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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Fracking debate: We support even though we think it cou
FPT AA Gill skewers C4 "But it does raise a question that’s been bothering Tristrams for some time: what is the point of Channel 4? It has lost its role of being the smart young modern vision of high-low culture and turned into a car-boot sale of second-hand ideas and really unpleasant victim trolling. Its early-evening… -
Re: Johnson inevitably dominates the front pages – politicalbetting.com
Thanks Malc - we sailed on the sea cat from Liverpool in just over 2 and a half hours It has been good to be away from the Westminster physco drama -
Re: The betting at 1136 GMT Nov 4th 2020 – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Downing Street should be worry about the first Cummings pollin
Its not irrelevant in the sense that @Philip_Thompson has been putting in the hours defending him all day. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mandate, what mandate?
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the betting has often seemed so out of line with the po
Leave drifting a bit on Betfair, now 7.2 The £ has been going sideways for a few hours. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Maastricht Redux
Rory Stewart is right of course, but a fat lot of good that will do him. In fact it will do him harm; the party actively doesn't want to hear anything which is right at the moment. The dead horse which Theresa May has been flogging for the past six months was the only horse in town. It was shot by the ERG and fellow… -
Re: Starmer out of line on Brexit with GE2019 LAB voters – new poll – politicalbetting.com
The best that I think we can hope to achieve in the short term is two things: 1. Knock some of the hard corners off. Little details here and there that have a disproportionate impact, where we can reach technical agreements with the EU. 2. Sort ourselves out. The UK was in a mess, with serious long-term problems in all… -
Re: The Right has the edge in South Korea – politicalbetting.com
The view on here seems to be that if you contribute to your pension via an in-house scheme and then you are dismissed from your post, you forfeit any benefits accrued into a scheme into which you paid? It's not true of all public sector pension schemes but certainly for local Government (and I believe civil service though… -
Re: The money goes on Trump mounting a WH2024 challenge – politicalbetting.com
Trump's aides have been suggesting he will decide whether to run again based on next year's Midterms. If the Republicans win Congress then he will certainly run for President in 2024. If Biden's approval rating remains under 50% he would then have a reasonable chance of winning the EC again and being the first President… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Should Labour move swiftly to depose Corbyn?
Labour was born as a movement of the industrial working class. The clue is in the name. But this class does not exist anymore and most of the battles that Labour fought on its behalf have been won. The first thing Labour needs to do is accept that the party as was can never be again and that the British people have moved… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination: Trump ups the ante by
A compelling conservative argument for refusing to confirm Kavanaugh: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/10/why-i-wouldnt-confirm-brett-kavanaugh/571936/ The Brett Kavanaugh who showed up to Thursday’s hearing is a man I have never met, whom I have never even caught a glimpse of in 20 years of knowing the… -
Re: Low expectations – politicalbetting.com
That's simply not true. There has been extensive questioning about issues other than minimising the number of deaths. Indeed, the terms of reference, https://covid19.public-inquiry.uk/documents/terms-of-reference/ , cover: "x) the impact on the mental health and wellbeing of the population, including but not limited to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Northern Ireland Westminster Election 2019 – Review And Insigh
Keir Starmer QC? No, no idea (in fairness some of that may be in property assets). Labour is accused of 'vile hypocrisy' for tax raid on buy-to-let landlords despite a quarter of their front bench owning second homes Emily Thornberry owns three properties in her multimillion-pound portfolio Keir Starmer owns a £1.75million… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And so to the first BBC debate
I agree, it’s made it messy for pollsters. However has it really helped in seats Torys already hold because is there much brexit there for them to squeeze, and voters can now identify Tory and BREX as same thing of this pact. And it clearly is a pact there was dialogue before farage decision. Because in a lot of those Lib… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At least ComRes didn’t bring Nelson Mandela into its controver
I think you've got this the wrong way around. In the small and mid-cap space, secondary broking has never been profitable. Simply, a £100m company which turned over once a year, at 10bps is £100,000 of commission income across the whole finance community - and that includes all costs, not just research. Coverage of small… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What will the UK interest rate be at the end of 2019?
I don't think the pound will depreciate that much more. I suspect pretty much all of the implications of no deal are already priced in. The days of the BOE raising rates to protect the currency are also long gone. The response to the falling pound after the referendum was to actually cut rates. I've seen some comments… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Today’s autumn statement is the first big Treasury event since
They're looking into them as part of the same thing. The East-west rail project has been about for yonks, and they're working on the western end atm. The problem with the old Varsity Line is between Bedford and Cambridge, where there are various obstructions on the line, including some radio telescopes. Coincidentally this… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is questionable that Tony could have done what Gordon di
I have never said otherwise. What I object to is the use of a childkiller as some kind of symbol of a system that has gone wrong. Philpott was known about many years before he killed his kids. In fact, the Sun even reported on him being outraged at being denied a bigger house in 2007:… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Ladbrokes 3/1 on a deal being agreed looks like a value be
I think that is overstating it a bit Robert. Over the last 9 years we have reduced government borrowing per year by well in excess of £100bn. That in itself is equivalent to a significantly higher savings rate overall. Earnings are being underestimated, hence the bumper January, so we are saving more than it appears. The…
