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Re: Undefined discussion subject.
His base is enough to win the primaries. The question is how much further it extends: his national ratings are appallingly low. This is a marmite candidate par excellence. Hillary is undoubtedly weak but she doesn't scare the horses particularly and while most Sanders voters have no love for her, they'll ride in against… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Diana James now 75% favourite to be next UKIP leader
Not quite accurate. The weekend before Polling Day seemed to show the Alliance pretty well even with Labour , but Labour appeared to rally in the final 48 hours. 1983 was an election where the polls actually understated Labour and overstated the Tories. Whilst Thatcher won a landslide majority of 144 the polls had been… -
Re: The longer the EU row goes on the better it is for Hancock and Johnson – politicalbetting.com
It's also a good side note to the patriotism and the left discussion; WWII Soviet factory workers pulled of some stupendous feats of production involving unpaid overtime, 14 hour shifts, contributing their wages towards the cost of an eg T34. Most industrialised countries had some version of this of course and there may… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Brexit scare mongering Tweet of the day
Sorry for commenting on the previous thread header, but I've been out all day. The premise that "It’s possible that LAB could’ve fared better with a unequivocal Remainer as head" is frankly pure wishful thinking and does not follow from Rob Ford's analysis. Having been the local Constituency Labour Party Secretary at the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Salmond says he’s ready to put his job on the line and even
Charming...... Posters urging voters to say No Thanks to independence are being defaced, damaged and stolen within hours of being put up in parts of rural Scotland. Some have been smashed while others have had words including “scum” spray-painted across them “under cover of darkness”, according to volunteers.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Where will the next Thatcher come from?
Syria: What chemical weapons? The story in The Times that the chemists at Porton Down have confirmed some kind of chemical weapon in ground samples from Syria will not come as a surprise to anyone who followed the conflict. Its appearance and timing are really the questions. The US President in particular talked of the red… -
Re: Introducing the LAB-LD “pact” that doesn’t exist and won’t – politicalbetting.com
Wrt hospitality. My youngest had been doing bar and restaurant work on a casual basis while doing his A- levels. He lives literally across the road so gets texted to come in when needed. Was doing 2-3 nights a week plus Sundays since the Summer. From mid-December he's done one Sunday and 3 hours on New Year's Eve. Just no… -
Re: Four months of the weekly local by-election bet – politicalbetting.com
Well, if you think I have signed up to 100% Donald Trump, you haven't read my posts in the past or, more likely, viewed them through a certain prism. I could go on and on but my simple premise has always been this: in a 2 horse race, you choose whom you think is the better candidate and I thought Trump. Does not mean they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The indyref results thread – As YouGov have a poll out
Absolutely spot on with that comment. I feel sad that Andy Murray didn't feel able to declare his own view until after last night's newspapers had been put to bed. And yes, that is why I think that he held off with that tweet until the wee hours of this morning. Andy Murray should have felt as comfortable as anyone else in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Fewer don’t knows and a greater certainty to vote give the
'Our *legendary* conference karaoke kicks off in just over an hour. It’s at LEGENDS and it’s DOWNSTAIRS. See some of you there #LLKaraoke' labourlist The last - and only - time I ended up at Legends after a night out I had a bloke doing an impromptu pole dance in my face. Which would have been fine, if not for the plastic… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be
Good God. I go away for a couple of hours and apparently PB is now devoted to source criticism of the New Testament and The Quest for the Historical Jesus! I'm afraid this approach is barking up the wrong tree. No doubt Jesus existed, but even by the period of the earliest records we have several quite different pictures… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Con-UKIP electoral pact? Forget it. It isn’t going to hap
I don’t think we’ve got a precedent in British mainland politics for this, although as Tom Griffin says upthread at a desperately early hour ..... posting from the ME? ........ the Ulster Unionists were squuezed out by the harder line, and less patrician-led DUP. Let’s not forget that Paisley was, in NI terms a right-wing… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Round up of 65+ polling on the man 56% of his backers think
Fortunately there is a website that shows what the polls were: http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/06/22/two-massive-poll-boosts-for-remain-with-voting-starting-in-less-than-nine-hours/ Notably there may have been a late swing to Remain, but postal votes were sent when the polls showed a substantial… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This morning’s MUST READ: the Guardian account of how it al
My bullish April confidence about a Tory majority continued until about May 5th, when I spoke to Dad, whom I bounce financial/business ideas off, about preparing for a Lab-SNP government. I suppose I had also been subconsciously putting off large expensive business investment decisions until after polling day The polls… -
Re: Six hours to go before Georgia voting closes and the pressure builds on Pence who oversees tomorrow’
On the subject of kidney stones, the worst, I mean WORST, pain I had was originally diagnosed as a kidney stone. After a weekend of increasing stomach pain it really kicked off early Monday morning. My partner took me to A&E and after me gibbering on the floor for 20 minutes they gave me a painkiller via a suppository;… -
Re: Latest COVID related polling and an excellent cartoon on Boris’s challenge – politicalbetting.com
After everything I've seen since I got back from my (mercifully mostly news-free) break yesterday afternoon, I'm more convinced than ever that what we are headed for later in the Autumn is Lockdown 2.0 - April, plus shit weather, masks and schools. It's simply a matter of how long it takes now to get there. I reckon that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How each Westminster seat voted at the May 2019 Euros
First post, have been lurking for a while but cleaning the house has lost its appeal so time to pop up with some thoughts. It strikes me that this election is likely to see lot of churn compared to 2017, so looking at 2017 as a starting point is not very helpful. Looking at the Euros may give us some clues, so thank you… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gove pushes Boris out off the top slot in ConHome’s latest
I don't know. I can imagine some quite amusing moments whenever Corbyn goes on his poverty schtick. 'Mr Speaker, how does the leader of the party of privilege explain this?' 'I am very grateful to the right honourable member from the seven bedroom manor house and boarding school for drawing attention to the fact that I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Republican voters remain solidly behind Trump in the first pos
On Topic "The big question will be how it impacts on the midterm elections at the start of November." Normally speaking, mid-terms are for the more politically motivated party, which tends to be the party out of government normally, but for the past few cycles has been the GOP. This year is really hard to read. 1. Trump… -
Re: At Batley and Spen Starmer’s LAB did something that the Tories haven’t managed since 2016… – politic
Well now. The Securities and Exchange Commission today charged three individuals with insider trading in advance of an announcement by Long Blockchain Company (formerly known as Long Island Iced Tea Co.) that it was going to "pivot" from its existing beverage business to blockchain technology, which caused the company’s…