Best Of
Re: Voters don’t like Farage’s Taliban tax – politicalbetting.com
I have a friend who did a Masters in Egyptology. But she couldn't find work. So now she's studying for a PhD to teach others.Intelligence and self radicalising into weird conspiracy theories can go together.I thought you said he was fairly intelligent.I had a friend, fairly intelligent, had a wonderful wife and three kids, was convinced Covid was a hoax and the vaccine was going to control/kill us all.I knew a man very well who died of Covid, because of his refusal to be "injected with poisons". He was a law graduate, from Trinity Hall, Cambridge, and I found it hard to fathom such stupidity.A mixture of some recent arrivals and some very middle class people who won’t allow poisons to be injected into them or their kids, the sort that believe in homeopathy.London factor?Based on the anecdotes of my father’s ex-colleagues there’s a London factor and a white working class factor across the UK.None of main childhood vaccine uptake targets reached in England - as MMR uptake hits 15-year lowIt would be interesting to know which areas of the country are most responsible for the drop in vaccination, assuming it isn't uniform.
The uptake target for all childhood vaccines is 95% - but one of the main pre-school boosters has been administered to just over 80% of five-year-olds.
https://news.sky.com/story/none-of-main-childhood-vaccine-uptake-targets-reached-in-england-as-mmr-uptake-hits-15-year-low-13419867
I guess this means no sneering at America.
Antivax sentiment has increased since the pandemic, there’s a lot of misinformation out there, it’s much worse than the Andrew Wakefield bullshit.
Doctors are getting regularly abused when they suggest to some parents that their kids need their vaccines.
Got into a row with his friends and family, some of whom had friends/family who died from Covid.
Told his wife he would divorce her and would never see his kids if they got vaccinated.
Well he’s divorced now, hasn’t seen his kids in four years, I’d like to blame social media, but it wasn’t that, he was just convinced by his own arguments.
He went from earning a six figure salary, to being unemployed and living in a small one bedroom flat.
From what I hear he was sacked from his job for being abusive to the vaccinated.
Knew a chap who had a PhD in Art History. Urbane, polite. Went full MAGA + QANON
I'm beginning to suspect the entire subject is an elaborate pyramid scheme.
Re: Avoiding Lucy – politicalbetting.com
As a young man, one quote that had a profound impact on me and made me a Conservative and makes me recoil from the modern day Tory party is this one, Mrs Thatcher would be disgusted at the modern day Tory party.You get the dissonance nicely shown in some of the Philip Kerr cycle of novels about Bernie Gunther - especially during Gunther's service on the Eastern Front. The contrast with the respect for the law and what was happening ...About 20 years ago I read an interview with a documentary maker and he was planning on doing a dramatisation of the People’s Court after the July 20th plot but decided not to because when they read the transcripts they thought the audience would assume scenes like this were an exaggeration.The disturbing thing about Freisler - and other Nazi jurists - is that they were all highly qualified. He had a doctorate in law, from a good university. Which in turn, made it very easy for many of them to move seamlessly back into civilian life at the war's end.Judge Connolly, the first appointment of PM Farage to his new 'Peoples Supreme Court' after his general election wing of 2029.She’d be the worse judge since Roland Freisler.
You heard it here first!
Remember that bit in Conspiracy, when Klopfer asks how many lawyers are present, and more than half raise their hands.
At one point, Freisler yelled at Field Marshal Erwin von Witzleben, who was trying to hold up his trousers after being purposely given old, oversized and beltless clothing: "You dirty old man, why do you keep fiddling with your trousers?"
‘The legal system we have and the rule of law are far more responsible for our traditional liberties than any system of one man one vote. Any country or government which wants to proceed towards tyranny starts to undermine legal rights and undermine the law.’
Re: Avoiding Lucy – politicalbetting.com
Have we done this?Tell-all books about royalty are, of course, famously fact-based.
The Queen was a Remainer: her secret views on Brexit revealed
In his new book, Power and the Palace, the former Times royal correspondent Valentine Low uncovers the secretive relationship between the monarchy and government. Speaking to Palace aides, politicians and civil servants, he reveals the private side of Queen Elizabeth II
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/queen-remainer-power-politics-palace-vc6dlmkzt
Re: Avoiding Lucy – politicalbetting.com
FFS. Earlier I suggested posting about Lucy C******** was so f'ing boring that the mods should consider drawing a line in the sand.
Now there's a flaming header on her. Tut.
Now there's a flaming header on her. Tut.
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
Epping Council seem useless , how long does it take to deal with a planning application ?The appeal ruling will probably be highly unpopular, but it does appear correct as a matter of law.
The judges seem to be suggesting that mob rule shouldn’t be allowed to affect the law .
The original high court judge seems to have really screwed up making a number of errors .
Which is after all the judges' job.
Anyone who blames the judges, rather than the government, is plain wrong.
Nigelb
7
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
It is outweighed by the undesirability of incentivising protestsThe point of that is that protests should not have a chilling effect on the interpretation of the law. So, a court refusing your appeal against refusal of an extension should not be swayed by your neighbour threatening to picket your street if they don't get their way.
This is a deeply weird line tbh.
@Dougseal Yes. Of course everyone knows the substantive issues are due to be heard in October; well I do/did at any rate.
DougSeal
5
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
There is a difference between hitting workers at a plant that is intimately connected with Russia's war economy, and hitting tower blocks where people are sleeping.Who the fuck do you think works at that refinery in Saratov that Ukraine droned last week? Spetsnaz?The Atlantic reports Trump is ‘disappointed’ with Zelensky & Europe, calling their demands unrealistic. He just wants the war over ‘no matter how’, even if it means Ukraine losing land. Now he pushes for a Putin-Zelensky summit only if he’s at the table.A Ukraine peace deal was too hard, he got bored and has moved onto other topics.
To me, Trump is openly aligning with Putin, eroding any trust in the US government.
https://x.com/olddog100ua/status/1961295032167629191
It's shameful he is so neutral on this while civilians are targeted by Russia in Kyiv.
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
False equivalence there. Russia has very clearly been a lot more indiscriminate in its targeting of civilians than Ukraine has.Who the fuck do you think works at that refinery in Saratov that Ukraine droned last week? Spetsnaz?The Atlantic reports Trump is ‘disappointed’ with Zelensky & Europe, calling their demands unrealistic. He just wants the war over ‘no matter how’, even if it means Ukraine losing land. Now he pushes for a Putin-Zelensky summit only if he’s at the table.A Ukraine peace deal was too hard, he got bored and has moved onto other topics.
To me, Trump is openly aligning with Putin, eroding any trust in the US government.
https://x.com/olddog100ua/status/1961295032167629191
It's shameful he is so neutral on this while civilians are targeted by Russia in Kyiv.
8
Re: I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
Latest report about the Nordstream sabotage investigations:I should expect so, they are at war having been invaded and they are our allies whom we are trying to defend.
https://www.tagesschau.de/investigativ/nord-stream-sabotage-104.html
Investigators seem pretty sure they know the names of the Ukrainians who did it, and they have evidence of Ukrainian state involvement.
Putinists might be outraged at the damage, however screw them.
The named individuals should be getting awarded medals for a job well done.
Re: I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
I have to apologise to Luckyguy.
While his suggestions regarding QE were economically eccentric, and essentially ignored the costs of what he was proposing, the recent sharp rise in interest rates has somewhat changed the situation. And while his remedy might well have been as bad as the problem he was seeking to address, he was quite right to identify a large problem which the rest of us really didn't.
In the environment, the BoE continuing its program of steadily unwinding QE (something which theEU and the US aren't doing) effectively means that it takes very large losses on its continuing gilt sales - which also help depress market prices, and create something of a downward spiral.
Also the banks are now making outsize profits (something never intended) by virtue of the scheme.
The IPPR has a report out which makes some much more sensible, and quite simple suggestions to address those two things.
You can download the full report here:
https://www.ippr.org/articles/fixing-the-leak
..after a period of making significant profits on this programme, the Bank of England is now making record losses, which is historically very unusual for central banks. The Treasury is paying for these losses, making the UK an international outlier, and the sums involved are staggering: Bank of England losses will cost the taxpayer £22 billion a year in every year of this parliament.
These losses come from two sources: valuation losses from selling government bonds below purchase value; and interest rate losses.
In this report we recommend a two-pronged approach to address this issue.
First, to recoup interest rate losses for the taxpayer currently occurring at the Bank of England, the government should implement a ‘QE reserves income levy’ on commercial banks.
Second, the government should urge the Bank of England to review and better manage the fiscal implications of its policies, in particular slowing the pace of the unwinding of quantitative easing – so-called quantitative tightening – and any future quantitative easing.
Seems like a no brainer for a Chancellor desperate for cash.
With very little downside.
While his suggestions regarding QE were economically eccentric, and essentially ignored the costs of what he was proposing, the recent sharp rise in interest rates has somewhat changed the situation. And while his remedy might well have been as bad as the problem he was seeking to address, he was quite right to identify a large problem which the rest of us really didn't.
In the environment, the BoE continuing its program of steadily unwinding QE (something which theEU and the US aren't doing) effectively means that it takes very large losses on its continuing gilt sales - which also help depress market prices, and create something of a downward spiral.
Also the banks are now making outsize profits (something never intended) by virtue of the scheme.
The IPPR has a report out which makes some much more sensible, and quite simple suggestions to address those two things.
You can download the full report here:
https://www.ippr.org/articles/fixing-the-leak
..after a period of making significant profits on this programme, the Bank of England is now making record losses, which is historically very unusual for central banks. The Treasury is paying for these losses, making the UK an international outlier, and the sums involved are staggering: Bank of England losses will cost the taxpayer £22 billion a year in every year of this parliament.
These losses come from two sources: valuation losses from selling government bonds below purchase value; and interest rate losses.
In this report we recommend a two-pronged approach to address this issue.
First, to recoup interest rate losses for the taxpayer currently occurring at the Bank of England, the government should implement a ‘QE reserves income levy’ on commercial banks.
Second, the government should urge the Bank of England to review and better manage the fiscal implications of its policies, in particular slowing the pace of the unwinding of quantitative easing – so-called quantitative tightening – and any future quantitative easing.
Seems like a no brainer for a Chancellor desperate for cash.
With very little downside.
Nigelb
5



