Best Of
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Given what we've learnt today, it's hardly surprising that Starmer's voice coaching was largely ineffective.
It doesn't really work when you're both wearing masks.
It doesn't really work when you're both wearing masks.
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
I think we’re already at the point that the existing models break down because we are so far outside of the precedents.If you put 30.8% RefUK into Electoral Calculus you get a majority if Lab are on 22.5% and Tories 20.5%.I have no idea about this, but Goodwin says somewhere that the national polling figure which would open up the sunlit uplands for Reform is 31% unless other things changed and one other party also soared ahead from their present position. I don't think that can be marked down as impossible.Matt Goodwin's polling might not be so bad after all.Reform is probably tied or ahead. However, structurally they are against a tactically well balanced Labour - Lib Dem vote, while their own vote appears not to be well-balanced with the Conservatives, so I would assume Labour would remain ahead on seats. But of course all this is as academic as March 2021 polling.
"Reform have topped a Sky News/YouGov poll for the first time as the party continues to shake up British politics. Nigel Farage's Reform UK has edged in front on 25%, with Labour pushed into second on 24% and the Tories on 21%. The YouGov poll, taken on Sunday and Monday, also puts the Lib Dems on 14% and Greens on 9%."
https://news.sky.com/story/reform-uk-tops-landmark-poll-for-first-time-13302531
FWIW I suspect Reform (who I don't support and won't vote for) would do well for themselves at the moment by keeping out of overseas politics altogether. It is likely that in 2029 they will do best by having no relationship with Trumpism in the public mind. But it is also possible that in 2029 Trumpism will be the flavour of the month. They should wait and see, and tack to the centre while maintaining a policy of very low migration and uncosted delusional economic unicornery. (Which by then will be a stronger version of what Lab/Con will be offering).
biggles
5
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Asda equal pay claim. Mainly upheld. Asda will appeal. Quite how they will pay for it given their current financial position remains to be seen.I don't like courts deciding pay equivalence like this.
https://www.itv.com/news/2025-02-03/historic-equal-pay-win-for-tens-of-thousands-of-asda-workers
Equal pay legislation should be governing people being paid equally for the same job. Male vs female as warehouse workers, for example. Not two distinct jobs, just because there is a gender bias between different roles and the market rate differs
If the case, the law should be rewritten to stop it happening in the future.
Ratters
5
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Wait, Starmer had a voice coach? What on earth did he sound like before? 
Selebian
5
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
It sounds like there are serious questions to answer about the Sheffield stabbing. The perpetrator had apparently previously taken a machete into school and threatened to stab another student.On latest figures, there are 244 knife homicides per year in the UK. That's one of the lowest rates in the whole world (per capita). It's half the rate they have in Germany, and a third of the rate they have in the Netherlands. The rate is five times higher in Puerto Rico and nearly seven times higher in the US. It's about eight times higher in Romania. Maybe it's worth reflecting that, while each such death is a tragedy, we are doing well overall as a nation.
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Scott_xP
10
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Czech beavers build planned dams in protected landscape area, while local officials were still seeking permits
https://english.radio.cz/beavers-build-planned-dams-protected-landscape-area-while-local-officials-still-8841536
"The beavers saved us 30 million Czech korunas. They built the dams without any project documentation—and for free," said the head of the nature reserve administration.
https://english.radio.cz/beavers-build-planned-dams-protected-landscape-area-while-local-officials-still-8841536
"The beavers saved us 30 million Czech korunas. They built the dams without any project documentation—and for free," said the head of the nature reserve administration.
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
https://www.skyatnightmagazine.com/space-science/asteroid-2024-yr4No. Not going to happen. It would be like Forest losing five nil and then winning seven nil.
Sigh…
One percent chance but it’s been that sort of a decade hasn’t it?
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
Given what we've learnt today, it's hardly surprising that Starmer's voice coaching was largely ineffective."Let's get ready to mumble!"
It doesn't really work when you're both wearing masks.
Re: If today you’re confidently predicting the next general election result… – politicalbetting.com
With all due respect, William, so what?...There was someone who was definitely a genuine California liberal posting a photo of one of the DOGE team and saying he will be “popular in prison”.A wake up call for anyone who thinks that opponents of Trump are all good guys.You'd make a crap Scooby Doo and Shaggy, You are believing the bad guy's dodgy alibis.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1886501169154957587
r/WhitePeopleTwitter is now calling for the public execution of the DOGE software developers
There are going to be nutters of all flavours and colours who call for people to be locked up and shot.
rcs1000
7