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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters think that Sadiq’s still on course for victory foll
Well, here it is, I have decided to vote to remain on the 23rd June. This has been quite the most difficult decision I have made in a very long time. My heart absolutely demands that we leave the nightmare that is the EU with the unelected eurocrats, red tape, European Court and indeed everything that is so wrong at the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For Andrea Leadsom the scrutiny has only just started
We have been overdue a rebalancing of the economy for a long time. Lower asset prices (ie housing), less household debt, etc. But the shock of such a rebalance would have produced effects and after-effects both uncontrollable and potentially very damaging. Our domestic politicians knew this, and hence the issue has not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Majority opinion. Looking at the Conservatives’ chances from a
Labour canvasser assaulted. A 72-year-old party election campaigner has been attacked and injured while going house-to-house. The man, who uses a walking stick, was initially taken to hospital with a suspected broken jaw, South Yorkshire Police said. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50552115 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump remains the value bet for the Presidency
I’m sure this, or something like it, has already been posted by someone else, but I’m sure I know people who would not be unhappy if house prices fell. And a lot of people, who aren’t using their houses as collateral, and don’t propose to move any time soon, wouldn’t worry too much. -
Re: Senatus Populusque – Previewing November’s other elections Part II
Great set of articles. I do always enjoy the origin of the phrase Gerrymandering. When I first referred to the practice to my partner she thought I was talking about a politician called “Gerry Mandarin” - she kept saying “but who’s Gerry Mandarin? And what has he got to do with it?” Also enjoyed this tidbit about the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Russia Report doesn’t look like a damp squib
Productivity has been stagnating at the bottom of the economy for much longer than that, the financial crisis just brought it to light. Also, you have a fundamental misunderstanding of how the economy works. The government has opened up an unlimited cheap labour pool subsided by tax credits and housing benefits, businesses… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great methodology divide: All the CON leads are from ph
I'm sure he read last weeks papers. But you're looking at it the wrong way. Property guys keep breaking up large properties so your £400k house may end up as 4 £100k pokey flats. UK housing stock quality has been deteriorating over time. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson on whether Miliband can breeze to victory on
@Monksfield The housing market (and many others) has been broken for a long time now, unfortunately it is profitably broken for a minority. We have now reached the state where our economy relies on smoke and mirrors to keep it afloat. Anything that brings housing costs down to a sensible level breaks one of the mirrors. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cooper-Letwin, forcing Article 50 to be delayed, is enacted an
I don't disagree with any of that. What is really needed is joined up thinking which restricts the number of immigrants to the level of housing available. We have had over a decade of very high immigration and very low levels of house building. The consequences are inevitable, indeed it is surprising that it has not been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP is taking SIX times as many votes from the Tories as i
The source of the 77 million number is 2007 (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/comment/city-eye-facts-on-a-plate-our-population-is-at-least-77-million-395428.html) - seven years ago. Unless I'm very much mistaken, there has been net migration since then, so if 77 million was right then, then 80m would be right… -
Re: Punters still think Reform will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
I think it's very easy and has always been easy to become unpopular when in government because ultimately governing means making hard choices rather than easy promises. That was true when Attlee devalued sterling in 1947 and was true, for the matter of that, when the Liberals tried to push through higher taxes in pursuit… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Corbyn’s Labour has to have any chance it has to dent Os
From that article mentioned on previous thread is this top comment and worthy of the worlds most deluded person award. I mean seriously where do they find these muppets? I publish it in full because it really should be savoured and enjoyed ( I would like to think he's taking the piss but it's got to the point you can't be… -
Re: RFK Jr’s ratings – politicalbetting.com
And I think it's broadly accepted that one of the problems with UK housing is that there is reasonable affordable housing available, just not near London. But London is where anyone who aspires to being anyone wants to be, because that's where the power is. So the doom loop continues. It's really hard for politicians to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris Johnson loses his first Parliamentary vote, no wonder he
Now that will be funny. Momentarily at least. Part of the problem for a long time has been a government (or leaders) which does not have the confidence of the House(party) but the House refuses so far to actually officially say so, despite defeating it all the time. Aren't they now going for 15th October? Which is a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why playing the man and not the issue might not be a good s
If you want isolation, this is the case for you. The US Supreme Court will hear an appeal this Friday against the execution of Bobby James Moore, a prisoner who has spent nearly 36 years on death row in Texas. The facts are depressingly familiar. Moore was convicted after his gun went off in a hold-up that went wrong. A… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB might get a Stoke Central boost by NOT having Tristram Hun
Mr. Mark, as a former UKIP supporter and voter I tend to agree. The party had one real reason for existing and that has now been achieved, the UK will leave the EU. So why should it continue to exist? UKIP and Farage may be hated and derided on here but it has been the most successful pressure group (and Farage one of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov poll carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday has CON l
I'm confused on this house asset for social care. I was under the impression that anyone with a house that was a potential asset for care costs purposes could already opt to have a 'charge' put on it and pay the council when they die and it was sold in probate. Was I wrong? Or has actually nothing been changed at all… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is a mistake to look at the next election though the prism
Rare though it is and fraught with personal risk I'm going to have to disagree with you here, sir. The money that has come in to the sport has been hugely welcome and as with horse racing the only thing the sport has to sell is itself. I'd also have loved cricket to have been free to air on the BBC, ITV or C4 but cricket… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Britain has deceived itself about the EU for decades and is do
Her deputy is at the centre of it being a "Remainer Cabinet". Trying to keep a Cabinet balanced between Remainers and Leavers has been fundamental to May's problems. The Cabinet has been polarised, unable to offer a strong direction to the House. Those MPs who want to Remain have been given ample cover, from within the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A great GE15 data resource from AndyJS
Unless he has been sidelined by Ed. There has been plenty of evidence of policy making on the back of post-it notes which not been shared e.g the use of ISA money for house building, where they had a different name for the scheme within the same document, called the ISA the wrong name and Team Balls knew nothing about it.