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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Back Sadiq Khan as Next Labour Leader at 33/1
He wouldn't have to come back within the same parliament. He could return at the 2020 general election (if that's when it is), which is also when his current London term expires. Yes, it's a bit of a U-turn but could be done without obviously looking disloyal / preparing for leadership election: "it has been an honour and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ahead of EURef the Electoral Commission turns to Facebook t
O/T: In Berlin (oddly for the first time) for a conference and afterwards went for a few hours round the centre. Really overwhelming history, with dozens of towering buildings, plaques and artistic displays commemorating massive events - the Brandenburg Gate, the Reichstag, Kennedy's speech, the Soviet war memorial... I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Chancellor Hammond is right: extending the Article 50 deadline
I remain of the view that the deal will prevail. Theresa May, this Prime Minster of ours, this unflashy and painfully shy daughter of a vicar, is a fighter. She reminds me of Muhammad Ali. Not any old version, but the one on display in October 1974, Zaire, the greatest single adversarial event in all of human history, Ali… -
Re: Day 41 of the Truss premiership and some terrible front pages – politicalbetting.com
All my pensions are DC, apart from one (a company one from many years ago), in the private sector you just cannot generally get DB pensions now I haven't had a DB in 35 years, casual labour and zero hour contracts affect everyone not just millenials, public services have been crap for many years. Every year we hear the… -
Re: At what point could Sunak be in trouble? – politicalbetting.com
I have an ex who always felt she'd been victimised by the world, and sometimes she had. One way this played out is that she always wanted me to fix everything. So, when she lost her job she became upset when I didn't do the things she thought I ought to do to get her job back - like camp outside her boss's house until that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories get to within one percent in today’s YouGov daily po
When I reported our concerns about my friend to police back in March, they had the awful job of telling me that he had taken his own life. I was rather upset, and a couple of coppers spent an hour with me as we chatted about Steve and his life. The next day I wrote an email to the police station, thanking the officers for… -
Re: The holiday hopes of thousands get dashed as Shapps moves Portugal back to the Amber list – politica
The last half hour of Vice is about Iraq. Tony Blair's in it, briefly, and 7/7. A reminder that we are not always the good guys. The great thing about President Trump is that he reined in the neocons. And yes, Trump had been railing against China for decades. He was probably right, even if he was wrong about, and possibly… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Hard to justify Tim Farron’s 1/7 favourite odds after seein
Car crash time. Surprised that Neil didn't ask Farron about his views on Carmichael, I think this could become a LibDem achilles heel as it does not appear to sit comfortably with "Liberal" values, which these guys constantly spout forth on. Interestingly it appears that the LibDems have not yet decided if they will pick… -
Re: By signing the Good Friday Agreement 23 years ago the UK made Brexit hard if not impossible – politi
On-topic: it's usually silly to insist on calling your political opponents crazy, but people should take a step back and then take a good calm look at the DUP. This party was in favour of Brexit, and not just Brexit but a hard Brexit. Now if we accept the premise of the header, which we should, then basically they wanted… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Like the French strategy with the Maginot Line the Cummings &
Archer showed little sign of patience while batting, and last Sunday Leach was facing bowlers who had been "on the field" for 24 hours. It is a totally different kettle of fish to take the shine off the new ball at 11:02 on the first morning. Leaving Stokes or Bairstow stranded at the end of the innings is a much higer… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And now the fourth Presidential Inauguration since PB was foun
If you are referring to the last bit about public service, Truman did his time as president and then went home to live in the house he inherited from his mother. He refused every corporate position offered to him as he felt it would be abusing his position as a former president. No endorsements, no directorships and no… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BREXIT backer George Galloway enters the race for Manchester G
There is no one integration / mixing model. My secondary school was around 20% South Asian, though slightly more Hindu than Muslim, and friendship groups were commonly mixed with all groups participating well - my own group mixed all types. My siblings, only a few years later, went to another secondary school with a more… -
Re: The Ukraine war as seen from Estonia – politicalbetting.com
So far - about an hour - America is also stupidly expensive. I just had two glasses of OK Chilean red wine. £35 including tip Wtf. And this is in a significantly shit airport terminal The same at Luton would have been half the price. And served with greater skill and speed America you need to shape up or I’m gonna have a… -
Re: What are Ministers for? – politicalbetting.com
I sense this is probably true "Some observations from 24 hours on the ground in Israel. I hadn’t fully understood how much the country had so profoundly changed. The horrors of October 7 were much worse than I had imagined and have been reported. The resolve of the Israeli people and willingness to do what is necessary to… -
Re: Survation is great for Lab and the SNP but awful for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Strangely. This is reminiscent of a little PB conversation I had about a week ago about graduates in teaching. And about SEN kids outside even special schools, and working in PRU's. Am constantly asked by my colleagues how I manage it. How I maintain total calm in the face of horrific behaviour and exceptional panic… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Outsiders have rarely become PM – but that doesn’t mean they c
I find @NickPalmer airly worrying, shameful even. I thought of myself as on the left of Labour before Corbyn. Always wanted a more economically activist government. Although I never backed Corbyn as I think him a fraud on that front. Lots of empty and unexplained promises, no intellectual justification other than certainty… -
Re: New poll has 59% want CON MPs to vote to remove BoJo – politicalbetting.com
Laughing at your opening comment. We've been here for nearly an hour. But just checking in on the last thread, we appear to have had active threads going concurrently for some time. How odd. Anyway, my view is that, disappointingly, Boris survives, for now - about 60:40. Too easy to extrapolate from those MPs making the… -
Re: Don’t knows and Brexit are Starmer’s Kryptonite – politicalbetting.com
I don't think I've ever seen so much economic illiteracy in one post - impressive on this site. Low corporate and payroll taxes certainly boost economic growth (see Lee and Gordon, 2005, OECD 2010, Arnold, 2011, Mertens and Ravn, 2013, etc. etc. etc.) But the argument that they don't simply doesn't pass the sniff test. If… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In a State: Assessing WH2020
Ah; thanks. Did this poem for O level back in mid 1950's and I suspect the English master would not wish to have been so pedantic with 15 year old boys. The idea of a short skirt was rousing enough! Obviously much shorter than the skies of the girls at the school next door, with whom we were discouraged from associating. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The political backcloth to current events is that the majority
Is London getting a taste of what it's been like in the back of beyond since electricity privatisation? Four power cuts in the last year. None very long, fortunately. Three or four a year are probably about average, not often more than 12 hours. But our 4-day loss of supply in October 2002 would have caused riots if it had…