I do think Reform will find it hard to find a winning coalition with their support for Putin.I think the general public are less interested than the PB armchair regiment.
What it will do is stop further Con to Reform switchers in my humble opinion.Do we know if there are any polls coming out soon with post-ambush fieldwork?I doubt Reform will be particularly hit by this. I cant see the sort of person who would opt for Reform in an opinion poll suddenly not opting for them just because of a bit of Trump/Vance idiocy. Having said that, I visited some right-wing relatives last weekend and they were incandescent about Trump's behaviour over Ukraine. Nevertheless, Reform should be fairly well shielded all the while Nigel is still in control.
If Reform's polling share survives that then we really do have something interesting on our hands.
They can now destroy the remains of Russia's hydrocarbons industry in less than 4 months. The more they take out, the more concentrated their fire on what remains. It is already down to 80-85% capacity. It really will not take much more to break Putin's economy.Yes. Zelensky seems pretty confident Ukraine can hurt Russia badly enough to force a peace, even without US help. If Europe keeps up the money supply Ukraine is just going to continue hammering Russia's oil infrastructure, you can't exactly hide a refinery and drones are cheap when you're building thousands of them.
Quite. The fact that Putin started a war that has killed well over 200,000 people shouldn't prejudice us against his peaceful intentions.Dear God, This was the post I replied to:The original post that I replied to - and where you responded to me - talked about genocide and you responded with a straw man on 200,000+ deathsThis conversation is showing you up to be a complete loon. I questioned a claim that Putin would slaughter hundreds of thousands post-"surrender". Now I am apparently twisting the meaning of genocide by using the frames of reference given in the original post?It was in the other post line to which you originally replied on. But of course truth doesn’t matter to you. Just your master’s bidding.Maybe you could actually READ you daft fuckwit - I was asking for John Lilburne's explanation of his supposition that hundreds of thousands would be killed if Ukraine surrendered. Genocide wasn't mentioned.May be we can work to the internationally accepted definition of “genocide” rather than the pretendy straw man made up by aI can well believe that they plan to do allHistorically, conquering armies have had little trouble in massacring civilians.Well given that you seem to think that's what you've been doing, perhaps you will favour us with an explanation of how demographically challenged Russia, having achieved all its territorial ambitions, is going to slaughter 200,000+ innocents.Not for anyone who has been paying attention for the last decadeI think this probably needs a bit of an accompanying explainer?Trump doesn't want the killing to stop. He wants Ukraine to surrender, after which hundreds of thousands will be killed by Russia. Stopping the war doesn't bringAnd that is a legitimate view, if misguided in my mind. It means thousands more deaths of people that are not you or your family but so be it. Trump's is that he wants the killing to stop. With all the compromises that involves. Why is that view so reprehensible.Eventually, yes.Do you think what is happening now (what you want to continue with) is going to allow Ukraine to defeat Russia.Who said anything about the EU? Or war with Russia?What jobs will guarantee exemption from being called up to fight in this proposed EU war against Russia?I would like to see Europe get its shit together in the next 24 hours.I mean I've only seen the highlights but surely Trump is simply taking a side in one of the oldest and most difficult dilemmas. What is worth giving up to stop the killing.Yes, he’s decided that giving up Ukraine is worth it to stem the expense to the US.
Why is dealing with that impossible question so reprehensible.
We see it in aid all the time (enable/support the tyrants to get food to the citizens..)
The democratically elected government of Ukraine - along with the opposition, judging by their public comments yesterday, disagree.
Chuck into the mix Europe’s future security, which the US has apparently decided is no longer a matter for them, then a polite no thanks is in order.
No skin in the game, no say.
All that, of course, is predicated on Europe getting its shit together over the next few days and weeks.
The billions the UK promised yesterday are a good start.
Lets show the Americans we can help defeat Russia with or without them - but if its without them, they don't get a say in what happens afterwards.
I'll get my lads writing their job applications out ASAP.
Russia is a small country, it is smaller than Italy economically. It is not some mighty bear that we should be afraid of.
Ukraine is able to defeat Russia with our backing, we have no reason or need to go to war, just continue to support Ukraine.
peace, it enables genocide.
In Ukraine, we have detailed, criminal case grade evidence of murders, expulsions and kidnapping of children in the areas occupied by Russia. En masse.9
In addition, the original plans for the Russian invasion were captured. They included mass arrests of the political and intellectual classes, as part of a plan to eliminate the idea of Ukraine as a separate state to Russia, culturally.
So you need to explain why you think that the Russians would behave differently in any areas of the Ukraine they conquer from
now, to the way they behaved (and planned to behave) in those they have conquered.
those horrible things. But none of them amount to killing hundreds of thousands, or anything like. That's why I asked for an explanation, and why I wasn't surprised not to get one.
Russian sympathising conspiracy theorist such as yourself?
As for 'my master's bidding' - I don't have a master, and that allows me to speak as I find. Perhaps you should think about who has benefitted you, and how that has informed your own viewpoint, because your above post reads like classic projection to me.
I know that you have consistently parroted Russian propaganda lines from MH17 onward. But I forget you are a truth seeker who treats all statements by western governments with scepticism. And yet, somehow, you always end up sharing the same position as the Russians.
But you’re right. I’ve no evidence that you are paid by the Russians. May be you are just a fool instead.
Trump doesn't want the killing to stop. He wants Ukraine to surrender, after which hundreds of thousands will be killed by Russia. Stopping the war doesn't bring
peace, it enables genocide.
200,000+ is the minimum number that that comment could have been referring to. So it wasn't any kind of 'straw man' - it was a conservative summation of the statement I took issue with.
Sigh.Because there's a war?The deliberate, documented killings in the occupied areas run in to tens of thousands. Given that is 20% of the country, what do you expect in the other 80%?I can well believe that they plan to do all those horrible things. But none of them amount to killing hundreds of thousands, or anything like. That's why I asked for an explanation, and why I wasn't surprised not to get one.Historically, conquering armies have had little trouble in massacring civilians.Well given that you seem to think that's what you've been doing, perhaps you will favour us with an explanation of how demographically challenged Russia, having achieved all its territorial ambitions, is going to slaughter 200,000+ innocents.Not for anyone who has been paying attention for the last decadeI think this probably needs a bit of an accompanying explainer?Trump doesn't want the killing to stop. He wants Ukraine to surrender, after which hundreds of thousands will be killed by Russia. Stopping the war doesn't bringAnd that is a legitimate view, if misguided in my mind. It means thousands more deaths of people that are not you or your family but so be it. Trump's is that he wants the killing to stop. With all the compromises that involves. Why is that view so reprehensible.Eventually, yes.Do you think what is happening now (what you want to continue with) is going to allow Ukraine to defeat Russia.Who said anything about the EU? Or war with Russia?What jobs will guarantee exemption from being called up to fight in this proposed EU war against Russia?I would like to see Europe get its shit together in the next 24 hours.I mean I've only seen the highlights but surely Trump is simply taking a side in one of the oldest and most difficult dilemmas. What is worth giving up to stop the killing.Yes, he’s decided that giving up Ukraine is worth it to stem the expense to the US.
Why is dealing with that impossible question so reprehensible.
We see it in aid all the time (enable/support the tyrants to get food to the citizens..)
The democratically elected government of Ukraine - along with the opposition, judging by their public comments yesterday, disagree.
Chuck into the mix Europe’s future security, which the US has apparently decided is no longer a matter for them, then a polite no thanks is in order.
No skin in the game, no say.
All that, of course, is predicated on Europe getting its shit together over the next few days and weeks.
The billions the UK promised yesterday are a good start.
Lets show the Americans we can help defeat Russia with or without them - but if its without them, they don't get a say in what happens afterwards.
I'll get my lads writing their job applications out ASAP.
Russia is a small country, it is smaller than Italy economically. It is not some mighty bear that we should be afraid of.
Ukraine is able to defeat Russia with our backing, we have no reason or need to go to war, just continue to support Ukraine.
peace, it enables genocide.
In Ukraine, we have detailed, criminal case grade evidence of murders, expulsions and kidnapping of children in the areas occupied by Russia. En masse.9
In addition, the original plans for the Russian invasion were captured. They included mass arrests of the political and intellectual classes, as part of a plan to eliminate the idea of Ukraine as a separate state to Russia, culturally.
So you need to explain why you think that the Russians would behave differently in any areas of the Ukraine they conquer from now, to the way they behaved (and planned to behave) in those they have conquered.
Musk's latest 'contribution' to the Ukraine debateWhat upsets Musk is that the people being run over are Russian soldiers.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1896148096075305046