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Re: A 50% return in fewer than three months? – politicalbetting.com
Fine by me, but you'll have to run it by Smithson Junior, as he was the one who kicked off this debate yesterday by saying I had been proven wrong and Tucker Putin was a flop, a disaster, no one watched it, which, as we now know, is shite Otherwise, yes, let's move on Tho there is that really weird moment at about 1 hour… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Blow for BoJo as CON MPs and ministers rebel on a measure that
While I’m no fan of Johnson I think he might have been set up because he claimed that he had been sent the kipper by someone making a point. Now an astute politician would have thought 1 kipper someone is taking the piss 2 Manx kipper their definitely taking the piss 3 elf and safety well that’s clearly the U.K. so they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is now an 91% chance that TMay will be out this year
If they had been at war with each other (as Mr Glenn says below, that was not guaranteed), the question comes where the US would have been able to fly the bombers from to strike Germany. That's a genuine question: I have no idea. With Europe, Russia and North Africa under German control, or with German-friendly… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two new polls this afternoon with very different shares for LA
Who will do the investigation in the US I wonder. Frankly, they've taken their time. The email and other social media accounts of all the possible suspects i.e. everyone who received or who had access to the emails sent by the Ambassador, whether here or in the US, should have been seized and preserved long before now, as… -
Re: The next government – politicalbetting.com
The issue is the way it was reported and the evidence for the way it was reported. The original story quite clearly suggested that underage pictures were involved, a crime. That seems not to be the case. It was denied by the individual involved before the story was published, and the Sun doesn't seem to have had any… -
Re: Sunak should be looking for a new Home Secretary – politicalbetting.com
A little more on that communtation: "Just before Christmas in 1921, [President Warren G.] Harding, a conservative and mild-mannered Republican, commuted the 10-year sentence of the Socialist [Eugene] Debs, who had been convicted of violating the Espionage Act of 1917. On Dec. 26, Harding welcomed Debs to the White House,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump bothers to read UK polls he won’t be pleased about ho
World Cup news. Apparently there are some football matches at the weekend if we are not too busy counting strawberry punnets. As predicted, Luka Modric is now into 9/4 for Golden Ball (best player). If you are not already on, then even that price might represent some value in a two-horse race with Mbappe at 10/11. I… -
Re: Sturgeon and SNP – many questions remain – politicalbetting.com
Oh dear, hate this when it happens, to any party. Tories to lose Ossett seat as councillor pulls out of election race at last minute Wakefield’s Conservative group is to lose a council seat after its candidate for Ossett ward has withdrawn from this year’s local elections. Angela Taylor decided not to defend her seat on… -
Re: Johnson an even stronger favourite to survive till 2024 – politicalbetting.com
OT - meanwhile, back at the ranch, in this case the Lazy B . . . more blowback re: Boeing decision to move HQ to VA. from today's Seattle Times ($) commentary by aerospace reporter Dominic Gates: . . . . Aviation analyst Richard Aboulafia, of Aerodynamic Advisory, said the FAA would have been more impressed by a return to… -
Re: This is what happens when you crash the economy and increase mortgage costs – politicalbetting.com
Some horse riding (drunk) It’s not actually a dude ranch. It’s a real ranch that has been in his aristo family for a few generations. It’s gorgeous. His grandfather was a US Ambassador in Europe and he went around the Med buying up old medieval/18th century church fittings - beams, icons, roofs, antiques, silverware, doors… -
Re: Powerful front pages following Putin’s aggression – politicalbetting.com
In Tallinn this morning we are waking up to a world that is changed beyond all our fears. The invasion of Ukraine is seen here as only the first step in an attempte to bring all of the democracies of Europe under either direct Russian control or under the control of Putin´s puppets. As deranged and dangerous as his… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Vice President nominee betting. A market that it is better to
Exactly right, justly put. I was, some years ago, on the Isle of Eigg and shown the remains of a settlement which was described in a book written about a visit in 1844 - just as the potato famine was about to begin. I was shown the feannagan, and a field wall which had been made with public subsidy lest the Gaels become… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The man or the message?
His speech in response to Thatcher's statement to the House was praised by Tory backbenchers as being far better, more fiery and less equivocal than Thatcher's own (and condemned by the likes of Tam Dalyell for the same reason). He was in favour of continuing to explore diplomatic options (not that this was a realistic aim… -
Re: Italy makes vaccinations compulsory for the over 50s – politicalbetting.com
Photos/video of her sitting outside the #Xian hospital on a plastic stool, having suffered a miscarriage, surrounded by a pool of blood received 100s of millions of views. Her niece, who posted them, said she was denied entry after her covid health test expired just hours earlier The Director of #Xian's Health Department… -
Re: Tonight’s Opinium poll sees CON lead down 4% and Johnson’s approval down 6% – politicalbetting.com
You can map the smoothed trends onto the story of the pandemic, for the most part. Phase 1: Tory support climbs immediately after GE, with formal exit from the EU and the Labour leadership process. There may also have been a rally round the flag effect from the initial emergency and lockdown. This is also the period during… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Peter the Punter on the US elections
There are a couple of other wildcard factors that spring to mind – The GOP – the struggle between the tea party wing and the mainstream party goes on, and until it’s resolved things don’t bode well for them. I don’t think it really matters who they nominate – the internecine civil war over the shutdown shows the wounds are… -
Re: Sunak’s investing too much political capital on “stopping the boats” – politicalbetting.com
Thread... There's a big lag in understanding about Scottish politics. Articles by people like Fintan O'Toole and such expressing this mantra that Britain may be on the brink of breaking-up. It's nonsense. For now the Union is secure. They've won. It's as simple as that. 1/.... The SNP is a completely broken instrument.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson says that party selections rarely leave clea
That non-story in the Staggers "Ed Miliband is at a fork in the road. Plainly he cannot go back, by which I mean he cannot pretend that there is nothing of great significance to see in the row over the Falkirk selection – that it was a rogue case; single bad apple etc. Len McCluskey’s attack on the Labour leadership –… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The challenge for UKIP now is to succeed under First Past t
Dominic Casciani @BBCDomC 29m Police Watchdog IPCC has asked the Met today to reverse a decision to allow resignation of an officer facing probe after a death in custody Dominic Casciani @BBCDomC 27m Very unusual move by the IPCC. Officer, due to leave in coming 24 hours, can't face disciplinary measures if he is allowed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Moggy still leads Jez in the “PM after TMay” betting
Great headline :) If I were the EU, I would have probably just ignored the steel/aluminium provocation, especially as the impact of steel and aluminium tariffs will be to raise the cost of making cars in the US, benefiting German car makers. But I think there is a feeling, rightly or wrongly, that ignoring institutional…