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Re: Le Pen reached her betting peak just before the end of voting – politicalbetting.com
Global productivity has declined in the West. What growth has been delivered has been captured by the 1%. This is even more the case in the UK, which since 2010 has fallen increasingly behind the growth vanguard, albeit masked by house price inflation which has kept a certain demographic happy. In theory we should… -
Re: Are the Tories too far behind to recover? – politicalbetting.com
That horse to an extent has already bolted. My late parents, both senior teachers were on stunning final salary pensions, both drawn at 60. My wife (a college head of department) has this year started to draw hers at 60. It is not a patch on my parents ' pension and those following on from her have had the terms and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden drops to second place in California while his lead’s dow
If Boris can survive until the end of the year having taken us out even No Deal, I think he can survive until 2022. At which point teething problems will be largely behind us and even if there has been a slowdown there's no guarantee an unelectable opposition will win. Kinnock failed in his second election even though the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Kippers least likely to have felt the recovery – Tories the
If we look at the average person's P&L account and balance sheet. Gross income has not increased for most wage earners, but net income has increased due to income tax changes. We have become used to an annual pay increase and that has had to cease as the UK has become very uncompetitive globally. Productivity has not… -
Re: The Gorton & Denton might become the most (in)famous by-election in history – politicalbetting.com
I had been wondering why the by-election had not been put up by Betfair. Well it has! It has been included under local elections! The market has it as a wide open three horse race. I suppose that's correct. Though it wasn't for their love of Trump, I think Reform would have been odds on. -
Re: LDs 67% favourite in Mid Beds, LAB 88% in Uxbridge & S Ruislip – politicalbetting.com
The government. For a start it seems the formal rule is that the House may order the speaker to issue a writ via a motion made by 'any member'. Said motion could be debated. Being moved by the whip of the party which last held the seat is simply a convention, and that convention apparently has the government move it if no… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the Brexit Bill goes into the committee stage punters remai
@Cyclefree - what a depressing tale. By way of comparison, I know somebody who went to university, left without obtaining any sort of degree, and since then has been living at home. He's now been there for more than 5 years, playing video games and watching TV and films. He has never worked for more than a couple of… -
Re: The SNP’s sixth sense – politicalbetting.com
Nobody has any interest in becoming leader now until likely opposition, they will leave Sunak and Hunt to take the blame for defeat. In opposition the Tories fortunes will in any case be far more dependent on how a Labour government handles the economy than who their leader is. After all in 1975 Thatcher was considered an… -
Re: Punters are far from convinced that LizT can turn the tide – politicalbetting.com
I'm finding the energy companies pricing odd. We are with the same supplier for both our houses. For our main house we are in debt to the tune of nearly £500 and this is at a time when we should be in credit before winter. No attempt has been made to ask us to pay more. For our 2nd house we use practically no power and are… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Chris Grayling must surely be a good bet to be next Cabinet mi
Politicians are currently part of the problem not the solution. The majority of the public understand that you’re not going to get everything you want but would probably be happy to get 80%. But they’ve been told by the ERG nutjobs that only a Pure Brexit is acceptable . Equally on the other side the People’s Vote are… -
Re: Sunak’s epitaph? A terrible Prime Minister but not as bad as Truss or Johnson – politicalbetting.com
NYT live blog - Emmer Drops Speaker Bid After Right-Wing Backlash Representative Tom Emmer of Minnesota, the No. 3 House Republican, dropped his bid for speaker on Tuesday hours after securing his divided party’s nomination, after a swift backlash from the right, including former President Donald J. Trump, left his… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters TV Show: Looking at The White House
Sarah Wollaston, less than 96 hours ago: "Last week’s deal has underlined the reality that our Eurozone partners are continuing their separate journey towards full political and monetary union. We will inevitably be bound by and disadvantaged by the decisions they make in their own interest. The time has come for us to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With postal voting just starting CON maintains emphatic lead
Excuse the snip; The problem here is that conservatives value the home so much that they implemented a pile of policies that sometimes accidentally, but often deliberately inflated the value of peoples homes. Blair/Brown pandered to this to win marginal votes, of course. House prices - and the cost of living - has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The national press will be much less influential at GE2015
This is a broader issue than the merits of this particular decision. The courts have developed administrative law generally by an emphasis on process, not on merits. We see something similar in ET cases as well. This is understandable as the merits are inherently political and not a matter for unelected judges. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why TMay must stay – for now
Littlejohn is going IN on May: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-4590304/LITTLEJOHN-Theresa-managed-make-Corbyn-look-good.html Some of the 'best' bits of the piece: Scratch the surface, though, and the absurd notion that she was ‘strong and stable’ never stood up to serious scrutiny. Ask anyone who had dealings… -
Re: YouGov/Times “Blue Wall” poll finds six point CON to LAB swing since GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
What a bunch of sleazoids. How do we get rid of these unelected rulers? The chairman of the Conservative Party profited from giving ultra-wealthy clients of his concierge company Quintessentially access to Prince Charles, a major party donor alleges today. Ben Elliot, 45, the Duchess of Cornwall’s nephew, introduced a… -
Re: A brutal chart for Labour from the FT – politicalbetting.com
Nothing wrong with skilled immigration, especially if there's few restrictions on construction so migrants and young people can get a house. The problem in this country is we have the worst of both worlds. Draconian planning restrictions mean that housing can't keep up with demand, and much of the migration that has come… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If or when Theresa May is replaced her successor shouldn’t hol
This all comes back to land and housing. As you and currystar both say, we are much more prosperous and live better lives in many ways. Capitalism continues to be the engine of income growth and improved technology it always has been. The problem is that in this country, housing is so expensive that for many people the… -
Re: Muddying the Waters on BoJo’s £130k legal bill – politicalbetting.com
In local news, tomorrow sees the end of a week long strike by refuse collectors in Newham. In many ways, we've been fortunate as the weather has cooled off and while there are piles of rubbish around some houses (and you can tell which are significantly overcrowded by the amount of rubbish produced), the fly tipping… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly independence starts to look a much scarier prospec
It probably will be in the same sense as the 2005 election was largely a proxy referendum on the Iraq War, with the LDs against and New Labour for. In 2020 it will probably be just a year after Brexit has been completed and the consequences will start to be clear, especially with Labour still largely seen as unelectable…