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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Where do the Lib Dems go fro
What you might realise if you had ever been a member of a political party, is that losing a VONC in that context would result in replacement as leader within hours. Probably see more than half the party in Parliament submitting letters, to negate the need for a confidence vote. Politics is about power and confidence, if… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB lead down but Tories trail by 5 percent in first phone
(FPT) Inheritance? Nicholas Fairbairn MP disinherited his own children, in favour of his new wife, just a few hours before he died. Under Scottish law, this had no effect, as his children were entitled to inherit regardless of his wishes. As a lawyer, he would have known that. Thus his action in disinheriting them must… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Fillon stays in the race and the morning’s big betting move to
That quote about lies spreading around the world before the truth can gets its pants on.... CH4 have form on this kind of issue. I remember them doing a big story on an academic who allegedly had been refused entry to work in the UK due to tougher immigration laws...which turned out to be total horses##t. Even the most… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Pre-Christmas voodoo surveys might have had a big move against
@TSE "I've always been in favour of helping to educate the masses. As a working class Northerner, I know how much a good education can help somebody achieve their potential. " Ah well, one good short Latin phrase would have wrapped that up. I'm a working class Southerner, and hard graft can sometimes be replaced by a bit… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on the Ukaine crisis and NATO meeting
Rather less than 500 years ago actually: "Such was the case when James Irwin was lynched on January 31, 1930. Irwin was accused of the murder of a white girl in the town of Ocilla, Georgia. Taken into custody by a rampaging mob, his fingers and toes were cut off, his teeth pulled out by pliers and finally he was castrated.… -
Re: For the first time since GE2019 a CON overall majority is now favourite next general election outcom
This is part of the issue - some pensioners are sticklers for the rules. I last saw my parents in October and we actually ended up staying with them when it was illegal, but that only happened because we arrived on Thursday (as planned a number of weeks before), it was announced late Thursday or early Friday that they were… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Labour view of the party’s looming electoral disaster
Morning all :) To change the mood a little - no, I've not been posing down the pub - a quick report from the election backwater that is East Ham. The suspension of political activity here hasn't changed much or indeed anything. We've had the election address from Stephen Timms but last Saturday as Mrs Stodge and I were… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » One of today’s TWO YouGov polls has the LDs trailing GRN fo
"Cyril Smith admitted spanking and touching boys, but I let him stay, says Lord Steel Lord Steel, the former Liberal leader, said he confronted Cyril Smith over allegations that he spanked and touched teenagers and was 'surprised' when he admitted they were true" An article in Private Eye in 1979 alleged that Smith, who… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling figures that could lay to rest any idea of a CO
Aunty, Your record is as scratched as a Soho's sewer-rat's itch. Your "posting record" is a known comedy. You blame, sweet innocent me (seriously), of behaviour yet you miss the parody of the response. As for politics; Hah! Do you agree with me (as posited t'other thread) that the tax system should be simple, fair and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At last “deal of no deal” looks to take centre stage in the CO
> @Nemtynakht said: > > @ydoethur said: > > > @ydoethur said: > > > > > I'd be interested to know which parts of this country are more economically deprived than parts of Eastern Europe. > > > > > And then see the data as to whether those economically deprived parts of Britain have net immigration to or from… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So far the Kamala Harris announcement hasn’t impacted on the W
Interesting Politico article. What Harris Got from Biden During Her Job Interview https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/08/13/joe-biden-kamala-harris-relationship-395160 Joe Biden is 77. Kamala Harris is 55. They come from different coasts and didn’t overlap in the Senate. There aren’t many people who know both of… -
Re: On the face of this should be a safe CON by-election hold – politicalbetting.com
meanwhile back at the ranch . . . Seattle Times ($) King County Councilmember Kathy Lambert backtracks, apologizes for mailer, as supporters condemn it as racist King County Councilmember Kathy Lambert apologized Friday for a political mailer roundly condemned as racist, after supporters of her campaign and longtime donors… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The worry for Nick Clegg is if moves like this in Nottingha
I don't think that Labour wanted to dance in 2010 - they were politically and intellectually exhausted from 13 years in power. It's a realistic a scenario as a Major-Ashdown deal would have been had the 1992 election produced a Hung Parliament (which it nearly did). On the rest, I don't disagree. The philosophical way… -
Re: Johnson has 15% lead over Sunak amongst CON voters as “best PM” – politicalbetting.com
Well, it was a vote, and she struggled. The Khaki nature of the foreign situation didn’t mean she was safe till later, what needed to be done went ahead. I don’t want to be rude or anything, I’m also not sure “deficit not averaging over ten, so Boris safe” spin stands up either. This I took from a PB header from Mike… -
Re: Freedom Day with the PM and Chancellor self-isolating doesn’t send out the planned message – politic
Off-topic: A pop-up vaccination centre is in our village today, and I was glad to see long queues outside it when I passed, two hours apart. We also had a lady just knock on our door and ask if we'd been vaccinated; they're going around trying to get people out. First time I'd heard of this happening, and I think it's… -
Re: Public support for the rail strike is increasing – politicalbetting.com
I think the issue is that there is such a range. Some people have it without any symptoms or ill effects. Others are bedridden. Those in my family who have had it have been at the serious end and quite unable to work. I think if you are infectious, depending on what you do, you should consider the potential effect on those… -
Re: The Tiverton & Honiton LDs start as odds on favourite – politicalbetting.com
Speaking of St Charles Ave in New Orleans, worked for a guy whose aunt & uncle lived in one of those big houses during the 1950s and 1960s. On one memorable occasion, uncle came home from work to find aunt in tears. Because an couple of NO police had stopped by, because she'd wracked up an impressive number of unpaid… -
Re: Is Donald Trump the electoral behemoth his congressional allies think he is? – politicalbetting.com
I don't care if it is on one or not, but if it was on and removed due to protests then those getting outraged are not exactly making things up if they use the word ban, even if it is not the best word to use. The implication I got from the rejoinder of fake news was that it had not been removed at all and the story was a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Quantifying the great cultural divide: those wanting blunt lea
Another thing on libel. During the hours after the Westminster Bridge attack, posts naming the perpetrator were deleted because they didn't come from a reputable source. Yet, it was okay for the wrong name to be posted because it had been incorrectly named by Channel 4 news. I'd have thought Mr Cox could sue the MoS, and… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
His base is enough to win the primaries. The question is how much further it extends: his national ratings are appallingly low. This is a marmite candidate par excellence. Hillary is undoubtedly weak but she doesn't scare the horses particularly and while most Sanders voters have no love for her, they'll ride in against…