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Re: The betting chances of a pre-2025 IndyRef move to almost zero – politicalbetting.com
. . . meanwhile back at the ranch . . . Politico.com - The DNC Thought It Killed the Iowa Caucus. It's Not Dead Yet. Iowa Democrats are preparing to fight for their caucus — and their relevance as rural voters. WATERLOO, Iowa – On the day the Democratic National Committee voted to strip Iowa of its first-in-the-nation… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What sort of future do we want?
Another very important thing. I was reflecting on how my career has been boosted by my network. Much of this resulted from working with people more senior than me and then getting to know them socially and personally better after hours, so we really bonded. When you then reach out for help later they then go out of their… -
Re: Setting the scene for next Thursday’s local elections – politicalbetting.com
Sad that Dundee had to steal their slogan from Tacoma! OR was it the other way around? Both rather gritty but proud seaports, with very cool names. Never been to Dundee, but do visit Tacoma every once and a while, mainly going to the Pierce County election office (2nd biggest in WA State). Cheap housing (compared with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the South Carolina betting Bernie moves from a 57.5% chance
Previous thread. Turkey is using the refugee threat to bring the European members of NATO into backing it in its confrontation in Syria. This refugee threat has turned up again hours after an airstrike killed about 20 Turkish troops in Idlib in Syria. Erdogan is due to address the nation at 1.30am local time apparently.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Esther McVey puts her hat into the ring for TMay’s successor
> @Casino_Royale said: > If the Greens were serious about the planet and nation going green they’d be far more politically friendly in co-opting natural Conservatives and those on the centre-right who are natural conservationists and care about the environment. > > In reality, they’d rather use it as a Trojan horse for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In all of this 2019 remains betting favourite for “year of nex
Mr OGH, A good point. Jezza may get his wish, and might end up rueing the day. Mr Mark, FPT, "Of course, Labour could end "country has gone mad" within the hour, by saying that it will vote for May's Deal for the good of the country. I hope you are making that case to them, forcefully" Labour are drifting slowly down in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In Tory leadership races the assassin rarely becomes the repla
When Jacob Rees-Mogg is 13-2 3rd favourite,it tells you just how poor a field the next Tory leadership contest is.I'm on at 25-1 for Damian Green,not the 70-1 Mike advised,but I wonder if he isn't too close to TMay to win support.There's nothing to say you can't bet on more than 1 horse in each race and at these good… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonght’s Local By-Election Preview by Harry Hayfield
"Police investigating "Plebgate" have asked prosecutors for advice on the next stage of the inquiry and the possibility of criminal charges." I know we've all been spoiled by TV detectives who work 24 hours a day to solve complex cases in 2 days, maximum (although how many of their cases would fall apart afterwards before… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In late April the Tory data chief, Jim Messina, told senior To
That's true, and it's a point I've made many times. However, the big news of the last few days is that the EU suddenly seem rather keen on agreeing a trade deal. It has been a dramatic change of tone and urgency. So, recalcitrant Irish aside, I think the chances of a reasonably smooth deal have much increased. Of course,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation EURef phone poll follows ComRes and has reduced t
To paraphrase Professor Norpoth I wouldn't trust any media, pundits or current horse-race polls to predict this election right now. Polls are of little use until about September. Even then, some get it wrong. As in 2012 or 2004. Winning primaries is a sign that a candidate has a favorable image. Whatever past gaffes or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON has a good chance of coming out top on votes: holding a
Yes it is a good thing. My whole point though was to distinguish between the people who have moved into London as adults, having been brought up elsewhere, who embrace the fast pace of change and those that were born and bred in London, who tend to want to get out because they don't like the changes to the place that in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big polling night continues with a Marf cartoon on Ed a
Ed Miliband has been forced into a humiliating climbdown over whether Labour will work with the SNP following the election after three of his most senior party allies said they will “of course” talk to nationalist MPs to get laws through the Commons. Mr Miliband used a BBC Question Time debate on Thursday to insist to… -
Re: Remember the May 2017 locals when TMay was totally dominant and conquering all before her – politica
There are about half a million listed buildings, many of which I’m sure are not connected to the gas grid. I was quoted anywhere between £30-50k for GSHP for a 3 bed house, with the land already in place and on the assumption that no amendments would be needed to internal radiators which are over sized for the room… -
Re: Dramatic scenes in Washington as Trump supporters try to stop Congress approving Biden’s victory – p
The thing is, now and for the past four years, both sides have sought the same thing, namely to nullify the results which had the other side winning. The way they have gone about that reflects where they have their strengths and where they feel comfortable. For the Democrats, it was constantly seeding exposes and stories… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is 6-1 for CON to re-take Corby: By far the best bet for
Suppose Scotland votes “Yes” next year. We would have opted for independence, but it’s hard to believe that the terms of independence would have been negotiated successfully by May 2015. So we would then still be part of the United Kingdom, and as such entitled to send MPs to Westminster even though they would have to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How the papers reporting Johnson’s big gamble
For those with short (or selective) memories.... These motions are not meant to be amended. And yet, on Wednesday morning, it emerged that speaker John Bercow had, entirely without precedent, accepted an amendment to what is meant to be an unamendable motion. The amendment, by Remainer Tory MP Dominic Grieve, would force… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » When some men want to be humiliated and embarrassed they hire
Mike’s been on holiday for less than 24 hours and we’ve had two resignations already -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Richard Tyndall on the exit strategy
It.'s been very quiet. We haven't had a shadow cabinet resignation for at least an hour. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump 4% ahead in Ohio. Must be time for the Guardian to re
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Re: The WH2024 primaries will be different from what we are used to. – politicalbetting.com
Evening all :) Sometimes elections and election results are easy to analyse but more often then not a superficial analysis fails to notice what has actually happened and what it might portend for the future. Take the Dutch General Election from Wednesday - the quick analysis said it was a "win" for the "far right". Perhaps…
