Best Of
Re: Are we about to see the greatest comeback since Lazarus? – politicalbetting.com
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/24/nigel-farage-responds-to-racism-claims-saying-he-never-tried-to-hurt-anybody
Farage still can't own his racist and antisemitic behviour as a teen (should i say "alleged"? It's pretty obvious it's true, unless we think 20 people are making it up). Incredibly weak and weasely response to the allegations. This is a man of very poor character.
Farage still can't own his racist and antisemitic behviour as a teen (should i say "alleged"? It's pretty obvious it's true, unless we think 20 people are making it up). Incredibly weak and weasely response to the allegations. This is a man of very poor character.
Re: Are we about to see the greatest comeback since Lazarus? – politicalbetting.com
Incidentally, I see we've nearly completed step 2 of my 3-step plan for responding to Russian/US capitulation plans for Ukraine:
1) Don't contradict Trump too strongly publicly.
2) Privately insist on reasonable sounding changes to the otherwise excellent plan, knowing Russia will reject them.
3) See Trump get annoyed at Russia for not accepting the revised plan.
I expect we get to step 3 by the weekend, after which the whole thing will be forgotten again for a couple more months.
1) Don't contradict Trump too strongly publicly.
2) Privately insist on reasonable sounding changes to the otherwise excellent plan, knowing Russia will reject them.
3) See Trump get annoyed at Russia for not accepting the revised plan.
I expect we get to step 3 by the weekend, after which the whole thing will be forgotten again for a couple more months.
6
Re: Are we about to see the greatest comeback since Lazarus? – politicalbetting.com
I think Starmer is safer than most people reckon, if only because there is simply no alternative candidate that the PLP, or for that matter LP members, could agree on. Each of the names in the frame has supporters, but none of them (with the possible exception of Burnham, who is ineligible) attracts a sufficiently broad range of support to successfully challenge Starmer.
I've thought for a long time that the most plausible circumstance for Starmer going is of his own volition - he's had enough, family first or whatever. But we're some way off that yet.
I've thought for a long time that the most plausible circumstance for Starmer going is of his own volition - he's had enough, family first or whatever. But we're some way off that yet.
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
Always disconcerting when I completely agree with the likes of Lilico, but he has this one spot on.
Andrew Lilico
@andrew_lilico
·
1h
The point of the "Triple Lock" was that it was supposed to facilitate a period of catch-up in the state pension. When did it switch from that concept - a temporary catch-up phase - to becoming some kind of sacred commitment for all eternity?
https://x.com/andrew_lilico/status/1992907366371828219
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
Andrew Lilico
@andrew_lilico
·
1h
The point of the "Triple Lock" was that it was supposed to facilitate a period of catch-up in the state pension. When did it switch from that concept - a temporary catch-up phase - to becoming some kind of sacred commitment for all eternity?
https://x.com/andrew_lilico/status/1992907366371828219
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
We spend a very similar percentage of GDP as European peers such as Germany and France.How much do you think the NHS costs the average Reform voter at the moment? And is that good value for money?I was being mischievous. I very much doubt the average Reform voters has any clue that their healthcare could cost them £420 a month.Get rid, he's useless.Unfortunately I think UK insurance companies have more in common with those in the USA than with those in Europe. An insurance-based system does seem to work in Europe and my perception is that it's because the companies aren't out to screw the customer for every last penny.
General Election now, and here's the winner. He has some super new plans for the NHS that I think all his voters are going to love.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DO9Sd1MDR1H/?igsh=azFwZWdhcHp1Z2xz
This guy is getting away with blue murder and very few are calling him out. I am particularly disappointed with the Conservatives, they seem to look upon this outrageous clown as a friend and ally on the basis of my enemy's enemy is my friend.
But the median age in those countries is higher than the UK. And health outcomes can be debated, but we're certainly not an obvious leader of the pack.
I think both sides could do with accepting that the NHS isn't as amazing or awful as some imagine.
The US system, by contrast, is objectively awful. Extremely high cost and worse outcomes at an aggregate level.
I imagine there's lots we could learn from where some European nations deliver better value for money than us.
5
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
Elon Musk’s Doge ‘no longer exists’ after contract ended early10,000s lost their federal jobs for no real purpose other than the whims of a very very rich man and his assistant, the president.
Tesla billionaire left White House in April after explosive fallout with Donald Trump and unit has now been disbanded
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/11/24/elon-musk-doge-no-longer-exists-contract-ended-early-usa/ (£££)
f-ing nuts.
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
A friend is something of a polyglot. She gets annoyed with people online who are always looking for One Simple Trick to learn a language quickly. There's no such thing, she says. You just have to put the work in.We spend a very similar percentage of GDP as European peers such as Germany and France.How much do you think the NHS costs the average Reform voter at the moment? And is that good value for money?I was being mischievous. I very much doubt the average Reform voters has any clue that their healthcare could cost them £420 a month.Get rid, he's useless.Unfortunately I think UK insurance companies have more in common with those in the USA than with those in Europe. An insurance-based system does seem to work in Europe and my perception is that it's because the companies aren't out to screw the customer for every last penny.
General Election now, and here's the winner. He has some super new plans for the NHS that I think all his voters are going to love.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DO9Sd1MDR1H/?igsh=azFwZWdhcHp1Z2xz
This guy is getting away with blue murder and very few are calling him out. I am particularly disappointed with the Conservatives, they seem to look upon this outrageous clown as a friend and ally on the basis of my enemy's enemy is my friend.
But the median age in those countries is higher than the UK. And health outcomes can be debated, but we're certainly not an obvious leader of the pack.
I think both sides could do with accepting that the NHS isn't as amazing or awful as some imagine.
The US system, by contrast, is objectively awful. Extremely high cost and worse outcomes at an aggregate level.
I imagine there's lots we could learn from where some European nations deliver better value for money than us.
I feel the same about healthcare policy. People want One Simple Trick to deliver better healthcare at less cost. It doesn't exist. Yes, there are plenty of small things you can do. The healthcare policy research literature is full of international comparisons and proposals, and the NHS is constantly looking at these, piloting schemes and making changes. But switching to, say, the German healthcare system isn't going to spectacularly change the underlying challenges: healthcare costs money and the population is ageing. The research suggests that, more or less, the different delivery systems across Europe don't make that much difference, but the amount you spend does.
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
Oh, I think the Greens are slightly more resilient than that.A few months ago, we were all saying how Your Party would be so damaging for Labour.If Sultana jumps to the Greens then it is all over I reckon.
Nigelb
6
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
The Soviets were very fond of using “active measures” during the Cold War to destabilise their enemies. The Soviets often took an agnostic, opportunistic approach to internal politics in target countries. Their goal was not to promote a coherent ideology everywhere, but to amplify whatever tensions already existed, regardless of political alignment, as long as it undermined their adversaries.Now that Xitter is revealing the locations of various accounts, a swathe of cultural rightish accounts have been revealed to be be (in come cases quite sophisticated) Russian disinfo mills.This is where we need Leon's TwiX expertise.
Has anyone spotted equivalent leftish accounts who also turn out to be located in Eastern Europe / the Russian Federation? Russia is notorious for playing both sides of cultural conflicts in the countries they target.
The “active measures” they employed were dialectical. Ideologically agnostic. They wanted to exploit existing fractures. Not create new ones.
There’s no reason to believe this strategy is any different now.


