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Re: Braverman’s leadership bid is like a visit to a gay bar – politicalbetting.com
I'm not convinced this means Trump is guaranteed a win now. Let's wait and see. America is a deeply polarised country -
Re: London Rising – The Pentagon and the Election – politicalbetting.com
Have been reading Muriel Spark's novels in sequence. Very spiky - keeps you on your toes. But even she's as nothing compared to Dame Ivy Compton Burnett whom I'm just beginning, well read three. An utterly original novelist who deserves to be revived. -
Re: Wales – How to do Cynical Politics. – politicalbetting.com
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Re: It feels like a tipping point has been reached with Biden – politicalbetting.com
Yes, hearing his music would assuage any doubts you might have about whether you’d made the right decision after all. -
Re: Can I Tell You a Secret? – politicalbetting.com
That’s actually an interesting one. There are a number of spats between Germany and France in the economic sphere at the moment. And never forget the German worship of sound money. For example, days before the first launch of Ariane 6, Eumetsat cancelled a planned launch with Ariane 6, moving it to the cheaper and proven… -
Re: The Tory soap opera continues – politicalbetting.com
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Re: England finally gain revenge for the Raid on the Medway – politicalbetting.com
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Re: PB Predictions Competition 2024 – July update – politicalbetting.com
It is possible the law applies only to Quakers and Moravians, depending if it has been updated from 18xx or not. -
Re: I’m a leftist who didn’t vote Labour; why am I happy with the election results?
Bartholomew's comment was so black having seen the many babies with shrapnel being taken out of their faces that I thought he must have a macabre sense of humour. It seems there's more than just him -
Re: Suella the martyr (ruder nouns are available) – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Brace yourselves, we're going to be talking about electoral reform a lot going forward
And lots of other latest polls show massively different outcomes but you don't like them. Biden is deteriorating rapidly. -
Re: How the pollsters fared in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
Which of the surprising election losers would get the nod for her seat? -
Re: It’s not looking good for Suella Braverman – politicalbetting.com
The average age of MPs at a GE is usually about 50, so it is possible I suppose, though since nearly all the LD MPs are new I am assuming they are younger than is average. In 2019 5 of the 11 LD MPs were over 50. https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/house-of-commons-trends-the-age-of-mps/ -
Re: Some interesting takeouts of the election in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
Then you go to Ireland where the act never happened, and its endless low quality ribbon development done on the cheap. Some planning regime is needed. -
Re: Ils ne passeront pas – politicalbetting.com
The system to elect the leader means that the membership will get to pick out of 2 at the end, so it'll rely on the MPs selecting a shortlist with no duffers. Even though they picked Truss, I can't see the membership being happy about another unopposed coronation as per Sunak and May. As for Cox, he'd have to give up his… -
Re: How the pollsters performed on Thursday – politicalbetting.com
I'd basically agree with a couple of caveats. I think that she is correct to apply "idiot" to the method not the ideology. The behaviour she describes has certain similarities with eg drive-by-abusers on twitter or blog commenters; it's about assertion and abuse and not being capable or interested of engaging in a… -
Re: The Liz Truss legacy in one chart – politicalbetting.com
Another thing, use people's ignorance of parliamentary process to cause as much damage as you can. Two of the most damaging things about the government came from cheap shots at creating motions that the government forced its majority to vote against because they were impractical and came with extreme costs. One was the… -
Re: The majority of voters support changing the voting system – politicalbetting.com
So what I mean by this is serious right wing protest directed at core institutions.... not disrupting swearing in which functions differently in the uk... behind closed doors at Buckingham palace. But let's see... -
Re: Letter from Aberdeenshire North and Moray East – politicalbetting.com
I am walking through the third rainstorm of this labour government -
Re: Some more election stats – politicalbetting.com
Something Sam Freedman's constituency-by-constituency predictions frequently had was "Conservatives should hang on because it's not clear who the challenger is". If one wanted to give Conservatives sleepless nights, it could be pointed out that there are a fair few seats where the challenger is a lot more obvious now.