy of the Lib Dem support continues to baffle me. It used to be an immutable law of British politics that, six months after a General Election, the Lib Dems would be on about 5%, or roughly half of what they polled.Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (23-24 Mar)LDs will be leading the polls before long. 😊
Lab: 23% (-3 from 16-17 Mar)
Ref: 22% (-2)
Con: 22% (=)
Lib Dem: 16% (+2)
Green: 10% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
Starmer appoints Rishi Sunak’s wife as V&A trusteeA big part of being a trustee for the big museums is publicity and fund raising.
Akshata Murty joins Mariella Frostrup and Vick Hope among new museum appointees
...
Meanwhile, Sir Keir has also approved several new appointments at the British Museum... Its new trustees include Claudia Winkleman, the presenter of the popular television programme The Traitors, along with Martha Kearney, presenter of BBC Radio 4’s The World at One, and Tom Holland, the historian.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/03/24/starmer-appoints-rishi-sunak-wife-v-and-a-trustee-murty-uk/ (£££)
Turns out it is not just President Trump who only appoints people he has seen on telly.
Mrs Sunak will be able to run a pretty fair bake sale.
Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
Second posting
Hello everybody. I've uploaded an essay wot I wrote called "The Matter Of Britain" on the evolution of the nation-state since the Dark Ages. @rcs1000 and @TheScreamingEagles are aware. It is about 1600 words and is within the @ydoethur limit. If the mods agree I'm hoping for a publication for next Sunday. If anybody wants to be a pre-reader just click on "like" and I'll send you a link.
Hello everybody. I've uploaded an essay wot I wrote called "The Matter Of Britain" on the evolution of the nation-state since the Dark Ages. @rcs1000 and @TheScreamingEagles are aware. It is about 1600 words and is within the @ydoethur limit. If the mods agree I'm hoping for a publication for next Sunday. If anybody wants to be a pre-reader just click on "like" and I'll send you a link.

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Re: The Canadian petri dish – politicalbetting.com
I think Vance wants to be hailed as some sort of 'philosopher prince'.He also hates immigration and multiculturalism while being married to the daughter of Indian immigrants. He seems to be quite a conflicted individual.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/25/stunning-signal-leak-reveals-depths-of-trump-administrations-loathing-of-europeVance seems to simultaneously hate his own background and hate the world he has joined.
The weird thing about this regime is that the more they proclaim a white, Christian, European vision of America, the more they hate Europe. There must be some kind of psychology thesis to be written about this.
His writings (see the one that was linked to recently about his conversion to Catholicism) seem to show a need to boast about what he has achieved and what he knows.
More generally Washington resembles a Tudor court more than a modern government.
Trump has all the insecure, grandiose, erratic narcissism of late stage Henry VIII.
Mike Pence / Thomas More as the former favourite who chose his conscience over his master orders.
Vance as the Thomas Cromwell figure - low born and talented but always looked down on by those born to privilege.
The likes of Musk, Rubio, Hegseth scheming for position as the Howards, Seymours and such like did.
There's even a weak ineffective legislature and a threatened judicial system.