Best Of

Hamilton by election

i'll go for

Snp 37
Ref 28
Lab 18
Lib 5
Green 5
Con 3
Rest 4

… which would still be a great result for Reform (and a helpful distraction from their civil war).

I can see them breaking 20%, higher than 25% is more likely on a low turnout/plague on all your houses vote. Would be astonishing if they won, but the SNP nadir seems to have passed for now

I expect the Tories will get squeezed and lose deposit

Labour will also lose deposit in this election as they get squeezed by SNP and Reform. Labours disastrous performance in this election is the only headline of note.

This result should give Labour a boost. Moreso because Reform look so dishevelled. Despite annoying most people for one reason or another now they've got their footing they're doing a pretty reasonable job.

Despite the polls my guess is if there was an election tomorrow Labour would win again. They are the only Party that look like a credible government and despite teething troubles Starmer is showing himself to be learning on the job and to be faring well internationally. The French seem to rate him!

Not so fast.

Tice (whose Limited Company I believe lost) still gets the lion's share of air time on the Today programme.

he is a genuine leader, because he causes his supporters to change their minds (see with Ukraine), he doesn't just follow what they want.

Are all cult leaders "good at politics" ?

Yes

Which would suggest Elon Musk is also "good at politics" yet I don't think today's events support that assertion

But we always circle back to the fact that you’re a fucking moron. So we should also take that into account, no?