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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP slips to just 6% with Ipsos MORI as CON moves up 9% to
May needs a plan on Brexit before she is elected. Draft something up and take it to the electorate in October to be rubber-stamped once Corbyn has been crowned. Landslide time. Corbyn would probably then hang on after the defeat as his supporters can blame the plotters in the PLP and not his inherent unelectability. Cue… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Many Democrats are viewing the November 6th Midterms in same w
Totally O/T, my experience of the NHS today. My friend whis 72 and lives alone was diagnosed with prostate cancer. On Tuesday I dropped him off at the QA hospital in Portsmouth as he was having his prostate removed. He had a five hour operation. I spoke to him yesterday at Lunchtime and he sounded shot away and visited him… -
Re: What do we think of Isam’s CON majority bet? – politicalbetting.com
May stabilise with school hols finishing, and people going back off furlough. What's interesting is that elec demand continues to fall at a rate of knots. Are you on Octopus Agile? Their spot price has occasionally been up around 60p in their "expensive hour", and occasionally actually negative. You can work wonders with a… -
Re: The extraordinary battle the AstraZeneca vaccine has in being accepted across Europe – politicalbett
Of course! Its been a cluster fuck. But isn't that down to incompetence and the wildly different agendas being driven by leading members states forcing the EU into contradictory nonsense? The main accusation against the EU has always been "unelected bureaucrats dictating to member states" - on this very forum this last… -
Re: Starmer is the most trustworthy GB wide politician – politicalbetting.com
Their big driver of growth was supposed to be house building. So far they've utterly failed on that. Planning reform has been delayed and watered down to near insignificance, and housing starts in some areas (London for example) have flatlined. Good intentions, and very few achievements. As an aside, the long overdue of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Scottish Sun to “remain neutral” in next years referend
@hucks67 Do you not see the connection between the amount of housing benefit paid and the fact that a small two bed house costs £700 a month to rent? The last government let HB get totally out of control (and in fairness it was not in great shape when they started). The result is a massive public sector subsidy to private… -
Re: Only 37% of 2024 Tories think Badenoch would make the best PM – politicalbetting.com
I'm sure this has already been mentioned, but there was a Special Election in the Iowa State Senate yesterday where the Dems flipped a seat, that had gone 60:40 for Trump in November. This is interesting because Elise Stefanik's House Seat was 58:42 in November, and (once she is confirmed as US Ambassador the UN) there… -
Re: It’s now odds-on that BJ will be replaced by the end of 2022 – politicalbetting.com
Yes, it has always been like that. Nurses get unsocial hours supplements etc, but off the top of my head I can't remember how that works. Mind you, when I was a junior doctor I was paid 38% of the base rate for on call, so on Christmas day would be the lowest paid worker in the hospital as House Officer. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A big loser from the locals is Change UK who decided to sit th
Just a thought, which I am putting as a contrarian way of looking at the results of the locals. Local councils, all over the UK are creaking as the austerity policy continues to restrict the money required to pay for the services that the councils are legally obliged to provide. Already there has been one Conservative run… -
Re: Northern Ireland [Westminster] Constituencies : Part One (Safe Seats) – politicalbetting.com
Pensioners have been hosed down with largesse since 2010 courtesy of the triple lock. In most other areas of expenditure it's been all about inadequate increases or outright cuts. The deficit is down to our being a low wage, low productivity economy full to bursting with benefit dependent people (pensioners, the… -
Re: The Sunday open thread – politicalbetting.com
There has been an increase in new household formation (divorce never really noticed, but also immigration) and a sclerotic planning system resulting in constraints on supply. Additionally much of the public good spending (eg on insulation) has been laid on house owners through building regs. The lack of an efficient social… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The dramatic moment when after four years as betting favourite
@Wulfrun_Phil "The test is whether he can deliver real increases in median US incomes, and if not the rust belt is going to revert back to their traditional allegiances. " Assuming, for the sake of argument, we accept the first part of your opening paragraph, I am not sure the final conclusion holds true. It was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Backing Labour to win the popular vote on June 8th
They do seem to have been dying off for some years. Around town so far I've seen two little orange Lib Dem diamonds in the windows of houses, and one (admittedly very large) Tory placard attached to a fence. And that's it. Maybe it's just that the reputation of politics has taken such a battering from the accumulation of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Oldham West & Royton set to be Corbyn’s first big electoral
I'm always amazed these places are vacant/abandoned in such postcodes.Paradise lost and found: Fascinating pictures inside the crumbling manor house that was once home to epic poet John Milton Berkyn Manor in Horton, Slough, has been a family home for 450 years - once to Paradise Lost poet John Milton It has been lying… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not in my name: Alastair Meeks looks at Jeremy Corbyn’s par
Actually the Corbynistas are dead right in their view that the BBC is campaigning against them. The BBC mindset is liberal-left, not Corbynite, and the Beeboids are horrified that he is making Labour unelectable. That has been extremely obvious for months, and, try as they might, the Beeboids can't hide it. There was a… -
Re: Sunak’s spot of sunshine: Reform underperformed – politicalbetting.com
To be fair, the houses for pennies is more to do with geography - younger people don’t want to live in some medieval house in some hill village five miles up a winding mountain road - than shortage of people per se. The Italian model has always been, family owns a significant property that stays in the family and… -
Re: The strikes: The Tories are struggling to win public support – politicalbetting.com
Battle of the Capitol Hill Bottom-Feeders! The Hill - Greene and Boebert trade public barbs over McCarthy, ‘space lasers’ Tension between conservative firebrand Reps. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) and Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) has spilled into public view, with the two trading barbs over House Minority Leader Kevin… -
Re: Let’s party like it is 2005 – politicalbetting.com
I might be inclined to that, but it would be a big enough change so as to be difficult in one jump. We all saw how expensive the fairly moderate changes to NICs in this spring and last authum have been. I think I would argue for NICs on Private Pension Income being used directly to increase the State Pension by ~8%. To me… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair Starmer becomes the 26% favourite to be next PM
I congratulate Johnson on his government's response to Covid-19. It hasn't been without its shortcomings, and the tardy decision to lockdown knocks a point or two off their total. On the whole the action taken has been sensible, and long may Johnson and his team's resolve continue. In the USA however, irrespective of the… -
Re: Angela, Angela, when will those clouds all disappear? – politicalbetting.com
I’m reminded of when I moved into a new house in my ward, already elected as one of the local councillors, to discover that our property was surprisingly Council Tax banded A, despite being a four-bedroom house. In the past it had been split into two flats and the council tax register had never been updated when the flats…