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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Does the government care that household debt is soaring?
It doesn't. But I would make the following points: 1) Labour did far worse wrt household debt whilst in power. 2) No party is willing to look at the fundamental causes of the housing problems. 3) Where were Labour's concerns about growing household debt whilst they were in power? Perhaps if they had been, the worst of the… -
Re: Today the US MidTerms – the final final chapter – politicalbetting.com
An executive summary that is longer than 30 pages is a report. Governance matters, of course it does. I've written enough headers making that point. But this smacks of being seen to do lots of stuff but not addressing substantive issues which really matter. What does it say about social care? About the usurious interest… -
Re: The Front pages on Day 1 of nursing strike – politicalbetting.com
Two snippets from my life. a) Just had an email from my dad's visitor. Can she come tomorrow instead of today as they have all been put on standby for the ambulance workers strike. Not sure what she is going to be doing, but glad to see the local authority has plans. b) Visited an elderly aunt yesterday. She fell ill the… -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2024 – July update – politicalbetting.com
It feels though that it’s the last few minutes of the Super Bowl and the Quarter back is having a shocker. You can leave him on because he’s got you to the Super Bowl. He was the one who won it for you last year but his shoulder has gone. Do you keep him on and hope somehow the other team screw up or you just get lucky… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
‘ A completely new culture of doing research.’ Coronavirus outbreak changes how scientists communicate... https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/02/completely-new-culture-doing-research-coronavirus-outbreak-changes-how-scientists The Wu-han Clan is just one example of how the COVID-19 outbreak is transforming how scientists… -
Re: The polling that should scare Tory MPs – politicalbetting.com
Looking at the piece - it suffers from journo confusion. For "Total value of UK property market", the journo actually means something more like "total value of uk residential property", which is how I took it. The balloon needs to be popped gently, but too many people are in on the South Sea Housing Bubble. One small… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After Thursday’s Alastair Meeks 2019 predictions David Herdson
When we were sorting the papers of my late Italian mother, there was nothing to show the basis on which she had been living in the country, other than my parents marriage certificate. All we had was a certificate of a wedding in Italy and its registration as a foreign marriage at Somerset House. Nothing else. She did not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First YouGov polling response to the lockdown changes looks po
Tories gave Robert Jenrick home renovation the go-ahead The housing secretary had an extension to his £2.6 million Westminster townhouse approved by Conservative councillors despite officials objecting to the scheme three times, The Times can reveal. The couple submitted plans to turn a first-floor roof terrace into an… -
Re: No overall majority back as favourite in the GE betting – politicalbetting.com
Thank you and he has already saved several lives with his fellow crew and they receive such universal praise from everyone. He has been in the service just18 months They give enormous hours of their time completely free and as his Dad and Mum we are so proud of him but do worry when his pager goes off ( I am notified at… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: SCOTLAND SPECIAL+ more on Nort
When I was building my house I had a code with the quantity surveyor - if there had been an ugly row with the builder or one of the suppliers, but the outcome was perfectly satisfactory, rather than discuss the process all they had to do was use the code word 'sausages'.... -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour chooses a Corbyn critic to fight Copeland and this and
On London's position as a global and European financial centre, some of that has been aided by EU membership and much of it has not. On the structural advantages, the English language, position at the centre of the world's timezones, the legal system, the excellent range of professional ancillary services available in… -
Re: Boris, Boris vote supressor – politicalbetting.com
Certainly what they believed in the Kennedy compound at the time: It was downstate (Republican) versus Cook County (Democratic). and the bosses, holding back totals from key precincts, were playing out their concealed cards as in a giant game of blackjack. There was nothing anyone could do in Hyannisport except hope that… -
Re: Tonight’s by-election bet – A Carlisle seat last won by UKIP – politicalbetting.com
The history of free speech in Britain is rather interesting, and revealing of the national character. We're rather proud of our centuries-long tradition of free speech, even though it's never been as free as we imagine. Mostly this rests on speech, and particularly publishing, being notably freer in parliamentary Britain… -
Re: If Not Now, When? – politicalbetting.com
Looking at the gov.uk dashboard, the percentage increase in seven day case rate metric has been in decline since June 28th. Now, there was also a previous peak on June 7th, which (at a guess) would appear to be related to the May 15th unlocking, so I suppose things might get worse again after next Monday. OTOH, there's not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson says “look to the outsiders for Cameron’s su
I was only looking at cases since the Magic Circle method ended. Although the membership gets a vote these days, that doesn't really change the election dynamics all that much. The filter still comes from the MPs. In any case, neither Macmillan nor particularly Douglas-Home would have been favourites four years out.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Milibands go to war against the Daily Mail – this could
I presume Winnie was well up to speed on Holodomor, the Gulags, purges and show trials when he came up with this cringeworthy stuff in 1942? 'It was an experience of great interest to me to meet Premier Stalin ... It is very fortunate for Russia in her agony to have this great rugged war chief at her head. He is a man of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How the polls performed the last time a charismatic, Eton-e
I don't think we can take figures from London as being representative for the simple reason that throughout London seems to have been protected because of its relative prosperity from the worst ravages of the 'Great Recession'. Furthermore, London more than any other region benefitted from additional PESA spending during… -
Re: Wise words for Boris from former CON leader Hague – politicalbetting.com
What you say was true several weeks ago when Javid first made the announcement. But actually we had positive data coming out of Gauteng extraordinarily quickly which got better with each day that it was consolidated. This was then topped up with HK Uni’s ex vivo study and there have since been others. BoJo claims they are… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is time to salute the brilliance of the visionary that is D
@AnExileinD4 Gove was a dogmatist who had some ideas that were not bad in and of themselves but no idea of how to implement them effectively where they ran counter to reality. Rayner is a dogmatist with no ideas at all beyond 'me good, they bad' and no idea of how to implement them effectively. She has not grown into her… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Game over. What should the Labour right do now that it has
What do the Labour right believe? What are they fighting for? If you take someone like Yvette Cooper what does she want that is different from current government policy? Recently, she has wanted us to be more compassionate and more open to refugees in Europe. I think she has been quite effective in this and the fact that…