Best Of
Re: The end of the Keir show – politicalbetting.com
"I don't regard Putin as a bad guy."The phrase "useful idiot" could have been coined for Steve Witkoff, if only his boss hadn't already scooped the prize in that respect.
- U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff..
https://x.com/rgoodlaw/status/1992949478538826196
Fishing
5
Re: Voters back restricting trial by jury (but not for themselves) – politicalbetting.com
Then we will face the consequences of the big problems dealing with the country and not in the gradualist way we might have. As I said yesterday, I fear the risk of this has increased with this faux budget.The country doesn’t want anyone to deal with the big problemsFreedman's conclusion:Yep, that's what @Sandpit and I were saying.
Barring unexpected scandals or disasters Starmer and Reeves should now be safe until the May local elections, giving themselves time to shore up support. But the cost of choosing this [less bold] option is that, once again, the truly difficult decisions have been put off for later and little has been done to deal with the big problems facing the country.
DavidL
6
Re: Voters back restricting trial by jury (but not for themselves) – politicalbetting.com
Freedman's conclusion:
Barring unexpected scandals or disasters Starmer and Reeves should now be safe until the May local elections, giving themselves time to shore up support. But the cost of choosing this [less bold] option is that, once again, the truly difficult decisions have been put off for later and little has been done to deal with the big problems facing the country.
Barring unexpected scandals or disasters Starmer and Reeves should now be safe until the May local elections, giving themselves time to shore up support. But the cost of choosing this [less bold] option is that, once again, the truly difficult decisions have been put off for later and little has been done to deal with the big problems facing the country.
IanB2
8
Re: Voters back restricting trial by jury (but not for themselves) – politicalbetting.com
@Cyclefree had it right yesterday.
Just scrap the spend on digital ID and put it into the Justice Dept.
Just scrap the spend on digital ID and put it into the Justice Dept.
Nigelb
11
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
Kemi is the DM spokesperson. Flailing around and seeing the worst in everything while being nasty with it. Nigel is more Telegraph. A bit quieter but ultimately owned by foreign interestsIn news that will surprise no one the daily mail is not keen on the budgetMy shares are up, and the pound seems to have recovered some of its recent losses. Why is the Mail not overjoyed?
I'm not sure that's what a Labour budget is supposed to do but I'd have thought that's the kind of thing Mail readers would approve of.
How many copies does it sell now?
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
You are falling for all the anchoring. Labour promised no more than £8.5bn in tax rises, we are now at £80bn from two budgets and the highest tax burden ever incoming. There are loads of "horrors", it just isn't one big thing, it masses and masses of small things or fiscal drag whacking people in every which way e.g. student loan repayments.Does everyone agree Kemi came out best yesterday?No,. I thought Reeves gave a confident budget speech that contained few of the trailed horrors advertised. After the fiasco of all the leaking over the last 2 months and doom laden talk it went well, despite the OBR prematurely publishing it. I hope that she has learned the benefit of budget purdah, and will get OBR water-tight. I am not a fan of this government and won't vote for them but she did alright. She lives to fight another day.
Badenoch's response was poor, containing little of substance and was hectoring and shouty. I was listening on 5Live and turned her off before she finished because it was so unlistenable. There was no insight or context. To say that the freezing of thresholds breaks the pledge on tax rises without acknowledging that the same threshold freeze was put in place by her own government until 2028 is just rank hypocracy. I really though she would be better as LOTO than she has been, and the opposition looks a long way off looking a viable alternative government, or even realising why they had such a crushing defeat 16 months ago.
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
AI tells me it’s 617k daily and 1.3m on SaturdaysIn news that will surprise no one the daily mail is not keen on the budgetMy shares are up, and the pound seems to have recovered some of its recent losses. Why is the Mail not overjoyed?
I'm not sure that's what a Labour budget is supposed to do but I'd have thought that's the kind of thing Mail readers would approve of.
How many copies does it sell now?
For me the budget isn’t intrinsically bad, but it’s another massive missed opportunity. The country is drifting and Labour were gifted the chance and the majority to steer it in a new direction. I might not have agreed with their plans but a degree of boldness would have been great to see.
As the old cliche has it: inaction is action.
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
One thing the budget show is that Labour aren't going to actual reform anything. There is no big bold vision. Its just drip drip drip more taxes, drag a load of people into higher rate tax and bung some more public spending at certain groups. And every new tax / change, appears pretty poorly thought out and adds complexity.
There isn't any desire of actually changing even some of the most glaring flaws. No plan for growth. Its just now poorly managed decline for a few years, load more taxes in the year before the GE to pay for all the spending being done now, and then pitching not being Reform at the next GE.
There isn't any desire of actually changing even some of the most glaring flaws. No plan for growth. Its just now poorly managed decline for a few years, load more taxes in the year before the GE to pay for all the spending being done now, and then pitching not being Reform at the next GE.
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
The next net migration update is expected tomorrow . It’s likely to show another big fall which might please some but is one of the reasons that growth is struggling .High time we made per capita the headline figure.
The OBR note this as one of the contributing factors .
Re: A 28% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com
"Rachel Reeves should squeeze the middleI misread that as "Alan B'Stard". Which I realised dates me.
The Chancellor is too scared of the electorate
Aaron Bastani" (£)
https://unherd.com/2025/11/rachel-reeves-should-squeeze-the-middle
ohnotnow
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