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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling finds REMAIN voters far from being reconcil
I bet if this had been an allegation against a candidate with the machine backing of GOP or DNC, all the minions would have been all over the inconsistencies / issues in hours. It is where Trump is totally exposed, when shit hits the fan, he is isolated and very poorly advised / doesn't listen about how to react. It is so… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling that could be key to how the LDs might do bette
As an outside observer I was taking aback by the venomous, personal nature of the anti AV campaign. Carswell and Reckless were entirely avoidable. The former should have been given a constitutional task, the latter should not have been selected. Farage is Cameron's creation. Come off it. The nationalist movement has been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Time for Britain’s greatest county to stand up
All the recent mass killings in the US have been perpetrated by individuals with very clear, very severe mental health issues that had been identified and acknowledged by the family as well as brought to the attention of the authorities, the California, Colorado and New England ones spring to mind. The issue isn't guns or… -
Re: Thistle do nicely, a 16% return in 9 months? – politicalbetting.com
“Has any one of you gentlemen ever thought that there's not a cannon factory south of the Mason-Dixon Line? Or how few iron foundries there are in the South? Or woolen mills or cotton factories or tanneries? Have you thought that we would not have a single warship and that the Yankee fleet could bottle up our harbors in a… -
Re: Can Sunak really win back CON to LAB switchers and retain power? – politicalbetting.com
Brains Trust: Can anyone point me to a good detailed analysis of the budget documents? As ever, that is where the devil is. Housing Market Support: I see that Mortgage Support has been changed - the 9 months required on certain benefits before people can request to turn their mortgage interest / capital repayments into a… -
Re: Kamala Harris declining sharply in the WH2024 betting – politicalbetting.com
In binning off free movement we have created in some sectors a massive labour shortage - of course wages have risen and sharply in some cases. But as has been pointed out, investment into higher wages is stealing talent not creating it - the shortage in drivers is still there despite Tesco opening the chequebook. Nor will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON drop 5 in latest ComRes phone survey to equal the party
Scotsman - Lord Ashcroft: On the trail of the Scottish Tories "Despite the party’s shrinking vote share, there are potential Tories at large in Scotland. As well as the small “Tory Core” – loyal Conservatives who always turn out – I found a group of what I have called “Reluctant Cameroons”. These people, one in six of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on a windy day and LAB still struggling to win CON con
Scotsman - Lord Ashcroft: On the trail of the Scottish Tories "Despite the party’s shrinking vote share, there are potential Tories at large in Scotland. As well as the small “Tory Core” – loyal Conservatives who always turn out – I found a group of what I have called “Reluctant Cameroons”. These people, one in six of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Since the end of October only one survey from a pollster other
My work has been both a benefit and a curse. The huge benefit is that for perhaps 95% of the year I am not allowed to drink as I am either on call or on taxi duty for kids. A strict personal no drink drive policy means my supping time is extremely limited. That suits me as I absolutely love good alcohol and it means that I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Checking the Political Weather in Wales
Evening all. Been out campaigning today, 10 hours of solid leafleting. Shifted about 4500 of the buggers. Still feel that the Tory vote is relatively solid in my patch. Pockets of kippery, it may well be because having killed the Lib Dems locally 2 decades ago and the Labour Party locally has disintegrated of late people… -
Re: Who will the GE2019 Tory don’t knows end up voting for? – politicalbetting.com
PB really just boils down to a few kilobytes of text. The decades of technological advancement hasn’t really made informed, in-depth political discussion any better, has it? Perhaps there’s been some advancements in polling (MRP?) which have taken advantage of increased computing power, but basically the big advancement… -
Re: Political betting dominates the news – politicalbetting.com
From Andrew Teale's by-election (council) preview: "In recent local elections this corner of Oxfordshire has been an unmitigated disaster area for the Conservative Party. At the 2015 local elections the Conservatives won 33 out of 36 seats on South Oxfordshire council and 29 out of 38 in Vale of White Horse. Nine years… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A worrying Christmas present for TMay and the Brexiteers from
I was surprised how people reacted to the death of Diana. A taxi driver told me about the crash whilst I was returning from a club in the early hours, and once I got home I put on the news and watched avidly. But a few hours after it was announced she had died, I'd gone from shock to apathy. My then-GF had a German father,… -
Re: Now there’s talk of a confidence move against BJ – politicalbetting.com
The Covid panic flap on the continent continues to accelerate: France has now started to circle the plughole, despite its numerous restrictions (including a wide-ranging vaxport scheme and compulsory gagging all over the place, including for primary school children.) Daily new cases were up 54% yesterday compared with last… -
Re: Make the Nation happy again – switch off social media – politicalbetting.com
I was listening to that Alistair Campbell/Rory Stewart podcast last week - they've been very good and balanced in looking at this latest flare up in the region and explaining how we got here, going back to the Romans, via WW1, Lawrence's promises to the Arabs and the Balfour Declaration, the Holocaust, 1948 and the wars… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on when the new Labour leader will be announced
The way that the Met Office story has been covered has got under my skin. The BBC have had the tenacity to ask whether the Met Office is right for them. They have invited other bidders and will consider them. And if, of course, the Met Office may well win. Indeed I think that is likely - I was once told only the Norwegians… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE2017 heralds the return of two party politics
Everyone will find out about the rally tomorrow night anyway. Two observations I'd make about it: (1) Boris is clearly, now, more of a Number 2 to May than Hammond is. Rudd isn't far behind, but Boris has been over the airwaves *a lot* over the last week - make of that what you will (2) This seat strikes me as having… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Memo to Mr. Salmond: Don’t now throw it all away like Kinno
Exactly right, and in fact providing that type of DR capability is an offshoot of my own business.One client of mine has two identical facilities in different countries. They are exact down to the detail of if you move a filing cabinet in one you have to move it in the other to mirror the change. In the event of a disaster… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other side of the table. How the EU is shaping up to appro
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Re: Not looking good for Sunak as he approaches Truss levels – politicalbetting.com
This is a great example of the double-standards that prevail within British political debate. If a similar figure in Labour had advocated for such a change of policy the discussion about it would be dominated by recurring all the times they had voted for the 2 child benefit cap, ridiculing them for the u-turn. When a Tory…
