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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory YouGov mini-surge seems to be over
"If you can build decent houses and turn a profit on an average £100,000 you have an incentive to build." Indeed. Sadly, you will not be able to build massed housing to a decent quality for £100,000 average. Remember, it needs to be decent housing, and therefore up to date with all the latest legislation. It would also be… -
Re: For the Tories Bexle & Sidcup could not have come at a worse time – politicalbetting.com
Well indeed I've made the point many times before that inflation has existed for the past few decades - its simply inflation that's benefited the old while punishing their grandchildren. The average rate of inflation in housing costs has been 6.2% from 1999 to 2019 and its actually been higher since I just don't have the… -
Re: Johnson’s PMQ response here on the ending ERASMUS looks set to be an initial challenge for the PM –
Decent jobs are needed to pay for the £150k homes yes but the market is after a decade of Tory government providing more of them than it was when Labour lost power. There's a reason home ownership has gone up under the Tories and went down under Labour and that is what is swinging constituencies like mine. For the past… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you are having GE17 withdrawal symptoms a round-up of every
The thing is the national debt is dwarfed by the real terms increase in house prices/housing costs - which, since the mid 70's, has transferred a pile of the nations wealth from non-property owners - and future property owners - to existing property owners. The more property you owned, the wealthier you became. The costs… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » MPs back the deal but block the timetable
But as mentioned above most of the deal has already been debated. To death. Are we really suggesting if an EU country said it was going to veto and it would be No Deal or the deal then they would say it can’t be done. Clearly not. The Benn act set out approval of an indicative vote by the house on 19th October knowing a… -
Re: New YouGov polling finds Tory collapse in its its heartlands – politicalbetting.com
It seems a lot of people have been buying houses on IO mortgages & they’re finding out exactly what that means: It’s just renting from the bank instead of from a landlord, only you have all the responsibility for keeping the property maintained & you’ve bought a huge long term interest bet to go alongside your rent… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A new way of showing how LAB and CON are viewed
My tuppence worth - I feel the opposite to @Casino_Royale about your performance on this issue of BLM and statues and Floyd. It has been (for me) your finest PB hour and by a long chalk too. Nor will I cheapen this by a snide rider about "low bar" or anything of that ilk. Your posts have been principled, thoughtful, punchy… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The referendum will be decided by voters who don’t feel str
I live in a smugly Liberal area. Most people are not concerned with immigration (except travellers). They are very pro the Green Belt, and they hate 'attacks' on it. But when you try to point out the link between immigration and the shortage of housing, and thus the pressure on the Green Belt, they get uncomfortable. They… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown
Wiki has a quote from Churchill on this treaty: In 1943 the Portuguese Government leased to Britain what became a major Allied air and naval base in the Portuguese islands, the Azores. Prime Minister Winston Churchill recounted reporting on the lease to the House of Commons: "I have an announcement", I said, "to make to… -
Re: My 100/1 tip to be our next Prime Minister – politicalbetting.com
I don’t recognise the 20% increase in house prices since 2016 - I bought my house then and the value is more or less. But let’s use your stats as the basis for the calculation: if the property had been worth £2.4m in 2016 and kept pace with inflation it would be worth £3.3m today. So their standard of living has declined… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New Rules. Britain’s changing constitution
The government only has the confidence of the House in the limited legal sense that it won the vote of confidence required by the Fixed Term Parliaments Act. In any meaningful practical sense it does not appear to have the Confidence of the House. In other words it has confidence de jure, but not de facto. These should not… -
Re: Why it’s becoming harder for a WH2024 Trump victory – politicalbetting.com
FPT @CorrectHorseBat Of course there's many policies introduced for those under 75. All Governments have a mix of good and bad policies and this is no different. Biggest problem in the country is housing and on that there's been a mix of bad and good actions. A distinct lack of enough building and the sensible reforms on… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dave might be out-pointing Ed on leader ratings and CON lea
@tim I thought that was the PB Tory argument against a house price bubble ten years ago. But now the same people are arguing it should be done again, this time with taxpayer subsidies, 0.5% interest rates falling real wages and devaluation of sterling Oh dear, tim, the PB Lefties are not very good at reading the economy… -
Re: So what is Johnson trying to cover up? – politicalbetting.com
This is on Radio 4 at the moment. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-63392025 "Luton 'stolen' house owner still fighting to get home back A man is still fighting to get his house back more than a year since it was sold without his knowledge. Reverend Mike Hall previously told the BBC of his shock at… -
Re: 11 days to go and punters aren’t expecting Badenoch to Kemikaze her chances – politicalbetting.com
Neither, I think. It all depends on what you can do with your own site. If it is in a conservation area, and you are therefore restricted in what you can do with it, then its development value is obviously less. What does your local plan say you can do with it? That determines its value. If a house builder has been given… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump: grinding his way to victory?
There's a reason Carswell won UKIP's only seat, and it's not because he's out of touch with his constituents: Carswell is a furiously efficient campaigner, and runs the neatest campaign office I’ve ever seen... he has a good local party helping him canvass what is now considered a Ukip safe seat...Carswell seems quite… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cyclefree on invitations to address Parliament and the latest
It has been handled badly, and it may well be the house as a whole likes that bercow says he will prevent trump speaking to parliament, shoukd a request come. The government does not micromanage the operations of the house. However, the right or popular thing can still be done in the wrong way, ignoring convention… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes make it 6/4 that there’ll be another Brexit referend
From the Guardian- 'David Howarth, a Cambridge law professor and former Lib Dem MP, has been in touch to say losing a vote on the Queen’s speech does have at least one practical effect. He explains: You might be interested to know that there would be a practical consequence for the government of losing the motion on the… -
Re: Trump acolyte Lindsey Graham to fall victim to the blue wave? – politicalbetting.com
Caveat: I am not a bettor, I read PB for the political news and personalities (honest), but I think we have an interesting House race here in New York that the more puntery of you might find interesting to look into. tl;dr: NY-11 may be a "surprise" Republican House pick-up next week. The 11th Congressional District of New… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » William Hill makes it 9-1 that GE2015 will lead to a second
I am not convinced that we are seeing sustained price rises across the country. If you look at a five year trend in mortgage lending and volume of property sales transactions to mid 2012 you would have expected the start of a price crash this year, similar to say the -10% correction experienced in Holland. In mid 2012,…