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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The CON-LAB polling misery continues
> @IanB2 said: > > @Tissue_Price said: > > What my analysis below means for the Remain parties is that they may not be as badly off as has been assumed, at least in the larger regions, provided that they can all poll at 9% or above, which currently looks difficult only for CUK. Indeed it would be theoretically possible for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New Ipsos MORI polling finds that we’re struggling to remain p
You’re not taking into account shifting demography and social attitudes. Cardiff North is where all the lecturers at Cardiff, Cardiff Met and South Wales live. Sheffield Hallam, Brighton and Hove, Portsmouth, Bristol are all palaces with a substantial university element. Warwick and Leamington is very middle-class… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The share of the GB vote required for an overall majority –
You are deliberately misunderstanding, tim. The banks are currently not lending enough because they are reducing their loan books to meet the additional capital adequacy requirements required by the Prudential Regulation Authority division of the Bank of England. Until the banks are recapitalised by injection of market… -
Re: Can Reform outpoll the Tories with YouGov? – politicalbetting.com
You still have to be a special order of arsehole to not let them board - when they have turned up before the ship sails. I was once bounced off a Lufthansa flight from Sana'a because we arrived at the check-in gate 1 minute past the allotted desk closure. Wouldn't have been so bad, but it was the last flight out before… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » There could be double trouble for the markets if Trump does ma
![[Deleted User]](https://wd.vanillicon.com/d2ea526b1b06ed109333f390c7ae956b_100.png)
I don't think we could have picked a worse time to put us through the uncertainty of Brexit....when (not if) the next economic shock hits us....it'll be tough. We've learned since Brexit that the EU is a prison and they'll try to make you suffer if you dare to leave. The penalty for apostasy is death. Brussels remains… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The IndyRef YES price touches rock bottom as punters give t
Are journalists frightened of reporting true facts in Gaza? You bet they are: Indian reporter posts backstory to viral rocket video NDTV reporter Sreenivasan Jain, whose video of Hamas operatives assembling and firing rockets from a civilian area went viral, writes an article with more information on the incident: “We had… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A prolonged suspension of the campaign at this critical stage
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Podcast discussion on general election betting between Mike
It's been 24 hours since Labour last had a poll lead with Yougov. The Day the Polls turned for TND. Basil is doing backflips. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson, PB’s LAB insider, says Yvette, not Burnham
Lord help us all if I'm a "Labour party insider"! I am an elected town councillor and a minor party functionary locally. BTW where I differ from many on this site is that I don't just talk about politics I get out there and do it (and having people say "I'm voting for you" when you knock on the door is very nice...!) - but… -
Re: Starmer’s flawed strategy? – politicalbetting.com
I find this polling fascinating because Labour’s current polling lead could shrink if the government stops becoming quite so unpopular between now and election. Secondly no great support for Labour’s policies means they risk becoming rapidly very unpopular if and when they take power. Statements of the obvious. Labour's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Last night’s confidence vote points to a pathway to the leader
Just had a thought... If May had proposed a 2nd vote a week ago, she would have been brought down by her own MPs. Now, she cannot be for 12 months.* Will she surprise us all, at the 11th hour, and roll the dice? * NB: obviously if most of the Cabinet tell her she is done, then she might still have to go. But she is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Consolation for Theresa – in spite of the Tory turmoil LAB isn
Whilst the Arabs before the 1100's made contributions to astronomy and maths, after 1100 or so the they had to deal with Mongols from the east and Crusades from the west. One of the earliest inventors of the scientific method lived in Basra In the west things had been more or less "dead" scientifically from about 500AD as… -
Re: HAS LABOUR CAUGHT UP WITH THE SNP IN SCOTTISH GENERAL ELECTION POLLING? – politicalbetting.com
Morning all. On that last point it's also worth a note that monitoring proportionally is far lower in Scotland than in England. I'm amused by the sectarian narratives built out of this. It's Privatisation !! It's Brexshit !!! It's England !!!! It's the Tories !!!! AFAICS the issue is the same everywhere, across Europe,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP move into the lead for first time in YouGov Euros poll
The alleged ringleader of the Trojan Horse plot wrote a detailed blueprint for the radical “Islamisation” of secular state schools which closely resembles what appears to be happening in Birmingham. Tahir Alam, chairman of governors at Park View school in the city, called for “girls [to] be covered except for their hands… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the big vote gets delayed the betting on 2nd referendum get
I don’t think that’s going to fly, Big G. It’s blatantly obvious that running down the clock is, and has been, her strategy all along. It’s equally obvious that if the Commons lets that happen, they will risk running out of time to be able to engineer any other result than the one you outline. The May filibuster is as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump & Boris: Both blond, both born in New York and both u
I love it when you come over all compassionate and caring ... Like these: It was six months ago this week when Nicola Sturgeon heroically admitted she’d be ‘happy’ to have a refugee move into her detached Glasgow home. That same rousing week last September, we were treated to the vision of Yvette Cooper ‘bravely’ holding… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The places where people would most like to live mostly voted R
I’m going to stick up for Leeds, which is partly because I live there, but also (having lived in a fair few places) because I genuinely do think it has a lot going for it. Friendly folk, a lot of open spaces, great shopping, a lot of very nice suburbs, places like Ilkley, Harrogate, York, the North York Moors and the Dales… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa May’s lucky to have avoided the scrutiny that there
I suspect if there was a Conservative Mayor and Council running Newham it would be a lot worse not better. On the substantive, the poor don't want to be poor - they see what it is to have money, they see what wealth can bring and what they can't have and of course they want it. The illusion of a better life if you have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for
A quote from one of my favourite books, The Curve of Binding Energy by John McPhee. -- Physicist Enrico Fermi, said to be a firm believer in the existence of extra-terrestrials, was frustrated by the lack of firm evidence of their existence. Reasoning that advanced civilizations should by now have filled the Galaxy, Fermi… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cat meet pigeons
13/2 with Shadsy after a boost. Wish I'd had more on. It almost pays for the very slow horses I've been backing this afternoon.