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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On this day exactly two years ago YouGov had CON in the lea
Although, to be fair, the Conservatives didn't win a majority of the seats in the House of Commons. And I don't remember Cameron referring to his 2010 manifesto as 'drivel'. And given the primary policy of the Conservative Party in their manifesto was tackling the deficit ('debt' is mentioned three times in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A former odds-on favourite for the Democratic nomination sa
"The man in charge of maintaining Buckingham Palace has been jailed for five years after he accepted more than £100,000 in bribes. Ronald Harper, 64, from Suffolk, took payments or gifts from companies who were then given large contracts. He was also responsible for St James's Palace, Clarence House and Windsor Castle from… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Ipsos-MORI’s final #IndyRef poll could be the one to wa
Not sure. I wouldn't bet the house on these things, but I kind of think that if I were an FX trader I'd be shorting pounds a bit until the outcome of the referendum was certain, and buying them again if it's a No. At a guess, I should think we'll be down to about 1.20 for a euro if it's Yes, up to 1.27 on a No. I'm… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Europe: The final countdown, Sixteen days to go
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories move to win the elder brothers’ vote – a wise mo
The main network live coverage (which can show anything happening on any hole at that time) has been massively extended. It's now (US times): Thurs 3.00 to 7.30 Fri 3.00 to 7.30 Sat 3.00 to 7.00 Sun 2.00 to 7.00 (Total = 18 hours) Back in the late 90s (approx) it was: Thurs 4.00 to 7.00 Fri 4.00 to 7.00 Sat 3.30 to 6.30… -
Re: This is not about Trump (except of course it is) – politicalbetting.com
Politico.com Toomey says Trump ‘committed impeachable offenses’ But the Pennsylvania senator said he doesn’t know whether it’s “practical” to move ahead with impeachment proceedings. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/09/pat-toomey-trump-impeachable-offenses-456869 I do NOT agree very often with Senator Toomey, some… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It can be argued that the flawed polls are those that don’t
Ed pursing his 35%, I mean 30% strategy? I don't get the strategy here. Cameron clearly isn't for turning, him being "frit" has been discussed for hours already across all the media, and the result is Tories have been ticking up in the polls. What does Ed gain from this line, getting it back in the media, so the BBC can… -
Re: Johnson being CON leader at next election – a good bet? – politicalbetting.com
I’ll post this now, keep eye an eye on NR, and post again if a new thread pops up. *Betting Post 🐎 Day 4 I’ve posted 5 wins from 12 tips, 4 more chances to try and get 1 more. I havn’t kept tabs on minor placing as my bets have been win bets, but I don’t think I’ve had many minor placings from these tips - certainly not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation phone poll has CON lead down 10 points in a week to
John, I know you don't agree with the policy and I respect that, but it may help if you understand what £72k cap means and what the current situation regarding 'house seizure' is. People are already having to sell their homes to fund care while they are still alive and if your assets amount to a little over £23k you will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lib Dem deposit losses at the General Election
I would hardly call the recent interventions as adding clarity, given the inaccuracy (I originally put mendacity, but I'm trying to be objective here) with which Mr Carney's speech was reported, and the logical incoherence and careful omissions of Mr Osborne's speech (I've read both). Indeed what is said in the… -
Re: Some positive Survation Red Wall polling for LAB – politicalbetting.com
When I first moved to Cambridge, I lived in a shared house in Milton with a few blokes. One was a caterer who worked at one of the Cambridge colleges. He had made a top-notch bike by stealing bits of various other bikes from around the city at night: if a nice bike was locked through the wheel, he'd dismantle it and steal… -
Re: Can anyone explain the mindset of anti-vaxxers like this? – politicalbetting.com
Good morning pb, On the subject of Sandy's bins, another report from the real world. A very Christmassy Christmas indeed in the Cookson household. My parents stayed Christmas even and Christmas day - which they couldn't do last year; 14 of us for Christmas dinner (including my new infant nephew, hurray) - which we… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Free Money & Stupid Odds
If your ceiling is over 45% then you just need it to be more than a 2 horse race the whole way through. If those who don't like Sanders end up divided over a wide range of candidates. Not saying he will necessarily win but he has been written off too easily on here previously and still has a pretty decent chance. -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Just to respond to some posts (have been doing a few hours of writing) Re: minimum age for HoL: I hesitated between 35 then 40 and then 45. It is really based on interviewing candidates for jobs. Many a younger person's education today has left them without a wide general knowledge (certainly far less than I had at 18) or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview May 18th 2017 (T-21 days until Elect
I think we have gone through a period when too many children and people have been given to understand “I have a problem, it is the Government's job to cope with it!” or “I have a problem, I will go and get a grant to cope with it!” “I am homeless, the Government must house me!” and so they are casting their problems on… -
Re: DeSantis edges Trump out to become new WH2024 favourite – politicalbetting.com
Putin will have "won" the Donbas by utterly destroying it. It may have agriculture, but 80% of the housing stock has been destroyed and pretty much 100% of the industry it used to have. A majority of the men of fighting age are dead or maimed. He might as well have nuked it for the viability of what is left. Nobody will… -
Re: It is now evens that Johnson will survive 2022 – politicalbetting.com
Its six in the morning in Tallinn and the all out invasion of Ukraine has been running for about two hours. As we feared, the Russian army is attacking along the line of control and also undertaking sea borne attacks against Mariupol and possibly Odessa, as well as a direct attack on Kyiv. Someone else just posted the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If there was a spread-betting market on how many months Toxic
This could easily go the way of the leaky homes scandal in New Zealand: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leaky_homes_crisis The cost is so great that it could effect NZ's credit rating. Essentially the Government won't be able to pay for all the repairs. Building codes are now very strict in NZ but, of course, it has been a… -
Re: Measures more than sanctions are going to be needed to stop Putin – politicalbetting.com
It was a lovely enigmatic ending. The whispering breath stopped as he dies like the heartbeat nocturnal animals. With a tolling bell he was at peace. After death riding away on white horse framed by the burning carriage. The roof coming in closes the shot. I liked the slower pace to series 6, interesting characters… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ex-Tory chairman Shapps “leading the rebels working to oust TM
There is simple is no appetite among the Conservative Westminster party to ditch Theresa May at this point in the Parliament. They don't want a self indulgent and damaging Leadership contest right now, anymore than they want to land up with one of the also rans that all fell by the way side in the last contest leading us…
