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Re: So far the voters do not see Badenoch as a Prime Minister in waiting – politicalbetting.com
Where are these areas where rent and Local Housing Allowance align? To my eye it is specifically designed not to do so. The latter is defined as the 30th percentile of the local market rate for the property to which the household is entitled. That is if you are in a larger property you only get the rate for what you are… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Odds on Osborne as Cameron’s successor tighten as he takes
. @Topping he's a useless tit. ha yes well I know he's not your favourite but my point still stands. Who would have done so much better and what would that have been? tim's view I get - the house-building, infrastructure "investment" but he couldn't do that until the markets settled down and worked him out a bit. He has… -
Re: Some terrible front pages for BoJo over COVID – politicalbetting.com
Forgive my cynicism (esp. as I like their housing heating policy from yesterday), but presumably Sturgeon will submit hundreds of pages of evidence one hour before the hearing after sitting on it for months, then claim that she has been exonerated. It is rather unfortunate that the header uses the only technically accurate… -
Re: About the Farage comeback – politicalbetting.com
On housing, one factor has been the growth of older people splitting up and living on their own. What the nations needs is an oldies dating programme. Get all those selfish old folk out of their three bed houses and coupled up once again. More sex for the elderly, more houses for the young... -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Antifrank compares 2015 to 1992
On home ownership, what strikes me is just how few have been built over the last 20 years. And that the few that have been built offer nothing like the living space of homes built up until c.1985. I went back to the town I grew up in the weekend. I have been back many times, but this time I was explicitly looking at homes… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the General Election betting a CON majority drops from a 40
Currently it is true that it only applies to new builds, from 2013-16 there was also a help to buy mortgage guarantee that applied to all properties below £600k whether new or old. Prior to 2013 house price inflation had been close to flat since the gfc, with the introduction of the scheme it moved to 5-10% per year. Since… -
Re: Wallace and Truss top the latest CONHome ratings – politicalbetting.com
But it's not easy to see how you sustain moderate inflation for several years without interest rates and mortgage rates going up to match. And if you do that, then it's game over for a lot of mortgage payers. And once again, the problem is generational. The price of my house falls by 50%, hey ho, it wasn't real money in… -
Re: LAB’s set to win most seats but is not in majority territory – politicalbetting.com
I’ll answer my own question. if you are going to argue there is a housing crisis, not enough supply for demand, immigration etc, please note the statistic of how many lie empty. A key part of the problem is affordability - the cost of housing - you can’t build them if people can’t afford them, you can’t bring down the cost… -
Re: Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
Good morning everyone. Off to vote by e-bike soon, to do my bit in treading down the earth on the political grave of Generation Headless Chicken Tory - two puns there in one, for @TSE . The big news is that I found a (frozen) pheasant in the freezer, so it's air fried pheasant and Red then English Sparkling wine tonight.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If it’s Farage versus Carswell then there can only be one o
Maybe you're missing the point that for most people these are matters about which they care little. There is however scepticism about governments which extends in spades to the unelected bureaucrats in Brussels. However, overall that is probably not sufficient to persuade people that we should leave. The world has changed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The generational splits that are working brilliantly for Ni
Mr. Jonatha: 'could be better' is a fantastically understated description. Its accounts are unaudited and have been for over a decade, its leaders are unelected, it has no mandate, it spends and increases spending when every single member state is forced to face harsh economic realities, it ignores referendum results when… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My 50-1 shot for the WH2016 Republican nomination has an ov
Morning all! I am in sunny Switzerland. Busy day ahead and I jolly well hope that there aren't people on my plane home flying on stolen passports. Since I was last on I have been promoted, which is nice - though the workload is as heavy as ever, alas. My predictions: the Republicans will choose someone unelectable (again),… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The battle for Labour appears to be being won by contender
The problem is that the rebel Labour MP's really HAVEN'T provided some good reasons to satisfy party members who supported Corbyn 10 months ago. What those party members are hearing from Labour MP's is that a a large number have been openly critical of him since the day he was elected and have undermined him at every turn… -
Re: Scotland wants change – politicalbetting.com
It seems to me that Neidle is saying that it doesn't matter what Rayner has said, her PPR was her husband's house and, chances are, she probably didn't owe tax on her own house anyway. But, Rayner has been behaving as though it does matter where she lived, which makes me think she could be in a spot of bother. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Saving lives and protecting the NHS
Harold Wood hospital, where I was born, has also been knocked down for the same reason https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harold_Wood_Hospital https://ezitis.myzen.co.uk/haroldwood.html As has Rush Green https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rush_Green_Hospital https://ezitis.myzen.co.uk/rushgreen.html So no need to wonder why there is… -
Re: YouGov Brexit tracker: “Wrong to leave” has biggest lead yet – politicalbetting.com
AP and CNN have declared Republican the winner in CA27 - giving GOP their 218th seat & the majority in US House of Representatives. Democrat have been declared in 211 seats Here are the six seats as yet undecided (source NYT) Four where Republican is currently ahead in the count: > CA22 - Valadao (R) leading by +6% [voted… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I agree with Fraser Nelson – In September 2010 Labour elect
Understanding I shouldn't write from the mobile.... this message "A housing protestar has been headbutted in front of Community ventre were Hampstead labour selection is taking place....ambulance callex " actually means "Housing protester has been headbuttted in front of the Community Centre where Hampstead & Kilburn… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Immigration, immigration, immigration – it hasn’t gone away yo
As to yesterday's events, my words of wisdom and erudition from 24 hours ago: "My view has always been she needs a minimum of 200 MPs supporting her to continue in any credible form even if the rules say she wins with 158 or 160 or whatever. I think tonight she'll get around 220-230 which will mean 80-90 MPs won't support… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump bans all travel to Europe for a month from tomorrow excl
This is imbecilic: The White House has ordered health officials to treat top-level coronavirus meetings as classified, according to a Reuters report citing anonymous administration officials. The unusual step has restricted information about the scope of infections, quarantines and travel restrictions from those without… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The BBC’s Sporting Personality of the Year Election: Why I’
What a silly comment, Carl. Why is it that the lefties are convinced there will be another Brownian "unsustainable housing bubble"? It is not just that there is no evidence to support a view that a bubble is developing but, of all asset prices currently inflating, housing is not the place to be looking. First, on house…