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Re: Happy 100th birthday to the most favourable party in Wales – politicalbetting.com
London is also the only UK region now where the Tories and Labour remain the top 2 parties in polls. It has the highest house prices and highest average wages and is the most pro multiculturalism and immigration. It has always been the case that the most successful school leavers ultimately leave their home towns and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Crossing the Rubicon
Brexit: John Bercow 'conspiring' with remainers in cosy curry house talks SPEAKER John Bercow has been accused of "conspiring" with opponents of Brexit after he held a cosy meeting with arch-Remainer Tory MP Ken Clarke in a curry house last week.… -
Re: Rachel Reeves & Sir Sadiq Khan speak for the nation – politicalbetting.com
More purple on blue fire from Zia Yusuf: https://x.com/ZiaYusufUK/status/2036134301666799925 No, Nick Timothy is not “brave”. He was literally Theresa May’s Chief of Staff, the driving force behind Mayism and its “burning injustices” agenda. He is an architect of what you saw in Trafalgar Square. He launched the Race… -
Re: The battle for the White House – Trump’s fight to retain the female vote – politicalbetting.com
I'm sorry, but that is simplistic garbage, especially the completely ludicrous 'weaponised' bit. The objective of QE was to stave off what looked like an impending and utterly disastrous deflationary slump, which would have caused mass unemployment. Those who would have suffered most from that would have been the young.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some fascinating analysis by YouGov
A few things that strike me about demographics at the next election: 1) the youngest voters who were eligible to vote for TB in 2005 (the last labour 'win') will be 37 in 2024 (assuming a 5 year parliament) 2) by the use of maths the similar cohort of voters in 2010 will be 32. 3) First time voters at the next election… -
Re: The Great Graduate Divide: Why the Tories might fare better with Sunak – politicalbetting.com
You seem to have misread everything I've written on the subject then. I live in the North, the Red Wall, and construction has been going great guns here. Its a booming success. And house prices have been suppressed as a result, which is a good thing. Its in other areas especially down South that the issues of despicable… -
Re: Ukraine matters – politicalbetting.com
The housing market is a function of supply and demand. Supply has been artificially restricted for years (decades), while demand has soared. It will not 'cool down' until that disequilibrium is addressed. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Scottish Independence Referendum becomes a clash of pol
Yes I saw that. There is a problem with housing. Lab has promised 200,000/year although we can see from their track record, together with exogenous (!) factors how challenging that will be for them. But they are all talking the same language of needing to increase housing starts. As you can see, the increase over the past… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A confidence vote to get rid of PM Johnson could happen next w
If Parliament has been dissolved for an election before October 19th I'm not even sure that the Government would be in contravention of the Benn Act, as I believe it only calls for the PM to agree an extension to a date other than 31st January if the House of Commons votes for it, which it won't be able to do if it has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Policies not leadership will win this election
Some maths for you. A London house commanding the max £100k discount would typically be worth £600k. So the Govt/Council receives a net £500k. The typical value of the subsidy is in the range of £20k pa. So after 5 years the "subsidy" has been re-paid.... Now the Council can use the £500k to fund the building of a new… -
Re: Cakeism is alive and well – politicalbetting.com
Ye Olde Trip isn't even the oldest pub in Nottingham! ;) https://triskeleheritage.triskelepublishing.com/mediaeval-mythbusting-blog-1-nottinghams-oldest-pub/ It's hilarious reading the online flame wars on this topic. It all depends on definition: some people seem to want a candidate to have been built as an inn (and what… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s general election plan on Brexit- it looks as though t
Obviously there is a lag (a consultant aged 60 would have been appointed 20-25 years ago) but in newer appointments are pretty gender balanced. In my dept it is 50% male and female, and also balanced between UK, EU and Non EU trained, and ethnically. All the women are full time and have children, bar the youngest aged 33.… -
Re: Tonight’s big political bet – how many Senators will vote to impeach Trump? – politicalbetting.com
FTP Politico.com - House Republican pleads for Pence, Trump aides to speak out on Jan. 6 insurrection "If you have something to add here, now would be the time," Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) wrote in a statement released late Friday. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/12/house-republicans-pence-trump-riot-468983 Rep. Jaime… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Liverpool, Wavertree : A Historical Tale of Caution
Tim has been pretty consistent in criticising both Labour and Tory governments for the housing crisis we face in this country. That the current government is going to carry on ramping up expenditure on housing benefit does rather imply that labelling them junkies is pretty apt. Labour were too. The solution, clearly, is a… -
Re: One party has form for ousting leaders, the other less so – politicalbetting.com
On Starmer, I've just read this aphorism. "Never take a gamble you're not prepared to lose." Wise words as I'm sure the punters would agree. Many have explained Starmer's decision to Mandelson as an understandable gamble, given the occupant if the White House. But it's striking that Starmer has been not at all prepared for… -
Re: About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics – politicalbetting.com
I disagree. The Greens, along with the fruit and nut party (yet to be formally named), are a melange of apology/guilt (for Great Britain's imperial past), protest (with an obsession about Gaza) and whining, with a doom and gloom message if the UK government doesn't make a radical left turn in its policy direction. They… -
Re: Bookmark this post and these tweets – politicalbetting.com
A very few might think that, I don't. Conservatives are decent, ordinary people with whom I simply disagree. I would argue since the Party they support has led the Government for the past 14 years it's not unreasonable to hold that Party to account for the state of the country. It doesn't seem as though the Conservative… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Elections Review : August 17th 2017
Also on housing, I recently came across this press release by the Halifax: https://tinyurl.com/z4xxmha I know we're living and (unfortunately) working longer, but this can only go so far: As house prices for a typical first-time buyer home have risen, there has been a growing trend towards mortgage terms longer than the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Human trials of a coronavirus vaccine could “begin in a fortni
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Re: Elections 2021: who wants what, who’ll get it, and what then? – politicalbetting.com
Politico.com - House Republican pleads for Pence, Trump aides to speak out on Jan. 6 insurrection "If you have something to add here, now would be the time," Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) wrote in a statement released late Friday. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/12/house-republicans-pence-trump-riot-468983 Rep. Jaime…
