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Re: There’s life in the old dog yet – politicalbetting.com
I've been working in Amesbury, right by Boscombe Down, for the last week and a half, and am there until the end of this week, working six days a week. It's quite nice for a change. Though I'm having to start an hour early at 7, I get given a van and paid for the 45 minute each way commute The route is easy. On my route in… -
Re: Present Keirs are less than horrible imaginings – politicalbetting.com
"Children born in Britain to immigrant parents could be deported under the Government’s asylum crackdown, a minister has suggested. Steve Reed, the Communities and Housing Secretary, refused to rule out the removal of UK-born children with families who have been rejected for asylum as part of efforts to increase… -
Re: The next chapter of the Scottish play? – politicalbetting.com
"You can arrest your serial killer but hold off charging him till after polling day" No. That doesn't work because you'd have to release him. You can't keep someone in custody indefinitely without charging them. In England, if the police keep an individual in custody for longer than 24 hours, the general rule is that the… -
Re: How the papers are Johnson and Sunak’s lockdown fines – politicalbetting.com
Can I make one fairly important correction? You should have said 'cannot get *caught* lying to Parliament *to further their own careers.*' Most PMs at least dissemble on certain topics when speaking to Parliament. If, for example, Johnson were asked how we know so much about Russian military operations even he wouldn't be… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First post Easter Euros poll sees almost no change
@Richard_Nabavi No room for much comment on Osborne's IMF speech in my last post. Osborne essentially won the stimulus vs. austerity debate being waged between the IMF and OECD by demonstrating over the past year that the OECD's prescription for recovery had worked. The balance of fiscal consolidation (20% tax rises, 80%… -
Re: Whoops – I nearly made an elementary mistake betting on a Senate Democratic majority – politicalbett
Something to look forward to from a second Trump term ? https://harpers.org/archive/2020/11/the-enemies-briefcase-secret-powers-of-the-presidency/ A few hours before the inauguration ceremony, the prospective president receives an elaborate and highly classified briefing on the means and procedures for blowing up the world… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How in just three months Starmer has changed the political wea
I know when quoted in newspapers all MPs become 'senior' or 'key', but is Mhairi Black really a 'Senior Nat MP'? I guess she holds a post, but even so. Given she was so young when elected, it makes me wonder if anyone has in their career been both the baby of the house and father of the house -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets a no deal Brexit moves from a 37% chanc
She has been steady as Leader of the House, but I'm not convinced about creative thinking. Yesterday's long cabinet demonstrates the delicate balance within Cabinet, which May is able to straddle given her political positioning. Trying to run the process from the Leave side would surely have alienated more of the House by… -
Re: A basket of unfavourables – politicalbetting.com
Foundations. Why Britain has stagnated https://ukfoundations.co Here are some facts to set the scene about the state of the British economy. Between 2004 and 2021, before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the industrial price of energy tripled in nominal terms, or doubled relative to consumer prices. With almost identical… -
Re: Nobody is willing to sacrifice themselves for the King of the North – politicalbetting.com
We’ve had a population increase of approx 20% since 1990. In a small island adding 20,000 has been a bit of a disaster in terms of housing, schooling etc but also it used to be a pleasure to drive here, as long as you weren’t stuck behind a Honda jazz or a hire car and now it’s grim. The other sad change was that it was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Oh the humiliation! CHUK not even listed as a runner on the Eu
> @Mauve said: > > I can believe it, particularly if you include places like the Waterbeach and Eddington developments as part of Cambridge. I originally moved there for work about 8 years ago and was amazed at how well off it seemed to be. The amount of construction around the station and Addenbrookes is incredible.… -
Re: Apologising for the Liz Truss mishanter – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump edges up even more on Betfair and now a 45.2% chance
Austerity has not been "dealt with". You completely screwed up the public sector. Student loan still impacts me today, come back when you've reduced the cost. Brexit is something young people don't want. Housing crisis is not being dealt with for the under 30s, come back when most of us own houses -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the only 2018 polls to be tested against real results LAB s
There is plenty of construction going on the challenge is for it to be affordable. The lunacy is that such has been the buoyancy of the housing market that developers' costs have likewise skyrocketed with the result that their price points are often beyond what is affordable for normal people. There needs to be a wholesale… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting money’s going on the Commons approving the deal
Bercow has been clear he is servant of the house. If, and it is not clear they would agree, the house by majority demanded they be allowed to vote on the deal again, and make whatever procedural changes necessary to allow that, how does he then say no given his usual logic? Not that that seems a very sensible course,… -
Re: Brexiteers, you may need a stiff drink – politicalbetting.com
Of course planning decisions have to be in line with the local plan but increasingly councils offering lots of new greenbelt housing in their local plans, especially Tory ones, have been thrown out by local voters in favour of NIMBY LD, Green and Independent councils who adjust their local plans in a more NIMBY direction… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And the winner the the PB Prize Mayoral Competition is……
'An attack has been launched on Jeremy Corbyn and his Labour top team from an unusual source: the House of Commons library. Or at least through one librarian, who complained to QC and media commentator Jo lyon Maugham. Today he recounted a conversation he’d had with one of the custodians of the library, where MPs go to… -
Re: YouGov predict major losses for the Tories on Thursday – politicalbetting.com
My sense is that these types of international moves are massively complicated and time consuming - particularly when you have children, housing and some other assets. Immigration, visas, tax, housing, money etc... I guess that is why most people talk a lot about it but few people actually do it. I am in the middle of doing… -
Re: Reeves, nearly as bad as Covid and Truss & Kwarteng but Lab still continue to lead on the economy
That has serious knock-on implications for the West Bank and any idea of Palestinian statehood. Gaza is a deepwater port and major economic centre (or would be, in a normal world). It has a major international airport (albeit shut). It is home to around 40% of the population of the Palestinian Territories. Deprived of…
