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Re: ITV News: “46 CON MPs might have sent confidence vote letters” – politicalbetting.com
Energy reduction is always great. Is that year on year or month on month? That gas increase looks overlarge for current changes, unless you were artificially low (eg just came off long term fix or have gone for one of the current on-offer fixes, which are very over inflated.) I'd tend to trust my own meter readings more… -
Re: Somerton & Frome – the next CON by-election defence? – politicalbetting.com
Why should I spend a fucking minute spoon feeding you, if you are literally too dim to follow links Just this once. CNN official Defence/White House correspondents quoting Pentagon sources https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/11/politics/unidentified-object-alaska-military-latest “F-35 fighter jets were sent up to investigate after… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Read all about it. The news sources that matter nowadays
Popular Muslim shopkeeper, 40, was stabbed to death outside his business in a religiously motivated attack by another Muslim just hours after he posted a message wishing his 'beloved Christian nation' a happy Easter A police investigation has been launched into the full details surrounding Mr Shah's death, with officers… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Miliband’s energy price freeze might or might not be good e
I've been number crunching: - The new comments system (Vanilla) was introduced on 22nd March 2013 - That's exactly 200 days ago - If we assume even the most avid poster needs 8 hours a day to sleep and attend to calls of nature*, that means 200x16 = 3200 hours are available - This means that a poster with, say, 10,800… -
Re: Lib Dems! Winning here? – politicalbetting.com
Also, on the LDs, I was talking to my non-political daughter last night, and Ed Davey's embarrassing Dad routine has definitely cut through (favourably) amongst her age group (first time voters). We then spent half an hour looking at the various political TikToks. Labour's are very slick, LDs a mixed bunch, and as for the… -
Re: Kate Forbes must be glad to have lost the SNP leadership contest – politicalbetting.com
I would guess that respondents are interpreting this as 'this is something I think about at least semi-regularly.' In which case I'm surprised and disappointed that it's so high. It barely features in my thoughts any more (and it has been in my house in the past month.) For which I feel profoundly grateful. For a year or… -
Re: In a Tweet how Johnson’s handling of the Christmas lockdown exposes his big weakness – politicalbett
Oh, I doubt that there'll be any vaccine delay. But it has been tweet-threatened on here by tweet-president ScottP. I wouldn't normally get so worked up by something so small ( except 61 seconds being minutes, 61 minutes being hours, 25 hours being days, 8 days being weeks, 32 days (or 29?) being months or 13 months being… -
Re: Watermelons or Green perennials: Are the Greens going anywhere? – politicalbetting.com
There's no logic, is there? The previous fuel crisis was real to some extent, because there was a protest. This time there has been no material change in circumstances. If there was no need for a panic last week, there is no need for a panic this week. The only thing that has changed is that the 24-hour news cycle got a… -
Re: Was Jack Cade Right – would society be better with fewer lawyers? – politicalbetting.com
This is the key bit: "As I have written before in these pages, it is a pre-planned strategy. The machinery for legal guerrilla warfare is already in place. Mr Trump’s operatives knew there would be a ‘blue switch’ towards the Democrats late in the process as postal ballots were counted last, and knew that this could be… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories are on the run over the public sector pay cap. So w
Perhaps the biggest obstacle to a reconsideration of Brexit is the overwhelming majority in the House of Commons for the vote on invoking article 50. I got the impression at the time that many of those voting thought it would be possible to engineer a 'soft' Brexit. Had they been able to (or had the sense to) see forward a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At last somebody’s talking about an area that could be deci
"Chemical" Ali was a Christian in Iraq: not a terrorist as such, but part of a murderous regime and responsible for many crimes against humanity. In China, the Eastern Lightning Christian sect have killed and mutilated multiple people since 1998. The most recent case was in May 2014 when six members brutally attacked and… -
Re: Memo to the Tories: Look stupid, it’s the economy – politicalbetting.com
Driving around Colorado these last days has reminded me how beautiful and fascinating the UK is - and in such a tiny space (despite our often horrible new houses) Parts of the Rockies are fab and I love the frontier feel here. But there are 100 mile stretches of Colorado where nothing happens. At all. Strip malls and inane… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LAB selectorate polls don’t always get it right – remem
All of this would have been avoided if Hillary had instead said that Trump's supporters were a load of 'Tory scum'. Then the US media spotlight would have been turned on UK Labour and Momentum and she would have sailed into the White House on the back of a Corbyn inspired mass movement sweeping across the US. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some analysis of the Tory leadership race and why the hardline
The Wikipedia page for the Tory leadership contest has Javid on 17 backers but the actual number on the list is 15 so the total should be 16 with Javid himself not 17. It's been like that for about 48 hours. If anyone has editing rights for that page perhaps they could correct it. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If they hadn’t have gone into coalition the LDs would likely h
It is remarkable given our demographics and constituency-based system that the only rabble-rousing spokesman for what one might call the more radical end of Muslim politics that British politics has managed to throw up is a middle-aged white has-been like Galloway. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » FBI officers in Florida make pre-dawn raid to arrest Trump ass
The link doesn't suggests that there's reason for unalloyed pleasure. For example it says that 'two-thirds of the growth in employment since 2008 has been in ‘atypical’ roles such as self-employment, zero-hours contracts or agency work.' Although it must be conceded that the rate of growth in this are has slowed recently. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf for the evening and David Herdson with the half-time P
The Tory SNP thing has been running hard for 72 hours now. If it had legs I'd expect to see it being reflected in polling numbers by now. The yougov suggests otherwise. It probably plays well with the base but not much beyond. End clearly isn't aiming for Worcester Woman, a Blairite landslide isn't on the agenda, its a 35%… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB might be edging up in all recent polls – but punters st
Not saying Harold Hill is rough or anything, but... "Susan Ca added: “Oh blimey.... am dissappointed to hear about EVEN MORE houses been built up here in Harold Hill! I live round the corner to the Pompadours and it would have been nice if it was turned into a Wetherspoons or something."… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » SportingIndex cuts the UKIP spread again in effort to entic
I see there was a House of Commons report out last week that said that since 2001 a grand total of 0.6% of all votes would have been different if Scottish MPs had been excluded (I think that is 21 out of 3600). I can see why EVEL is such a pressing matter of the utmost urgency. -
Re: Biden’s heads towards getting negative ratings from the majority of Americans – politicalbetting.com
Hello Ed! Agree with every word. With caveat that Biden can already claim some achievements with more in the pipeline, though it's still open question how meaningful (or positive) they will be judged by voters next year. Speaking of 2022, the Washington State Redistricting Commission has just released and posted four…