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Re: Will Elon Musk be proven right? – politicalbetting.com
I gave a strong answer to the question though 😌 I’m with Janan Ganesh, who has been pushing this route to growth for donkeys ears. Right wing free market economic think tanks have been calling for someone to climb aboard bulldozers and flatten bureaucratic planning laws, red tape and nimbyism that’s been holding UK back… -
Re: Hunt moves to favourite in next CON leader betting – politicalbetting.com
On which subject, I mentioned here a month or so back that a friend of mine had offered a house for refugees and a group of friends had been getting it set up - after a frustrating wait for visas I'm happy to report that 6 of 7 family members arrived on Thursday - all pleased to be here, especially the four year old girl… -
Re: Mid Beds: the by-election where there’s no current vacancy – politicalbetting.com
Well. I am going to praise Andrew Bridgen and Laura Pidcock. Someone has to. Why? Andrew Bridgen made an allegation in the House of Commons yesterday on behalf of two of his constituents that by 2014 the Government (as well as the Post Office) had evidence that they had been wrongly convicted. Bear in mind that, if true,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson on what Carswell’s defection could mean for 2
Thank you. On this point - "Should holding and expressing an opinion, in itself, be grounds for punishment or discrimination" I would say this. No-one (outside the EU) has a right to come and live here. So there is no punishment involved in not letting people in who can only come here by our invitation. So if we think that… -
Re: Ayrshire hotelier wins the GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
Let’s cut out the waffle and make this practical Let’s say GPT5 or 6 absolutely aces any Turing Test. It is extremely intelligent, it is funny, profound, wise, and helpful - it appears to have a personality: wry, wistful, yearning, sagacious, maybe over sensitive at times (all this has been glimpsed in early models). It… -
Re: Some Farage bets – politicalbetting.com
Sixth-generation wire-maker blames Brexit for shredding its business Owner of Ormiston Wire in London urges Keir Starmer not to forget small manufacturers in his dealings with EU https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/sep/07/sixth-generation-uk-wire-maker-blames-brexit-shredding-business ...Make UK, the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lib Dem incumbency: immune to government?
A retired vet woke to find a police torch being shone into his face when officers raided his home after the RSPCA received a tip-off that his two pet dogs were being maltreated. A total of 13 officials – police, firemen and RSPCA officers – turned up unannounced in six vehicles at 70-year-old John Spicer’s home and broke… -
Re: October’s polling sees very little change in the big picture – politicalbetting.com
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Re: What some Trump backing Republican donors get told if they don’t make their gifts recurring ones – p
Given that I would envisage this being primarily about decisions like going to war, I see little to no harm in gridlock. I would prefer that five people have to be convinced to send in the Navy, rather than a cowed PM who has just been on the receiving end of a tongue lashing from the White House. Indeed I think it gives… -
Re: A BoJo 2022 exit still not an evens chance in the betting – politicalbetting.com
I’m good thanks Rog. A little sad to be ending my holiday, and spending my last couple of hours drinking beer and eating nuts in a dog park by Girona station. But the “Ace” has been really pissing me off. He seems to be held in reverence here by some for his military “expertise” or his lunatic driving or his anarchism, but… -
Re: Break open your cage and VOOM: New policies for the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
BBC: Why should broadband be taxed so there can be a nationalised dancing contest on telly every Saturday night? What’s liberal about that? LVT: deferring payment until point of sale will simply serve to reduce the already poor liquidity of the uk housing stock. Tuition Fees: what is liberal about asking lower paid non… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Thinking the Unthinkable – how’s this going to be paid for?
The weak point is probably the fact that large numbers of people are still working as normal. Some are essential. But others aren't really. I see quite a.bit of construction work going on.A vast amount of deliveries, and there has been no social distancing enforced or even enabled at my brother's sorting office where… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first post leadership elections’ poll has Swinton’s party
It is generally accepted that the convention of not clapping is not universal eg for major occasions. I find those who regularly flout the convention because they think it makes a rebellious statement lame on the extreme but it has never been followed all the time. I dont have my Erskine May in front of me but I dont know… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden might be topping the polls for the Democratic nomination
That would only happen after a VoNC. I suppose it's possible that May might choose to deliberately lose a VoNC in order to trigger the process but it seems convoluted. In any case, it's not for any incoming PM to have to demonstrate the confidence of the House in advance, or for the Queen to require those assurances. See… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast: The LD fight back and
Mostly sounds good but why stop at 1M?! When Macmillan was Housing Minister, 60 years ago, the UK built almost 300-500k homes per year. I disagree with removing the triple lock because over 65s only on the basic pension are very poor. It was left to wither away by Thatcher and has only slowly been recovering its value in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : February 20th 2014
I am not a big fan of South African wines, but that sounds interesting. I do like a Southern Rhone, and generally blended reds are better than single varietals, excluding pinot noir perhaps. The Birstall byelection sounds interesting. It is a northern suburb of Leicester, not as posh as Quorn or Rothley, but more upmarket… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Super Tuesday: Trump and Clinton didn’t quite get the predi
It won't. As an example, people have been predicting the collapse of the euro for several years, saying it couldn't possibly survive the forces against it. The reality is it has limped on, driven by political rather than economic imperatives, and simply inflicted greater and greater hardship on some of its inmates. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remain’s long term problems
Once the primaries are over I expect Trump will try to reinvent himself as something more Presidential and play down his populist blowhard image. Unfortunately he has alienated too many groups to put a winning coalition together and like Boris he is always one step away from saying something stupid. Women are half the US… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: Local Election Polling Day (May
In NI, we have both local council elections for the new merged councils (going from 26 to 11) and, of course, the Euros. We have also had the absolute implosion of NI's newest party, the god awfully named NI21 which started as a liberal unionist party under the auspices of two ex UUP MLAs (Basil McCrea & John McCallister).… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: September 25th 2014
A new betrayal theory to fuel Scotland’s Neverendum campaignReaders will be familiar with the five stages of grief: denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance. In the wake of its 55 per cent-45 per cent defeat in the referendum on independence the Scottish National party is going through something similar:…
