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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on the Alabama sentate race
Walk away Brexit should be on the table, after the EU have banked May's Florence speech - and are still holding out their hands for more. As a professional negotiator, I would go into the next meeting with Barnier and say "I have here two press releases, to be issued in 24 hours. The one in this pocket says that due to the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first state to decide voted but because of a technical coc
Probably. Or the shell will have rotted away. So far it's some way over the 100k mark, and the non-routine maintainable to date has been both rear wheel bearings (£70 ea, and an hour a side to change. Just as vulnerable on a EV). Modern cars mostly die either of generic mechanical stuff (suspension bushes, body rot) or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ethics man. God, mammon and investing
Years ago when I worked in Leeds, and before satnavs were a thing my friend had to go to South Shields, she asked me for how to get there, I said jump on the A1 and drive for about 2 hours and you'll be there. About three hours later, I get a phone call, see says 'I've been driving for three hours, and I'm not there' and I… -
Re: How the betting markets reacted to the 1st round result – politicalbetting.com
One thing that always strikes me/annoys me is that we have potential PMs on this list who we think we know - Sunak and Truss - and don’t know, Kemi, Penny (use of first names as couldn’t be bothered to type them realised this explanation took longer to type). All of them however have been subservient. They have either been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The way opinion is moving in Scotland the value IndyRef bet
I once shared a slum terrace house with some friends. The house had a flush toilet at the bottom of the garden and an adjacent small storage room. We decided to make some "ginger beer" but unfortunately put it in some screw top bottles. The bottles exploded, leaving some small pieces of glass in the door. -
Re: The betting (and polling) seem to be headed in one direction for the moment – politicalbetting.com
That's exactly the problem - it's a classic case of tragedy of the commons. As people have become richer and driving cheaper, driving has become relatively more attractive than other options and thus our cities and towns have become clogged up. This is a massive burden the economy, particularly with delays to commercial… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Putting the Northern Ireland border issue into perspective – t
Membership of the ERM forced us to keep interest rates higher than they should have been. It caused a housing slump in the early 90s and a recession. If we had been outside the ERM we would have let the value of Sterling drop as it needed to. As soon as we left the ERM things began to improve again with Sterling at a more… -
Re: Putting two fingers up to Biden on Ulster is a big gamble – politicalbetting.com
The early 2000s seem a long forgotten utopia of cheap food, cheap fuel, cheap money and rising asset values all predicated on cheap resources and cheap labour. Each of these has from 2008 has been undermined - the last to fall is cheap money and it is affecting our entire economic and political culture. Those of us with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Memo to Mr. Salmond: Don’t now throw it all away like Kinno
I have a feeling there is a snowball effect at work. Just been speaking to a Scots colleague who says there has been a real shift. Salmond is winning the air war and the ground war, and the polls have given Yes a shot in the arm. There's is a "if you can't beat them join them" attitude up there that might push Yes over the… -
Re: Davey reminds us of the threat his party poses in “blue wall” seats – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dreadful set of local election results overnight sees CON l
I am in a mood so apologies in advance for the tone of this post. But - re Jim O'Neill - 1. We can't moan about politicians all being infantile SPADs and other useless tossers with no experience of the world and all in it for themselves and then get snippy when someone older and experienced tries to give something back.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First results from Iowa have Buttgieg in the lead
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the current CON leadership rules had been in place in Novem
Tbf it was one of the more rigorous examinations she's been given recently, though since Ruth has hardly given any interviews over the last 6 months that's not saying much. Serendipitous that the following piece was about sexual consent. Someone in the Women's Hour team has a sense of humour. -
Re: Can anything shift the polls for Sunak? – politicalbetting.com
@Casino_Royale I missed sorry the reply to your second half of your quote, which is about too much being spent on older voters so they need to take more responsibility. You're right in part but the problem with that is it is largely too little, too late and too much of what is proposed is slamming the stable door after the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories get closer in Mail on Sunday Survation poll
I've been checking out Metcheck's overnight forecast Sunday/Monday over a number of locations in Southern England and over the past hour or so their projected rainfall has reduced considerably from a range of 30mm-40mm to a range of 18mm-30mm over the nine hour peak period between 21.00hrs Sunday and 06.00 hrs Monday. The… -
Re: If the polls are right Macron is heading for victory – politicalbetting.com
We bought the former Bank of Scotland building - a 1795 bank with an 1860s extension. Which means a big U-shaped building with the house as the southern wing and all the first floor and the bank the middle and northern wing on the ground floor. Bought the bank bit for cash and other than my consultancy business using the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New poll highlights the danger for Corbyn if LAB is perceived
If (Spartan) the Tory party were to split, and Rees-Mogg's (already formidable) organisation inside the PCP were to become its own party, at least that would win the UKIP vote back from Corbyn :-) That's even if it's hard to envisage in that scenario how any set of parties could form a majority in the Commons, or to think… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast featuring Margaret That
Morning all :) Vaguely on topic, "there will always be the proles" as someone said in 1984. Some of the language used by those talking about the "disaffected working class" reminds me of the language of 1984 used by the Outer Party members looking at the rest of Oceania. I've argued since 23/6/16 the decision to LEAVE the… -
Re: What a waste of 100 nominations – politicalbetting.com
Is Boris the LOTO type? Hard work, no power, no big houses. No, I suspect the plan is much the same as it was last week: wait for the incumbent to slip up; move back into Downing Street shortly before the election. This is, though, I expect, Boris's last hurrah. It has long been my suspicion that he intended to retire at… -
Re: Snap YouGov poll has just 19%saying it’s wrong for BJ to resign – politicalbetting.com
Alastair Campbell's favourite footnote (page 12) We note that Mr Johnson has recently undertaken to supply the Covid public inquiry with a large number of his personal WhatsApp messages. This contrasts with his highly restrictive release of such messages to us. If it transpires from examination of the WhatsApp messages…
