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Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

This must increase chances of Badenoch staying in place to the GE.

MikeL

5

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

She thinks raising the 2 child benefit cap is popular.

In fact, it's massively unpopular - even with Labour voters.

MikeL

8

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

For all the attacks on the Telegraph they seen to have forecast this budget fairly accurately

I'm astonished. Mea Culpa and all that.

But only because "thats fucking crazy that can't be right" is replaced by "they are fucking crazy"

RochdalePioneers

6

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

Labour MPs wildly cheering a massively unpopular announcement - which will lose them votes.

MikeL

6

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

Child benefit cap gone. I think this is the sum total of what this budget is about. Shore up Starmer and Reeves’ position and defer the sensible decisions for another day.

For another government.

They've got a working majority of 169 and they're a lame duck government that can't make any sensible decisions.

Pathetic.

BartholomewRoberts

6

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

Regardless of the content, or the voice, given the huge amount of pressure Reeves is under, her delivery was absolutely fine, and surprisingly confident.
Quite impressive under the circumstances.

Northern_Al

5

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

Seems like an absolutely awful budget to me.

Not remotely tackled the hard decisions, like combining tax and NI, or reforming property taxes just jacking up a new tax on top.

And for everyone mocking the Telegraph etc for all the reported kites, it seems every awful idea leaked has been approved.

BartholomewRoberts

5

Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com

Lower Thames Crossing going ahead - let's hope it actually does.
I agree. Thamesmead has been snakebit by a lack of rail linkage for decades. Apparently the rail extension is going ahead.
Be nice if she made some similar commitments outside of London. A brief statement on TRU - which is already happening - and a vague statement of support without commitment on NPR. Not really enough. But maybe there's no room in the speech for detail.

The Treasury only cares about London because their internal rules on measuring return on investment woefully underestimate the demand for transport. We’ve seen it again and again in recent times - a new transport link finally opens and “surprise!” demand for it turns out to be 5x the original predictions. This persistent error leads them to believe that transport investment only delivers a return in London, and not anywhere else in the country.

You’d think by now they ought to have noticed that their models are shit - presumably there’s some Treasury-specific ideological reason that prevents them from doing so.