Best Of
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
This from Peter Punter is a post of wisdom and maturity. The single biggest positive development in politics would be if the public were to revise down their expectations of how much any government can realistically improve the UK's living standards and public services except over quite a long period (certainly several years). The gap between expectations and what is feasible is creating a fertile environment for the types of politicians who we can only hope are revealed to be unfit for power before they get their mitts on it.I'd have settled for less corrupt and incompetent.So their position is they are as bad as the Tories.This may be true Alan, but in which respects does this differ from their predecessors?This lot truly are a bunch of crooks.The government that claims it is cutting out national debt is no borrowing more than everYou surprise me Alan
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/19/uk-government-borrowing-november-rachel-reeves-budget-economy
They dosh up their mates and make the rest of us foot the bill.
Im sure that will inspire support.
Werent they meant to be better, cleaner the adults in the room ?
They are certainly the former, and probably the latter too , but it's still early days. Give it another twelve years or so and I'll let you know.
Chances of this occurring though? Slim to non-existent. Why should unrealistic expectations of politicians be relinquished when politicians themselves do nothing but fuel them. Which is perfectly rational behaviour by them. Prospects of election are boosted if you exaggerate the positive impact you will make. Otherwise you'll fail to inspire the voters and they will reciprocate by failing to vote for you. Why that risk if you don't have to?
Fresh in memory, Labour last year, my party, I actually sent an email to Morgan McSweeney saying we should not be running on that crude CHANGE slogan, as if the morning after a Labour win people would look out to see lakes of milk and honey. Instead I recommended posters, lecterns and tee-shirts saying 'Incremental improvement in key areas that you will start to feel after a while (if alert) but subject to various factors outside of governmental control!'. Compromising with cheap populism with that exclamation mark. And guess what Morgan wrote back? Not even anything polite and considered. Just "LOL". That says it all.
kinabalu
6
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
The secret of success in politics is often just hanging around because the PPE mob remember the ups more than the downs. This goes for both sides.Found out something about Morgan Sweeney where it all suddenly made sense. He was campaign director for Liz Kendall in the 2015 Labour Leader election. He took an OK candidate - certainly better than Corbyn the eventual leader - with significant parliamentary support, and delivered a STATISTICALLY ZERO vote. Literally more people believe the moon landings were fake than voted for his candidate.As with Dom C, you can sort of see why he chose to get close to power by the tradesmans' entrance, rather than running for office himself.This from Peter Punter is a post of wisdom and maturity. The single biggest positive development in politics would be if the public were to revise down their expectations of how much any government can realistically improve the UK's living standards and public services except over quite a long period (certainly several years). The gap between expectations and what is feasible is creating a fertile environment for the types of politicians who we can only hope are revealed to be unfit for power before they get their mitts on it.I'd have settled for less corrupt and incompetent.So their position is they are as bad as the Tories.This may be true Alan, but in which respects does this differ from their predecessors?This lot truly are a bunch of crooks.The government that claims it is cutting out national debt is no borrowing more than everYou surprise me Alan
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/19/uk-government-borrowing-november-rachel-reeves-budget-economy
They dosh up their mates and make the rest of us foot the bill.
Im sure that will inspire support.
Werent they meant to be better, cleaner the adults in the room ?
They are certainly the former, and probably the latter too , but it's still early days. Give it another twelve years or so and I'll let you know.
Chances of this occurring though? Slim to non-existent. Why should unrealistic expectations of politicians be relinquished when politicians themselves do nothing but fuel them. Which is perfectly rational behaviour by them. Prospects of election are boosted if you exaggerate the positive impact you will make. Otherwise you'll fail to inspire the voters and they will reciprocate by failing to vote for you. Why that risk if you don't have to?
Fresh in memory, Labour last year, my party, I actually sent an email to Morgan McSweeney saying we should not be running on that crude CHANGE slogan, as if the morning after a Labour win people would look out to see lakes of milk and honey. Instead I recommended posters, lecterns and tee-shirts saying 'Incremental improvement in key areas that you will start to feel after a while (if alert) but subject to various factors outside of governmental control!'. Compromising with cheap populism with that exclamation mark. And guess what Morgan wrote back? Not even anything polite and considered. Just "LOL". That says it all.
Peter Mandelson was an expert in the dark arts, the genius behind New Labour who drove Neil Kinnock to a surprising defeat, and had to resign from every job he has held before coming back for more. Tory election guru Lynton Crosby masterminded Are you thinking what we're thinking? before turning Cameron's poll leads into a hung parliament and losing Theresa May's majority. And so for Dominic Cummings (who made his name campaigning successfully against joining the euro, starting two years after Gordon Brown had already ruled it out) and now Morgan McSweeney, the titan whose Ming vase strategy brought victory against a blue team that barely troubled the scorers.
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
God, we are a grumpy lot are we not? Its nearly Christmas, a time for good cheer and positivity.
Merry Christmas everyone.
Merry Christmas everyone.
DavidL
8
Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
These end of year assessments are fascinating, but they leave me, at least, with no idea where those things will be by the end of next year.
Good morning, everyone.
Good morning, everyone.
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Re: The year according to YouGov – politicalbetting.com
FPT…
Con gain in Harborough, LD hold in South Ribble.I think it’s good for democracy that sometimes one of the minor parties can come through and win a seat from one of the major parties,
Re: Will this bug John Swinney and the SNP until election day? – politicalbetting.com
Fucking hell. It’s easy to determine if the line is bogus. It took me two minutes and the answer is “no” -Not sure if this has been discussed yet so apologgies if repeating earlier posts (I did look back to lunchtime and saw no mention)I seem to recall that my council keeps expense returns for 2 years so the statute of limitations line may be bogus?
So the Police will not invetsgate the claims that Farage overspent to get elected at the GE because of statute of limitations.
Two questions that this raises for me.
1. Why is the statute of limitations so short for this potential crime? We are only 18 months after the election so I would have thought anything this serious should still be prosecutable.
2. If the police can't do anything, is there any other body with legal powers that can investigate? They may not be able to prosecute but could they demand a by-election if he is found to have cheated. Does this fall under the remit of the Electoral Commission or the Commons authorities?
As you all know I was and still am very pro-Brexit. I also recognise we would never have got the referendum without Farage's many years of work for it. But that doesn't mean he should be treated any differently to anyone else who has broken electoral law. If elections are not fair and honest then they count for nothing.
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1983/2/section/176
The capacity of people to suspect bad faith is a lot of the reason we’re in the shit we’re in as a society.
DougSeal
5
Re: Will this bug John Swinney and the SNP until election day? – politicalbetting.com
Worked for Conservative Central Office from age of 21 to 38 before becoming a councillor and MP on the right/centre right of the party at the time. And yet somehow he is the entryist......It's very amusing to here all the advise for the Tories from non-tories. Anyone would think the panic about Reform was growing. Yet only the other day some were posting that Reform had peaked. Indeed I doubt they can get much beyond 33/5% and probably less. However, it's also quite possibly true tha the Labour bottom is not yet there. All very funny.Gavin Barwell is a particularly unappealing lib dem adjacent entryist. He may deserve tactical votes from Lib Dem, Labour and Green voters - he sure as heck doesn't deserve any from Tories.
Re: Will this bug John Swinney and the SNP until election day? – politicalbetting.com
Latest odds:While everyone remembers blowing up the Second Death Star, I think selling out Han, Leia, and Chewie (not to mention C3PO) will spoil Lando’s chances.
Rory 1.25
Lando 8
Chloe 15
But only two golfers have ever won SPOTY - Dai Rees (in 1957) and Nick Faldo. So only one in the last 67 years.
I hope Rory wins but fear he won't.
DougSeal
5
Re: Will this bug John Swinney and the SNP until election day? – politicalbetting.com
Not sure if this has been discussed yet so apologgies if repeating earlier posts (I did look back to lunchtime and saw no mention)
So the Police will not invetsgate the claims that Farage overspent to get elected at the GE because of statute of limitations.
Two questions that this raises for me.
1. Why is the statute of limitations so short for this potential crime? We are only 18 months after the election so I would have thought anything this serious should still be prosecutable.
2. If the police can't do anything, is there any other body with legal powers that can investigate? They may not be able to prosecute but could they demand a by-election if he is found to have cheated. Does this fall under the remit of the Electoral Commission or the Commons authorities?
As you all know I was and still am very pro-Brexit. I also recognise we would never have got the referendum without Farage's many years of work for it. But that doesn't mean he should be treated any differently to anyone else who has broken electoral law. If elections are not fair and honest then they count for nothing.
So the Police will not invetsgate the claims that Farage overspent to get elected at the GE because of statute of limitations.
Two questions that this raises for me.
1. Why is the statute of limitations so short for this potential crime? We are only 18 months after the election so I would have thought anything this serious should still be prosecutable.
2. If the police can't do anything, is there any other body with legal powers that can investigate? They may not be able to prosecute but could they demand a by-election if he is found to have cheated. Does this fall under the remit of the Electoral Commission or the Commons authorities?
As you all know I was and still am very pro-Brexit. I also recognise we would never have got the referendum without Farage's many years of work for it. But that doesn't mean he should be treated any differently to anyone else who has broken electoral law. If elections are not fair and honest then they count for nothing.
Re: Will this bug John Swinney and the SNP until election day? – politicalbetting.com
On the plus side, he'll be dead before he manages to use all his corruptly gotten gains.In spades. "Ask not what you can do in the White House for the country, ask what being in the White House can do for you."His other businesses were a mess and, whilst wealthy, not as valuable as he would claim. Trump Media has been a real godsend for him, he really leveraged being President to make money.I hope we've all digested this story: https://www.theverge.com/news/847159/trump-media-tae-technologies-merger-nuclear-fusionTrump Media is merging with a nuclear fusion company. Of course they are.
On the downside, his children appear to be as awful as him.
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