Search
-
Re: The betting money goes on 4 CON by-election losses – politicalbetting.com
I have been able to vote in general elections for 14 years. Now, I understand that in that time there have been an atypical number of general elections, but considering that my vote went to the winning candidate once, and that winning candidate is in a party of 14 MPs, I don't see how much impact my vote had. I was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov England & Wales polling has LAB down at 18.7% if th
Brexit might be good after all, it is making the unelected, undeserved, rich elite poorer and making them suffer too. The Queen is facing a million-pound black hole in her estates’ finances after Brexit which has caused consternation among royal aides, The Sunday Telegraph has learned. Sandringham Estate, the Queen’s… -
Re: Something to consider when betting on the next PM market – politicalbetting.com
Daniel Kinahan is ARRESTED in Dubai Dubai Police said the arrest took place on April 15. They said Kinahan, who has been based in the UAE for over a decade, was arrested within 48 hours of the warrant being issued by the Irish government. Somebodies bribe money didn't get paid on time. -
Re: Gavin Williamson has done another whoopsie – politicalbetting.com
You say that like its a bad thing. Our savings rate has been too long for a long time and is why we've run a long-term unsustainable structural trade deficit is it not? Plus most people will never cash out their "savings" on their house, so its a faux saving anyway which completely warps and distorts both our economics and… -
Re: Unquiet flows the Don – politicalbetting.com
Is it's a short-term crisis, long-term option 1 or long-term option 2 is not much of an answer :smile: . IMO there's a fair bit of positional bollocks in that story. eg Timber construction has long been widely used in North America, Scandinavia and Scotland, but has struggled for traction in England — where houses are… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ORB poll has Remain’s lead shrinking
I can't understand why Remain can't understand that the biggest issue for over a decade now has been our inability/unwillingness, as a nation, to properly plan to house our own people. From Prescott's disastrous Pathfinder policy of demolishing decent Victorian family homes to build poxy £150k 1 bed flats, to failure to… -
Re: Some good news for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
William Keegan has done a piece on Rachel Reeves in The Observer. Not what I would call inspiring. She differs from the Tories in believing that capital expenditure should be ignored from the borrowing rules and that we need a better trading deal with the EU. Hurrah! It sounds like under a Labour government we could be… -
Re: The question that won’t go away for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Claims about the number of UK parliamentarians with Irish passports have been widely shared on Twitter, including by the Labour MP Chris Bryant and the former MP and Europe minister Denis MacShane. The same claims have also appeared on Facebook. As far as we can tell, these claims are not correct. They seem to originate… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Tories are wrong to fear that Corbyn could become Prime Mi
'So you are saying that London LA are speculating on property values while subsidising low rents for their tenants' A large proportion of our current housing stock exists because local and central government 'speculated' in the housing market by building housing. It was called council housing and it was generally far… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The apparent greater enthusiasm amongst Ukip supporters co
At what "levels"? The sale price of a council house was based on its then full market valuation and only included a discount to reflect rent paid and depending on how long tenants had been living in the house. Plus if they sold their house before a minimum period had expired they would have to pay back a proportion of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cabinet next exit betting – a nice little earner for the bo
@tim [...continued] As it is difficult to access Neville Hill's and Steven Bryce's most up to date reports and the discussion of their views on Help to Buy in FTalphaville, here is Digitallook's summary: The UK housing market is not in a "bubble", Credit Suisse economists Neville Hill and Steven Bryce write today. That is… -
Re: Latest political betting odds from Smarkets – politicalbetting.com
Curse of the new thread! FPT: The fundamental problem is population ageing, which has been exacerbated by policy failures. Between 1980 and 2009 the old age dependency ratio (numbers aged 65+ to those aged 15-64) was stable, moving from 0.23 to 0.24. Since then it has increased to 0.31. In 10 years it is expected to be… -
Re: Why are misogynistic cultures so hard to root out? – politicalbetting.com
The fundamental problem is population ageing, which has been exacerbated by policy failures. Between 1980 and 2009 the old age dependency ratio (numbers aged 65+ to those aged 15-64) was stable, moving from 0.23 to 0.24. Since then it has increased to 0.31. In 10 years it is expected to be 0.37 and by the end of this… -
Re: Phallic Drift – politicalbetting.com
It is the inevitable consequence of that disgraceful display in the White House in particular and the appalling extortion that Trump has been attempting since. Germany has been stepping up shell production in a very big way. There was an interesting story yesterday about a new defence system against drones that we have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Tory is value as Next PM
What a strange article. It takes the HY hypothesis as a given (which is fair enough in terms of exploring scenarios) in spades, given that to stick around to 2024 probably requires a reasonable majority, then assumes that having achieved such a remarkable turnaround from the current shambles, Bozo then throws in the towel… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s New American Revolution
We can get on it by taking the trade deal the US offers us. Given Trump is pulling out of the TPP and demanding to rewrite NAFTA such a deal is unlikely to be one that works to the UK's advantage. America First is pretty self-explanatory. However, a totally deregulated, low tax economy in which public services are stripped… -
Re: Bet accordingly to this Robert Peston tweet – politicalbetting.com
I find it very bizarre how Sunak ended up in politics. He’s a young guy who has made a fortune, he’s married extremely well, he’s ridiculously well educated. He could have skipped politics and possibly had more influence on the world than being UKPM. He’s, purely on an insider view, the sort of wykehamist who was ragged at… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Saying you will vote for Ukip at GE2015: The great divider
@OblitimusSumMe 'Does anyone have a grasp of the numbers of strongly Eurosceptic Labour MPs?' Don't know but some are starting to come out of the woodwork. LabourList. 'The Labour Common Market Safeguards Committee morphed into some vague anti EU body. Today it has been re-created, it aim an end to the Common Market. It is… -
Re: One week on from the Capitol attack YouGov US on how the Americans mood now – politicalbetting.com
FPT Re: US House vote on Articles of Impeachment, here in WA State will be interesting to see how the three Republicans from our delegation vote: > Jaime Herrera Beutler of WA CD03 (Vancouver & southwest WA) has just said she will vote for impeachment. > Dan Newhouse of WA CD04 (Yakima & most of Columbia River basin east… -
Re: WTF? – politicalbetting.com
This is pure coincidence - I insist - but today I had drinks (in a rather worryingly quiet Soho) with a young journalist friend He’s quite right wing for his age. I asked him why. He told me he was red pilled by doing court reporting in various London courts, where he realised how social housing has been captured by…