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Re: Annalena Baerbock to succeed Merkel? – politicalbetting.com
Honestly, this was one of the major missing parts of life for me (and my wife). Not being able to properly live in the moment for an evening, not worry about anything, not think about anything other than existing and being with my wife in a surrounding of amazing music and people also in the moment of life has been a huge… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
I live in Maidenhead, which has previously been a white town with a fairly small Muslim community (one mosque). In the last year I have definitely noticed a few more black families moving in (presumably from London). We have heard a lot of reports about the population of London dropping but less about where people are… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » … And the winners of the EUref polling race look set to be
Has there ever been a 24 hours quite like this in British politics? -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM has it as a decisive win for Salmond – but will his per
£100K has been gambled on the IndyRef on Betfair in last 3 hours -
Re: The Biden era begins with his predecessor boycotting the ceremonies – politicalbetting.com
Washington election director forced into hiding over potential threats of retaliation, violence https://mynorthwest.com/2474217/washington-election-results-retaliation-kim-wyman/ Check out the audio link to interview of WA Secretary of State Kim Wyman, the only Republican statewide official who was just re-elected. “My… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden moves up even more in the WH2020 betting with latest pol
I agree with this. Without getting too technical, what the debate today has been missing is the intersection between ethnicity and class (or socio-economic group if you prefer). You can't look at ethnicity in isolation. On all the data (earnings, employment, educational achievement, housing etc.) there are distinct… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Peterborough Chronicle. About that by-election
That raises a further question: why is New York City's population falling, despite a rising overall American population? London suffers many of NYC's problems - housing, crime, etc - yet London is growing alongside the UK. This long, nostalgic, leftwing analysis says that New York City has become boring, unremarkable,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corporeal asks: Was this the best possible political result
Just to annoy you. "WOMEN’S Institute members cannot give away a knitted village they spent the best part of a year painstakingly crafting for sick kids – because it is deemed a ‘health and safety’ risk. Their impressive miniature creation – which boasts intircate houses, trees, animals, a church and even a duckpond and a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Are we reaching a tipping point for Nick Clegg’s leadership
The media in the past has (wrongly) positioned the Lib Dems as Labour Lite. In shorthand, Lib Dems have been (and are) right wing on the economy and left wing on welfare. The media think this is too difficult for their readers to understand so have to describe Lib Dems as either Labour Lite or Conservative Lite. Being in a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Panelbase SNP Poll
Exciting though I find the Scottish referendum, today my thoughts keep turning back to the impending votes in Washington on strikes in Syria. If the House of Representatives is as opposed to military action as the ABC report suggests, Barack Obama is going to need an extraordinary turn-around to get a positive vote from… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let this week be a lesson for us all: Don’t get too excited
As someone who did do drugs a bit when younger, and suffered a bit, I sincerely think Peter Hitchens is right when he says there has never been a law on drug use. In my social circle when I was 15-23 I didn't know anyone who didn't do drugs, and the only people I knew that were ever nicked were big time dealers. Posession… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the Number 10 tries to head off a rebellion on the immig
The normal approach (from 18th century if not earlier) would be to either abstain, or support the amendment - the line would be something like "if the elected Government, with access to all the facts, is not prepared to intervene in support of its own legislative programme, then it must be aware of some defect in its… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay’s desire to fight the next election makes a challenge thi
You have long been wrong, then. In the recent ICM poll 41% said 10 bn was acceptable, up from 15% in June. That's a massive jump. As was pointed out at the time you can manipulate the answers to these questions quite easily by how you frame the question, and as Jonathan Portes said in last night's very good podcast, he is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what
I'd agree with the first point. Working as a SpAd is probably very good training for a future minister but does little to prepare an MP for their job in the constituency or in the House. It's also a route which is barely open, if at all, to other than a very small minority. However I'm not sure about your second point. One… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betfair punters have got the LD leadership race about right –
Does anyone know why the Govt isn't using one of the existing tracing apps? I assume technology issues of some sort specific to locality. How are they going to do manual tracing for people you have been close to who you don't know when not using the app? Eg Southend beach or the tube. Is it not possible to utilise the… -
Re: The overnight scorecard looks bad for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Can someone please explain to me the obsession with "outside London"? Has London been towed to France or something? All three main party leaders represent Greater London constituencies. As for outside London, if one frames it was Lab v. Con, the Reds win. In a two horse race, as at 8.50am, the Tories had lost 56 council… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For the second consecutive day YouGov’s UKIP share moves to
For rating UKIP prospects, I remain of the view that it is easier for UKIP to get to 33% than to 45%. So three horse races (or 2 1/2 horse races) look altogether better prospects in general than two horse races. Then there's the question of targeting. UKIP have a big decision to make: do they shoot for the moon and risk… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tory hopes of benefitting from a first time incumbency bon
@edmundintokyo If they had run away to Croydon, an arrest would have quickly proven to be stupid and they would have been released within hours as no crime has been committed. Extradition is something that takes days and their dying child is being separated from them long term as a result. Just wait until these parents get… -
Re: This bodes ill for Boris Johnson – politicalbetting.com
What American orbit? As we've already established, Trump had a totally different policy on Ukraine to either May or Johnson in 2019. The maximalism has been a long-term policy of the UK since at the very least Salisbury, if not before then. Its not just Boris Johnson who deserves credit for the support offered to Ukraine… -
Re: Lab’s by-election record has been mediocre – politicalbetting.com
Small hours reflections on Trump. There's another set of Indictments (the fifth) being worked on in Arizona, for his and his teams's attempts to steal the 2020 Election there. Given that parts of his former team have already started to peel away, and some are cooperating with the various prosecutions, or are testifying in…