Best Of
Re: Lucy Powell is now the favourite to win the deputy leader race – politicalbetting.com
I dont think a change of policy on the EU or Israel would do, and Starmers endless reshuffles in the back office are a joke.There are two giant USPs up for grabs and only Starmer can realistically grab both. One is Rejoin the second is showing decisive action in putting a stop to Israel. Both would be massively popular.And neither would address the fundamental challenges this country faces (although I would support both).
The Party Conference would be the time. it would require a massive reset but it's there for the taking
However, where I agree with you is that it might give Starmer the boost in popularity he needs to be able to deliver some of the difficult medicine @Stuartinromford prescribed at the end of the last thread.
I increasingly think Starmer doesn't have the competence to deliver real solutions unfortunately.
The problem is that Starmer has been tested and found wanting. The wooden, directionless waffling Starmer is the real thing.
He needs to be replaced, the question is when, how and by whom. Rayner going has created a vacuum.
Foxy
5
Re: Lucy Powell is now the favourite to win the deputy leader race – politicalbetting.com
He's only been "tested and found wanting" in the same way Sunak was.I dont think a change of policy on the EU or Israel would do, and Starmers endless reshuffles in the back office are a joke.There are two giant USPs up for grabs and only Starmer can realistically grab both. One is Rejoin the second is showing decisive action in putting a stop to Israel. Both would be massively popular.And neither would address the fundamental challenges this country faces (although I would support both).
The Party Conference would be the time. it would require a massive reset but it's there for the taking
However, where I agree with you is that it might give Starmer the boost in popularity he needs to be able to deliver some of the difficult medicine @Stuartinromford prescribed at the end of the last thread.
I increasingly think Starmer doesn't have the competence to deliver real solutions unfortunately.
The problem is that Starmer has been tested and found wanting. The wooden, directionless waffling Starmer is the real thing.
He needs to be replaced, the question is when, how and by whom. Rayner going has created a vacuum.
I think that's the main disappointment for those of us who haven't developed a vitriolic dislike for the Prime Minister - the thought he might have been able to move the country forward and tackle the huge issues but, like his immediate predecessors, it's not as though he's tried something and it hasn't worked but he's simply not tried.
These issues are complex and multi-layered and evolving whether immigration, economic growth or our political and economic relationships with the world but I sense (and the Sky Immigration debate convinced me further) no one in any party has any coherent, practical and affordable (and legal) solutions so we muddle on and we end up with Continuity Sunak.
The Truss Experience has clearly left its mark, not so much on the country or even the Conservative Party but on the willingness of the political class to be "bold" or "radical" or "courageous" (you can choose your own word). At a time when the right to offend and the right to be offended is being tested as never before, political leadership seems terrified of giving if not offence then of putting forward ideas and policies which might well benefit the greater good but which would undoubtedly alienate a section of society whether they be pensioners, other welfare recipients, high tax payers, property owners, car drivers, racists, non-racists etc. etc.
The ability of social media to mobilise and vocalise discontent has had a huge impact on the political process.
5
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
@DecrepiterJohnL said this on a previous thread -
"This is a debate conducted by ideologues throwing up chaff in support of their own prejudices."
In relation to the Lords debate on Assisted Dying.
It is a quite disgraceful statement, frankly. First, because speeches have been deliberately curtailed with Falconer trying to push it through as quickly as possible with little scrutiny. Second, because the Lords Committee and a number of institutions closely involved in this should the Bill passes have come out in detail with all the problems with the Bill, the safeguards that are missing and the ones that are needed.
Lord Barker, one of the Bill's supporters, argued in the Lords today that there should be assisted suicide because palliative care is too expensive and no government will properly fund it. Not so much an argument as the grim reality revealed by ideologues who seek to hide their own selfishness under the guise of "choice" and "autonomy".
As someone with Stage 4 cancer who one day - probably sooner than I would like - will likely need such care, if this Bill passes, I fear that I will be put in the "too expensive to care for pile" and pressured or neglected into death.
That genuine fear is not prejudice and a society that tries to pretend that this is autonomous choice rather than deliberate neglect of and contempt for the vulnerable is one that has chosen to go down a very dark road indeed.
"This is a debate conducted by ideologues throwing up chaff in support of their own prejudices."
In relation to the Lords debate on Assisted Dying.
It is a quite disgraceful statement, frankly. First, because speeches have been deliberately curtailed with Falconer trying to push it through as quickly as possible with little scrutiny. Second, because the Lords Committee and a number of institutions closely involved in this should the Bill passes have come out in detail with all the problems with the Bill, the safeguards that are missing and the ones that are needed.
Lord Barker, one of the Bill's supporters, argued in the Lords today that there should be assisted suicide because palliative care is too expensive and no government will properly fund it. Not so much an argument as the grim reality revealed by ideologues who seek to hide their own selfishness under the guise of "choice" and "autonomy".
As someone with Stage 4 cancer who one day - probably sooner than I would like - will likely need such care, if this Bill passes, I fear that I will be put in the "too expensive to care for pile" and pressured or neglected into death.
That genuine fear is not prejudice and a society that tries to pretend that this is autonomous choice rather than deliberate neglect of and contempt for the vulnerable is one that has chosen to go down a very dark road indeed.
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
Good morning, everyone.
For years now, I've not really watched much news. I think the insanely highly level of Kirk coverage compared to (going by the BBC website) the Poland/Russia story being well down the order is one of the reasons why. A fixation on the US when a close ally is having incursions by Russia is dumb as hell.
We need (both UK and Poland) to be learning from Ukraine about drone warfare, both offensively and defensively.
For years now, I've not really watched much news. I think the insanely highly level of Kirk coverage compared to (going by the BBC website) the Poland/Russia story being well down the order is one of the reasons why. A fixation on the US when a close ally is having incursions by Russia is dumb as hell.
We need (both UK and Poland) to be learning from Ukraine about drone warfare, both offensively and defensively.
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
I predict that the Starmer’s survival depends now on the follow up to the vetting storyI hear Starmer was eating a curry when he read the vetting report into Mandelson.
https://news.sky.com/story/there-is-a-witch-hunt-vibe-in-labour-on-how-and-who-approved-peter-mandelsons-appointment-13429218
As ever (hat tip to @Cyclfree) the damage will be about who knew what, when and who has lied about knowing.
Re: Partisan economies – politicalbetting.com
Incidentally, I feel very old.As long as you're not in the Natural History Museum you don't need to worry
An ex-colleague recently told me that a project I worked on is on display in the Science Museum. In fact, there's a photo of me and the team as an Easter Egg on the device - I've still got the original photos.
I know tech moves quickly, but I didn't expect to have something in the Science Museum...
IanB2
5
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
It is starting to feel, bizarrely, like the Labour Party is starting to move itself into a post-Starmer place.Labour might do something stupid? Like appointing Peter Mandelson to US ambassador? Can't imagine it
I say bizarrely not because I think Starmer is doing a good job (he isn’t) but that the very idea that they are starting to talk about the leadership 15 months in from a landslide (if lopsided) election victory is just indicative of how badly Starmer has played his hand during the opening months of his premiership.
As much as I think Starmer has been very poor, I have a growing sense of unease that the Labour Party are about to do something very stupid. Something that won’t help them one jot, but will likely hole them below the waterline. Liz Truss all over again.
geoffw
5
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
Did you learn nothing from the Minnesota shootings earlier on this year?Turns out it’s true. He really did write “hey fascist, catch” on the bullet casings. He really did write an antifa chant. He really did swing extremely leftwing according to the familyToo many of these extreme left and extreme right shootings. Why are they never extreme centrist dads?@BillyBaldwinHmmm, as much as I want to trust random people on twitter…
Not Black.
Not Trans.
Not Muslim.
Not an Immigrant.
Not a Democrat.
Meet Charlie Kirk assassin Tyler Robinson.
A white Christian, Conservative, Republican male with a gun... again.
https://x.com/BillyBaldwin/status/1966505118989172895
He does not appear to have any criminal history, according to state records reviewed by Reuters. He was a registered voter but was not affiliated with a political party, according to state voter records.Who knows what the truth is these days. But it does seem like he wrote “hey fascist catch” on the bullet casings. This was in the FBI and governor briefings? Also an antifa sloganPeople will say whatever makes them feel best - whether left wing or right wing.@BillyBaldwinAre you sure about this? I genuinely don’t know
Not Black.
Not Trans.
Not Muslim.
Not an Immigrant.
Not a Democrat.
Meet Charlie Kirk assassin Tyler Robinson.
A white Christian, Conservative, Republican male with a gun... again.
https://x.com/BillyBaldwin/status/1966505118989172895
There are people - not entirely unreliable - claiming he recently swerved violently left, denouncing Kirk and Trump etc as Nazis. I’ve no idea
And the family do seem to be reporting he turned extreme left quite recently
However - big caveat - maybe this is all made up bollocks on X? It’s so hard to pin down the actuality
So all this stuff about him being a Republican and a groyper and all that is total bullshit. Likewise the attempt to blur him as a memelord
This is desperate spin. He’s from a republican family but he’s antifa. He’s extreme left
I guess not.
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
It is human nature to try and rearrange reality to fit your existing prejudices.@BillyBaldwinHmmm, as much as I want to trust random people on twitter…
Not Black.
Not Trans.
Not Muslim.
Not an Immigrant.
Not a Democrat.
Meet Charlie Kirk assassin Tyler Robinson.
A white Christian, Conservative, Republican male with a gun... again.
https://x.com/BillyBaldwin/status/1966505118989172895
He does not appear to have any criminal history, according to state records reviewed by Reuters. He was a registered voter but was not affiliated with a political party, according to state voter records.Who knows what the truth is these days. But it does seem like he wrote “hey fascist catch” on the bullet casings. This was in the FBI and governor briefings? Also an antifa sloganPeople will say whatever makes them feel best - whether left wing or right wing.@BillyBaldwinAre you sure about this? I genuinely don’t know
Not Black.
Not Trans.
Not Muslim.
Not an Immigrant.
Not a Democrat.
Meet Charlie Kirk assassin Tyler Robinson.
A white Christian, Conservative, Republican male with a gun... again.
https://x.com/BillyBaldwin/status/1966505118989172895
There are people - not entirely unreliable - claiming he recently swerved violently left, denouncing Kirk and Trump etc as Nazis. I’ve no idea
And the family do seem to be reporting he turned extreme left quite recently
However - big caveat - maybe this is all made up bollocks on X? It’s so hard to pin down the actuality
If it turns out that he turned Left, then the Left will argue that this whole thing was a False Flag operation,
Alternatively, it could be that he was on the Right and was incensed by Charlie Kirk's recent change of position on Epstein (where he's suddenly decided the files shouldn't be released, and which has caused much consernation online).
The reality is, whether he is of the Left or the Right, is that he is another mentally unstable person who had access to guns. He's also not the only politically prominent person to get shot in the last few years: the Democratic Speaker of the Minnesota House was shot (and murdered) back in June.
Both killings are abhorrent, and when we start trying to pin everything on "the other side", we end up excusing and normalising violence. We also end up with a situation - like in pre-WW2 Japan - where fear of violence stops people from standing up.
It doesn't matter who - or why - Kirk was killed. What matters is that it is not used to for political purposes to try and divide the US further.
rcs1000
9
Re: Is Andy Burnham about to become the favourite to succeed Starmer? – politicalbetting.com
@kateferguson4I will vote for that but not for the reasons the Greens want to
NEW: Green Party wants to ban Eurovision being shown on telly


