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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour reveals some of its English targets for the next electi
ALL parties experience difficulties with unsuitable candidates. Which can often be exacerbated when a party is a) unprepared for an election (or less prepared than they'd like to be; and/or b) does better when the votes are counted than was believed possible, by winning seats it (and just about everyone else) thought… -
Re: A Ukraine boost for Johnson in the exit date betting? – politicalbetting.com
This is the sort of thing I mentioned below. The column was first reported yesterday at a shorter length, and we're still talking about it, as if has been static all this time. It could be anywhere now (well, say 12 hours driving at 30 MPH to maintain a column means 360 miles. These figures have been plucked out of my… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BJohnson’s first Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings in NEG
Hello. I’m delurking after several years of obsessive PB-watching with a comment apropos the previous post, and doubts cast on the bullet-spitting Tories. I was staying in the area on holiday from Monday to Wednesday. An activist told me that Boris Johnson was supposed to be in town on Wednesday – a crowd had been whipped… -
Re: The Boris vaccination poll “bounce” will evaporate unless those who’ve had both jabs start to see so
It would be best to dispense with the ambiguity and simply tell people not to go - until the EU at least has caught up with our vaccination program, and we've had a chance to work our way through the young - and then open up to travel with the neighbours properly, without this dreadful rigmarole of testing, testing,… -
Re: Dangerous myths – politicalbetting.com
This thread has bene shut down like the House of Congress after a Trump rally.... -
Re: MRP ELECTION MODELLING: HOW USEFUL IS IT OUTSIDE OF AN ELECTION PERIOD? – politicalbetting.com
I think the plebiscite in 2. would have had to have happened more than once to draw any portentous conclusions about 'the history of Scottish politics' or 'established form'. Horse X baulked at the second fence at Aintree first time out, though it came second. Its recent form has been strong but we must assume it will… -
Re: Is EdSec Gavin going to be a victim in the re-shuffle? – politicalbetting.com
it is feeble, It makes a decent point, but it is not comical Look at this: "What are we going to do next, build affordable housing? Pay a living wage? What if he’s serious about this ghastly plan to stop the North being a ghetto where you’re born poor and die early?" It's like a middlebrow sixth former's laborious version… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just because Corbyn’s LAB almost closed a massive poll gap at
Good afternoon, everyone. I would accept that bet, Mr. Urquhart. It's very hard, though, psychologically to be isolated. A chap kept in a cave with no natural light became very ratty. He was there for 2-3 months and got retrieved 'early' because his body clock had lengthened his perception of a day to about 25 hours. Mr.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Astonishingly Roy Moore remains the odds on favourite to win t
I am not suggesting anyone is thrilled about it. But the focus on the productivity issue, which others such as @Big_G_NorthWales has noted as well, is giving cover to the government that they did not have before. As for the government's fortunes, I was rather focussing on the fortunes of Labour. They have had a bad 48… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Stoke Central, where MP Tristram Hunt is resigning, could be a
We would not have spent three hours in Derby Museum over Christmas if there had been an entry fee. Not just because we're tight, but because an entrance fee acts as a barrier. As it is, we gave a donation as that *feels* different. You don't need to pay for something to see it has value. I don't pay directly for my rather… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON lead down to 2% while Starmer takes is now 4% ahead of Joh
The fundamental problem is that England has committed the unforgivable sin of being ten times the size of Scotland. So, if you're Scottish and you've made up your mind that your country is ignored and dominated, then all you have to do is point at the composition of the House of Commons. It would not, frankly, matter if… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
I'm with Jossias, two Labour holds. However, by far the most striking finding in my opinion is that 68% agree that ‘immigration places too much pressure on public services like housing and the NHS’. For me, this finding represents the untold story of the Brexit vote last June. It is my view that the perception, right or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Marf cartoon on the new Defence Secretary who keeps
Andrea Leadsom was told that police were conducting a criminal investigation after a senior Conservative was reported for an allegation of rape but did not take any further action. A female Tory activist has revealed she reported the allegation of rape and concerns about the "toxic" culture in Westminster to David Natzler,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Vladimir Putin link looks set to dog the Trump campaign
Whoa, Mr. Pit! Distributing a chunk (up to 10% from memory) of the tax revenue from fracking sites to Community Trusts (whatever the hell they are) and the local councils was an Osborne policy that has been around for quite a while. TM's new announcement is to consider, just consider, giving at least some of that money… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gove still heading the TMay successor betting as we get closer
Bloody snobs who look down on other people, I can't stand them, where do people get this kind of mentality from? A pensioner who conducted a 15-year hate campaign against her neighbours that included throwing urine over her fence, knocking over their plant pots and silent phone calls has been jailed. Kathleen Neal, 79,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other story that’s getting people excited this Easter S
On the flip side of the poverty debate, a lot of people don't seem to help themselves. Someone I know pleaded desperate "no food in the house" poverty and got bailed out by friends and family and within a week spent £100 on trainers. Similarly there are a lot of branded pawn shops appearing like a rash on the high street.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another PB betting tip comes good
What I find very strange is that there was little difference in Scottish life expectancy until the 1950s. Putting aside the unfortunate growth of the SNP from the early 1960s onwards it is very difficult to see how Westminster rule could therefore be a factor. Scotland certainly had its full share of heavy industry, mining… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the trend in the ComRes marginals’ surveys is seen in Lo
I think you are seeing a conspiracy where there isn't one. The UK leadership has traditionally been very supportive on an open economy - it goes back to the days when we were global economic leaders and free trade was entirely rational, but it has remained a totemic principle (and I think it is right to do so - free trade… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After Toby Young the focus moves to some of BoJo’s writing abo
(Sorry - reckon blockquotes are confused) Except that her words are yanked out of context and (to be blunt) used dishonestly as a self-justification or a smear. Thatcher was attacking the idea that there exists some abstract "society" floating in mid-air that has responsibilities, and arguing that society is about real… -
Re: Bad news for the we want Boris back crew – politicalbetting.com
This would be a far better country - and probably a far less divided one - if Boris Johnson had been born in a council house.