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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » “It’s the switcher’s wot won it” – will that be the verdict
We have a choice between Chuckle Brothers. Corbyn is an unelectable dinosaur. Smith is a bit too eager, has a barmpot approach to Brexit and keeps saying offensive things. I'm voting for Smith because he is not Corbyn, not because he is Smith. There won't be enough switchers. And the membership added between last year's… -
Re: Trump slips even further in the WH2024 nomination betting – politicalbetting.com
What I am finding increasingly frustrating, if all too familiar, is how long the US takes to count its votes. In the last 5 days I think a single House seat has been determined moving Fox's analysis from 204/211 to 204/212. We still don't know for sure who is going to control the House although with only 6 to go the GOP… -
Re: Why I’m betting that Trump won’t be the GOP WH2024 nominee – politicalbetting.com
Of course not, I hope Moon Rabbit has managed to dig herself out of the Nevada hole too. Just that this mid term looks far, far closer than we anticipated on Tuesday night. That the House hasn't been called for the GOP is an indictment of their stupid policies and MAGA tendencies. It may actually be the case that women… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s mode
Actually, house prices have fallen in real terms over the last 10 years in large areas of the country: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/property/11700282/Mapped-How-much-has-your-house-price-moved-in-10-years.html And for those who do rent, quality has improved a lot, which is after all what matters for 'standard of… -
Re: Is Angela Rayner about to experience the wrath of Khan? – politicalbetting.com
I like this guy (never heard of him before). The land value idea is also one I've suggested, and makes 1000x more sense both politically and economically than the IHT business. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/24/how-riverfords-guy-singh-watson-became-the-most-brutally-honest-farmer-in-britain ..“But the… -
Re: Biden slipping in the WH2024 betting – politicalbetting.com
One application in my ward (for 28 homes): pushed through on appeal due to lack of 5-year land supply in 2016. One trench dug so far. Only action has been to apply to remove conditions placed on it (rejected, approved on appeal) and to sell the permissioned land on. One major application in my ward and the one over, for… -
Re: Your regular reminder that the questions influence poll responses – politicalbetting.com
Spot on John. Have we been quick, canny and even brave enough? On topic. The problem for Biden’s White House is both managing it today, without world war 3, but also suffering when the Ukraine leaders have been escorted away and replaced like Putin’s bogus mayors, and Putin has his goons on every border post, at which… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The final polling chart
WOW! This is a great read and the case those on the Left should've made for Leave. This is spot on by the Guardian’s – money expert, Patrick Collinson, explaining why he is voting Leave: "I know a painter/decorator who has not been able to raise his wages for 15 years. There’s always someone else, he says, willing to work… -
Re: I worry about humanity – politicalbetting.com
Not one I'm getting too deep in, however. 1 - Rent caps fuck tenants, not landlords, who they drive away. The current generation *may* benefit for a time, but all future tenants are fucked by the resulting wrecked renting and investing market. It's the sort of shoot-yourself-in-the-head thing I hope Labour will not do.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Queen’s Speech timing: the product of what Lynton would ca
The Tories have a negligible majority, they have a leader which most of the PCP/Party members and supporters despise, the House of Lords does not have a Tory Majority - everything sent to it will be sent back - And whatever you may think about him, Corbyn has been in the house for 30 odd years and is well aware of all the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Has Clegg told Cameron when he’ll stand down?
Regarding plastic bags from 2015,the two parties can agree to slash housing benefit for thousands,split the NHS and create an artificial housing boom by tax-payer guaranteed mortgages.But they can`t agree to introduce a 5 p cost for plastic bags till the next election. Moral:Anything the Conservatives support will be… -
Re: As predicted Jenrick is now the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com
He has his main residence in Herefordshire, two houses in London and a constituency house in Southwell which the taxpayer is payng £2000 a month for. And during the election campaign he had the audacity to complain that the Labour candidate had been parachuted in all the way from Nottingham. When people pointed out that he… -
Re: The changed perceptions of government performance since GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
This prompted me to look at my cost. My current fixed price dual fuel deal has been 18 months I think at £74 per month (British Gas Green Online). Looks like the new one will be £90-95 per month, and I want a long fix to dodge the incoming rises which are arriving soon. To be fair the rises are only going to be 10-12%,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remember when the Tories recovered from a poll share of 23p
To be fair, Hutton's argument is that the economy would have been run perfectly, in that the Germans would [somehow] have ensured that everyone's banks were run properly and did not lend their money to fuel a house price boom, and the British Chancellor [who replaced Brown, because Hutton imagines that Blair would have… -
Re: A year on for Starmer and he has yet been able to shake the hands of a single voter – politicalbetti
Exactly. He has effectively changed his frigging mind in the space of 24 hours on one of the most far reaching policy decisions he may ever have to oppose or support. He would have been one of the leading Trojans welcoming their lovely new wooden horse into the city. -
Re: The betting reflects a bit more confidence that Johnson will survive – politicalbetting.com
Morning all! Probably worth focusing in the hook that BJ has spaffed hinself onto - lying. Its his usual habit but sadly he has done two things that he will be very very lucky to get away with this time: 1. Lying to the House. Regardless of what excuses HY simpers away with, you cannot be a minister and deliberately lie to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The January Ipsos-MORI leader approval ratings
FPT @AlanBrookes "Miliband is simply picking up on Osborne's inactivity in addressing banking reform, more fool Osborne he left the stable door open. While Miliband might be doing the right thing for the wrong reason if it moves things on we should all celebrate." I have usually always followed your comments on the economy… -
Re: The woman who lost to a lettuce wants to comeback as Tory leader – politicalbetting.com
Trump is the Republican candidate, and the Republicans are the right of centre party. Furthermore, it is true that Biden has been one of the least supportive leaders to the UK, and that Trump has always been well-disposed toward the UK and has friends, business interests, and familial ties here. It seems a mark of polite… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The coronavirus crisis: A Misdiagnosis?
The Labour MP Kate Osamor has been ordered to apologise by the Commons standards committee after it found that she broke parliamentary rules by using Commons notepaper to write a character reference for her son before he was sentenced in court for a drugs offence. The committee said in a report (pdf) that there was nothing… -
Re: The betting moves further and further away from Trump – politicalbetting.com
A couple of observations: 1) In the US, it's pretty standard for the postmark to be the determining date for whether something mailed has been mailed on time, e.g. if you mail your mortgage or credit card payment on the due date, that normally means you've complied with your contract terms and can't be penalized. Obviously…