Best Of
Re: Avoiding Lucy – politicalbetting.com
FFS. Earlier I suggested posting about Lucy C******** was so f'ing boring that the mods should consider drawing a line in the sand.
Now there's a flaming header on her. Tut.
Now there's a flaming header on her. Tut.
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
Epping Council seem useless , how long does it take to deal with a planning application ?The appeal ruling will probably be highly unpopular, but it does appear correct as a matter of law.
The judges seem to be suggesting that mob rule shouldn’t be allowed to affect the law .
The original high court judge seems to have really screwed up making a number of errors .
Which is after all the judges' job.
Anyone who blames the judges, rather than the government, is plain wrong.
Nigelb
7
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
It is outweighed by the undesirability of incentivising protestsThe point of that is that protests should not have a chilling effect on the interpretation of the law. So, a court refusing your appeal against refusal of an extension should not be swayed by your neighbour threatening to picket your street if they don't get their way.
This is a deeply weird line tbh.
@Dougseal Yes. Of course everyone knows the substantive issues are due to be heard in October; well I do/did at any rate.
DougSeal
5
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
There is a difference between hitting workers at a plant that is intimately connected with Russia's war economy, and hitting tower blocks where people are sleeping.Who the fuck do you think works at that refinery in Saratov that Ukraine droned last week? Spetsnaz?The Atlantic reports Trump is ‘disappointed’ with Zelensky & Europe, calling their demands unrealistic. He just wants the war over ‘no matter how’, even if it means Ukraine losing land. Now he pushes for a Putin-Zelensky summit only if he’s at the table.A Ukraine peace deal was too hard, he got bored and has moved onto other topics.
To me, Trump is openly aligning with Putin, eroding any trust in the US government.
https://x.com/olddog100ua/status/1961295032167629191
It's shameful he is so neutral on this while civilians are targeted by Russia in Kyiv.
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
False equivalence there. Russia has very clearly been a lot more indiscriminate in its targeting of civilians than Ukraine has.Who the fuck do you think works at that refinery in Saratov that Ukraine droned last week? Spetsnaz?The Atlantic reports Trump is ‘disappointed’ with Zelensky & Europe, calling their demands unrealistic. He just wants the war over ‘no matter how’, even if it means Ukraine losing land. Now he pushes for a Putin-Zelensky summit only if he’s at the table.A Ukraine peace deal was too hard, he got bored and has moved onto other topics.
To me, Trump is openly aligning with Putin, eroding any trust in the US government.
https://x.com/olddog100ua/status/1961295032167629191
It's shameful he is so neutral on this while civilians are targeted by Russia in Kyiv.
8
Re: I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
Latest report about the Nordstream sabotage investigations:I should expect so, they are at war having been invaded and they are our allies whom we are trying to defend.
https://www.tagesschau.de/investigativ/nord-stream-sabotage-104.html
Investigators seem pretty sure they know the names of the Ukrainians who did it, and they have evidence of Ukrainian state involvement.
Putinists might be outraged at the damage, however screw them.
The named individuals should be getting awarded medals for a job well done.
Re: I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
I have to apologise to Luckyguy.
While his suggestions regarding QE were economically eccentric, and essentially ignored the costs of what he was proposing, the recent sharp rise in interest rates has somewhat changed the situation. And while his remedy might well have been as bad as the problem he was seeking to address, he was quite right to identify a large problem which the rest of us really didn't.
In the environment, the BoE continuing its program of steadily unwinding QE (something which theEU and the US aren't doing) effectively means that it takes very large losses on its continuing gilt sales - which also help depress market prices, and create something of a downward spiral.
Also the banks are now making outsize profits (something never intended) by virtue of the scheme.
The IPPR has a report out which makes some much more sensible, and quite simple suggestions to address those two things.
You can download the full report here:
https://www.ippr.org/articles/fixing-the-leak
..after a period of making significant profits on this programme, the Bank of England is now making record losses, which is historically very unusual for central banks. The Treasury is paying for these losses, making the UK an international outlier, and the sums involved are staggering: Bank of England losses will cost the taxpayer £22 billion a year in every year of this parliament.
These losses come from two sources: valuation losses from selling government bonds below purchase value; and interest rate losses.
In this report we recommend a two-pronged approach to address this issue.
First, to recoup interest rate losses for the taxpayer currently occurring at the Bank of England, the government should implement a ‘QE reserves income levy’ on commercial banks.
Second, the government should urge the Bank of England to review and better manage the fiscal implications of its policies, in particular slowing the pace of the unwinding of quantitative easing – so-called quantitative tightening – and any future quantitative easing.
Seems like a no brainer for a Chancellor desperate for cash.
With very little downside.
While his suggestions regarding QE were economically eccentric, and essentially ignored the costs of what he was proposing, the recent sharp rise in interest rates has somewhat changed the situation. And while his remedy might well have been as bad as the problem he was seeking to address, he was quite right to identify a large problem which the rest of us really didn't.
In the environment, the BoE continuing its program of steadily unwinding QE (something which theEU and the US aren't doing) effectively means that it takes very large losses on its continuing gilt sales - which also help depress market prices, and create something of a downward spiral.
Also the banks are now making outsize profits (something never intended) by virtue of the scheme.
The IPPR has a report out which makes some much more sensible, and quite simple suggestions to address those two things.
You can download the full report here:
https://www.ippr.org/articles/fixing-the-leak
..after a period of making significant profits on this programme, the Bank of England is now making record losses, which is historically very unusual for central banks. The Treasury is paying for these losses, making the UK an international outlier, and the sums involved are staggering: Bank of England losses will cost the taxpayer £22 billion a year in every year of this parliament.
These losses come from two sources: valuation losses from selling government bonds below purchase value; and interest rate losses.
In this report we recommend a two-pronged approach to address this issue.
First, to recoup interest rate losses for the taxpayer currently occurring at the Bank of England, the government should implement a ‘QE reserves income levy’ on commercial banks.
Second, the government should urge the Bank of England to review and better manage the fiscal implications of its policies, in particular slowing the pace of the unwinding of quantitative easing – so-called quantitative tightening – and any future quantitative easing.
Seems like a no brainer for a Chancellor desperate for cash.
With very little downside.
Nigelb
5
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
I prefer this to anything by Gerard Manley Hopkins.On other local news:The CCN based their
The UK government did not do its own analysis of the cost of the biggest reorganisation of councils in England for decades, the BBC has learned.
Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner said "a significant amount of money" could be saved by merging councils in 21 areas into single authorities.
Rayner's department, the ministry of local government, based its cost estimates on a 2020 report commissioned by the County Council Network (CCN) that said £2.9bn could be saved over five years.
But the CCN has since revised its analysis and now says the reorganisation could make no savings and actually cost money in some scenarios.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj9wxnlnrxdo
I wonder how much time Rayner spends doing her job compared to her own housing dealings:
Angela Rayner, the deputy prime minister, has been accused of avoiding £40,000 in stamp duty on her new flat by the sea after she told authorities it was her primary residence.
Rayner, who is also the secretary of state for housing, communities and local government, was said to have removed her name from the official deed to her house in Greater Manchester weeks before buying an £800,000 flat in Hove, East Sussex.
According to The Telegraph, Rayner would have had to pay £70,000 in stamp duty on a second property, so the change saved her £40,000. She is thought to have paid only £30,000.
She also told Tameside council in Greater Manchester that the house in her constituency was still her main home, before telling Brighton and Hove council that her new flat was her second home, which would change her status for council tax.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-avoided-40000-stamp-duty-on-new-seaside-flat-76m7g6zkb
As we know Rayner has a long history of dubious housing transactions.
projections on single unitary
authorities replacing county
council areas and the district
councils in those areas.
However it looks like up to
three unitary councils per
county council area and
district councils pushing for at least that
boulay
5
Re: I cannot see how an election takes place this year or the next – politicalbetting.com
I don’t understand your weird rules re stamp duty. It is reported that Angela Rayner has declared her new pad in Hove as her main residence in order to reduce the potential stamp duty amount.
How is it that the tax authorities do not reject this as they could make the argument that she owns a house in her constituency, where her job is tied to, represents as an MP and the other part of her job is covered by work provided accommodation and so there is no argument that can reasonably be used to say that the Hove apartment is her main home.
And if she argued that she will be spending most of her time in Hove then surely her constituents/employers should have a say if they are happy with that.
I’m guessing loads of MPs of all stripes do this.
Do HMRC not question this? Is it a rule that needs fixing? It might be that it’s a good thing as it greases the wheels of the market and economy but seems a bit odd that you can just change which is your main home and HMRC have to accept it when it’s very questionable.
How is it that the tax authorities do not reject this as they could make the argument that she owns a house in her constituency, where her job is tied to, represents as an MP and the other part of her job is covered by work provided accommodation and so there is no argument that can reasonably be used to say that the Hove apartment is her main home.
And if she argued that she will be spending most of her time in Hove then surely her constituents/employers should have a say if they are happy with that.
I’m guessing loads of MPs of all stripes do this.
Do HMRC not question this? Is it a rule that needs fixing? It might be that it’s a good thing as it greases the wheels of the market and economy but seems a bit odd that you can just change which is your main home and HMRC have to accept it when it’s very questionable.
boulay
5
Re: What future for hyper-local TV news? – politicalbetting.com
The "real story" is how a minor incident that would barely reach a local newspaper in decades past became a worldwide moral panic about asylum seekers attacking young Scottish girls (despite the fact no asylum seekers was involved, and the male involved was a Christian).Can you summarise or provide links so I can understand what the “real story” is?And they are still doing it, and digging out the real story, right now. Go have a lookI like to support journalism but this feels like a silly waste of money when locals will do it for free on social mediaLike they did in Dundee...
It has all the features of how international Social Media controlled by the algorithms of the Nerd Reich values clicks over truth, and why we need proper journalism.
Foxy
7

