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Re: Turkish delight for Erdogan from Elon Musk – politicalbetting.com
Poor Tories. There's no violin in the world small enough... The Conservative party has found itself at a crossroads on housebuilding, and whichever way they turn they risk alienating voters. Does the party of homeownership stay faithful to its loyal base who bought in a very different economic climate and don't very much… -
Re: The gender split is key – politicalbetting.com
The money that has been allocated to deal with public sector pay disputes is comparatively small beer and has been well spent. The big issue, which the previous Government did nothing to confront and this one doesn't want to talk about either because it is too bloody difficult, is the demographic trap and the dependency… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » George Osborne to become editor of the Evening Standard but he
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories move up 5pc in first full voting intention poll sinc
The population time bomb has been greatly exagerated: http://www.bmj.com/content/347/bmj.f6823 In terms of years of active life ahead of us and dependency ratio, things have been getting better. Working longer is a perfectly viable alternative to mass immigration, particularly unselective low skilled immigration. French… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just over five months after GE2019 – how Johnson and his top t
The quotas are agreed with the EU and the rights are allocated by the UK Government. That was the case before Brexit and it will be after now. It is what is being debated right now after all. The rights have been largely sold, certainly in English waters as helpfully clarified to me, and there is no mechanism for their… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the eve of the LAB ballots going out – a party at war
Corbynism is primarily about defeatism ; it is in fact the once mighty labour party throwing in the towel and accepting that they are now unelectable ; their gormless supporters are trying to convince themselves that it is about principle or convictions or any other sanctimonious drivel but it's not ; it is about DEFEAT… -
Re: The WH2024 GOP nominee debate barely moves the betting – politicalbetting.com
Just had coffee with an old mate. He's a proper time served chippy who has a great reputation and sub contracts out to the big local builders. The site he's on now has just got rid of most of its subs, including him ( he actually offered to go, he's well off enough to retire and was going to get off the tools next year… -
Re: Not much joy for the Tories in the 2023 polls – politicalbetting.com
The Hill - House Speaker vote: McCarthy, Roy reach tentative deal on Day 4 of stalemate Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said on a GOP conference call Thursday morning he has made progress on negotiations with Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) and others who have not been supporting him for Speaker. But the tentative deal is not… -
Re: He capers nimbly in a lady’s chamber, to the lascivious pleasing of a lute – politicalbetting.com
With regard to landlords, which has been discussed this morning. As I see it, there are several problems with forcing private landlords to sell their houses. 1. Council's rely on private landlords to house vulnerable people due to the lack of social housing. If they sell up, you create a homelessness crisis. So before you… -
Re: Why I still think LAB will struggle to get a majority – politicalbetting.com
It is quite frustrating to hear the same things again and again about housing. 1. BTL is over for the most part. Landlords are selling up because of increased costs and regulation. Few are going in to it. But it is this phenomenon this that is pushing up rents - supply dries up, demand doesn't, then rents go up, for which… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After last month’s IndyRef scare the May ICM Scottish poll
Care to point out where I claimed it was a human right? Thats right you can't. My complaint is simple, successive governments of all colours have worked to keep the house prices rising over and above both price inflation and wage inflation. This in turn has meant that the bottom rung of that property ladder has been pulled… -
Re: About that inevitable Labour landslide – politicalbetting.com
Calm down luv. I’m still calling it a double digit win for Khan. The Savanta around 10% is probably the winning score, with a bit of MOE. Outer London has higher turn out than inner London? So what? That doesn’t disprove the 22% lead in Yougov, as outer London is still packed with intelligent people to be polled, who… -
Re: Will an 81-year-old Biden really be on the ballot in Iowa? – politicalbetting.com
Funnily enough, under the current legislation yes you can hold the water company responsible. I don't know if there is a minimum number of houses but any development that is passed by planning has to be provided with a water supply by the water company. It has been a complaint from Anglian water for many years given the… -
Re: Scotland’s election – how the pollsters did – politicalbetting.com
And if you added 400,000 4-bedroom houses per year across the country you don't think that would reduce affordability problems? In my part of the country housing construction has been going great guns and house price to income ratio is 4x as a result. It is only when you're not constructing enough that prices go up. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mike Nattrass’s breakaway party could win 5% or more of the
Key points from the Shelter/KPMG report: It calls on politicians to commit to an integrated range of key measures, including: Giving planning authorities the power to create ‘New Homes Zones’ that would drive forward the development of new homes. Combined with infrastructure, this would be led by local authorities, the… -
Re: The next PM betting market in the last 48 hours – politicalbetting.com
No - my wife and I were both impressed with his speech especially on housing and bringing together politics across the divide and working together It is time labour got out of London and smelt the coffee Dismissing him as irrelevant is silly He has been a success in Manchester again by bringing politicians, organizations,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The battle between LAB & CON viewed through the perspective of
One practical area where I think metrication has been counter productive has been in housebuilding/renovation. You can't retrofit houses to be metric nor can you make new products which are incompatible with pre metric housing. So we end up with everything be the old imperial standards but just converted to metric… -
Re: The State of the Union, Week 5 – politicalbetting.com
Afternoon all :) We're back to matters European it would seem. My view has long been it will be a Conservative Prime Minister who will one day (and I'm thinking decades from now) take us back into the European Union and said Prime Minister will only do so when it is unequivocally in the national interest to rejoin. It… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s “Surrender Bill” rhetoric – cutting through ?
I don't think that is the case. under the FTPA the 14 days only start when there is a motion passed by the house which states "That this House has no confidence in Her Majesty’s Government". prior to the FTPA you couldn't resign as PM without naming a successor. it's never been possible for a PM to resign the whole… -
Re: History suggests it will be difficult to oust Starmer before the next election –politicalbetting.com
