Best Of
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
Chinese takeover of Thames Water could be blockedThe UK (Treasury) really needs to get over its “open to anybody and anyone” reflex ideology. It’s self-harming.
Ministers could intervene over fears sale of heavily indebted firm could give Beijing power to ‘switch off the taps’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/11/22/ministers-prepared-to-block-chinese-takeover-thames-water/ (£££)
The government should simply take over Thames Water.
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
I used to have a Russian neighbour in Ynys Môn. Seemed pleasant enough, but he has just been sent to jail for 10.5 years.....
8
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
This is what is always said but it is not really true. For the vast majority troubled by IHT their major asset is their house on which they will have a substantial gain from the time that they bought it. And they have paid no tax on that gain at all. Unless they have bought an annuity the next largest asset is likely to be pension funds. On which they have not only not paid tax but had tax relief. If they own a business then there will be unrealised (and untaxed) capital gains on heritable assets and goodwill. The taxed income people complain about is likely to be a relatively modest contributor to the estate because it is bloody difficult to have meaningful savings out of taxed income in this country, thus maintaining the financial dominance of our ruling class.Have we discussed this woe is me article about inheritance tax..But there is something inherently (if you pardon the pun) unjust about inheritance tax. You are taxed all your life and then taxed when you die. Even though most people will never pay it, though many will be close to touch it with property, it feels instinctively wrong and is why it is largely disliked.
https://inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/money/mum-died-148k-inheritance-tax-bill-robbery-4043112?utm_campaign=social_fb_posts&utm_medium=social&utm_social_handle_id=118077678252869&utm_social_post_id=589120167&utm_source=fb
Yes it's a £150,000 bill but the estate is worth over £1 million - the tax rate is about 12%..
It was Osborne who turned around the fortunes of the floundering Conservative opposition with commitment on Inheritance Tax.
If people are to inherit life changing sums of largely untaxed funds I think the government (on our behalf) is due a cut.
DavidL
8
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
I very much enjoyed reading the article - a real treat.Thanks. I’m sure the West and Ukraine would grudgingly accept a ceasefire on current lines, like Korea.
I don't really agree with the conclusion. The part of the West in this war has been led by the USA behind the scenes, and it was felt that a low level war over a long period would weaken a geostrategic enemy and pull it away from Western Europe. That has been a success, though not necessarily to the advantage of Western Europe to my mind.
To make clear - I am not blaming Russia's calamitous and blood-soaked invasion on the US - that was Russia's decision alone. I am saying that the US was not by any means a bystander in the events that preceded it, and has pursued its own geostrategic ambitons (though they have now changed) in its policy toward it.
But now the US has lost interest. Given this fact, if there is a peace plan, what Europe should really be doing is sweeping up the glass and breathing a sigh of relief.
Regarding the peace plan itself, it seems that what Russia still wants is for what remains of Ukraine to be a weakened, non-NATO aligned country - very similar to its original doctrine. The invasion was an absolutely insane way to go about this - really it failed as soon as they didn't reach Kiev. The outcome was always going to be that Ukraine would be fortified and on a path to NATO accession.
The only solution I can think of that could possibly satisfy Russia is a new country, Eastern Ukraine, to border Russia. It would include Russia's current territorial gains in the war, and Ukraine would have to give up more in the North. The state would be nominally autonomous but would essentially be a Russian protectorate.
In return, the rest Ukraine would be free from territorial dispute, and allowed to join both the EU and NATO.
So Russia would have a buffer, Western Europe would have a buffer, and hopefully that would be a basis upon which peace could be restored.
But, a proposal which requires Ukraine to surrender its fortress belts, and partly disarm, is simply a pause before renewed war.
7
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
In honour of its proponents, I suggest that the Dmitriev-Witkoff proposal should henceforth be called the Dim-Wit Plan
https://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1992520011139936535
https://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1992520011139936535
Nigelb
10
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
Who are the Lords wrecking the bill? Name them.Baroness Finlay of Llandaff, Baroness Grey-Thompson, Lord Carlisle of Berriew, Baroness Coffey, Lord Goodman of Wycombe, Lord Moylan, and Lord Sandhurst, all opponents of the Assisted Dying Bill, have together tabled 617 amendments to it. This clearly goes past just being scrutiny of the Bill and is an obvious attempt to undemocratically derail the Bill.
Here is Baroness Cass making a perfectly reasonable objection to the current legislation
https://x.com/treesey/status/1991868973202452875
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
Trump sees everything as a real estate deal, hence Witkoff as his negotiator.
In reality this deal written by the Russians and passed off as the work of Trump shows quite a lot of acceptance by Russia that they will not achieve their initial war aims. Yes, there are further territorial demands, and restrictions on Ukranian sovereignty, but a long way short of initial demands. Putin knows that he cannot sustain this war much longer, and cannot end it without at least a pretence of victory.
This is an attempt at the treaty of Brest-Litovsk that preceeds the treaty of Versailles, with Putin as Kaiser Bill wanting one last roll of the dice.
Great header Sean, lots to think about.
In reality this deal written by the Russians and passed off as the work of Trump shows quite a lot of acceptance by Russia that they will not achieve their initial war aims. Yes, there are further territorial demands, and restrictions on Ukranian sovereignty, but a long way short of initial demands. Putin knows that he cannot sustain this war much longer, and cannot end it without at least a pretence of victory.
This is an attempt at the treaty of Brest-Litovsk that preceeds the treaty of Versailles, with Putin as Kaiser Bill wanting one last roll of the dice.
Great header Sean, lots to think about.
Foxy
5
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
Trying to force a deal is blowing up in their faces. They will have to back off. The damage this is doing *to the US* is increasingly serious.All manner of fucked up briefing going on in the US.From the senate press conference:
What's pretty clear is that this was essentially a 'plan' written by Russia, which the US tried to force Ukraine into accepting.
Someone in the administration (not entirely clear who) leaked it to Axios.
It was strongly (and publicly after the leak - see his posts on X) advocated for by Vance, and the faction around him, and spun as a plan authored by the US after 'input' from Russia and Ukraine.
We know, obviously, that there was little or no negotiation with Ukraine, and very public talks between the US (Witkoff) and Russia.
And that neither Europe nor the UK were informed or consulted at all.
Once public, there was almost universal outcry and condemnation from Ukraine's allies.
And now Rubio is briefing GOP and Democratic senators this.
King: According to Secretary Rubio, this plan is not the administration’s position — it is essentially the Russians’ wish list that is now being presented to the Europeans and to the Ukrainians.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1992407926037000619
SenatorRounds confirms that the 28 point plan was delivered to @SEPeaceMissions
: "This was a proposal which was received by someone who has identified and they believed to be representing Russia in this proposal. It was given to @SteveWitkoff..
https://x.com/nickschifrin/status/1992364072860582183
And now from the Deputy Spokesman at Rubio's State Department:
This is blatantly false. *
As Secretary Rubio and the entire Administration has consistently maintained, this plan was authored by the United States, with input from both the Russians and Ukrainians.
https://x.com/StateDeputySpox/status/1992400253547651236
*It clearly isn't blatantly false.
Cicero
5
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
That's a cracking article, @Sean_F and I'm so sorry I need to go out even before reading it properly. But thank you & I look forward to reading it later today. You'll probably be on the next thread by then.
Have a good day, everyone.
Have a good day, everyone.
5
Re: Russia Today and the Fremen Mirage – politicalbetting.com
All manner of fucked up briefing going on in the US.
What's pretty clear is that this was essentially a 'plan' written by Russia, which the US tried to force Ukraine into accepting.
Someone in the administration (not entirely clear who) leaked it to Axios.
It was strongly (and publicly after the leak - see his posts on X) advocated for by Vance, and the faction around him, and spun as a plan authored by the US after 'input' from Russia and Ukraine.
We know, obviously, that there was little or no negotiation with Ukraine, and very public talks between the US (Witkoff) and Russia.
And that neither Europe nor the UK were informed or consulted at all.
Once public, there was almost universal outcry and condemnation from Ukraine's allies.
And now Rubio is briefing GOP and Democratic senators this.
King: According to Secretary Rubio, this plan is not the administration’s position — it is essentially the Russians’ wish list that is now being presented to the Europeans and to the Ukrainians.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1992407926037000619
What's pretty clear is that this was essentially a 'plan' written by Russia, which the US tried to force Ukraine into accepting.
Someone in the administration (not entirely clear who) leaked it to Axios.
It was strongly (and publicly after the leak - see his posts on X) advocated for by Vance, and the faction around him, and spun as a plan authored by the US after 'input' from Russia and Ukraine.
We know, obviously, that there was little or no negotiation with Ukraine, and very public talks between the US (Witkoff) and Russia.
And that neither Europe nor the UK were informed or consulted at all.
Once public, there was almost universal outcry and condemnation from Ukraine's allies.
And now Rubio is briefing GOP and Democratic senators this.
King: According to Secretary Rubio, this plan is not the administration’s position — it is essentially the Russians’ wish list that is now being presented to the Europeans and to the Ukrainians.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1992407926037000619
Nigelb
5
