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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes make Michael Gove favourite to succeed Rudd as HomeS
Peers are preparing a fresh attempt to block Britain’s departure from the European Union in the House of Lords tomorrow, it has been claimed. Lord Callanan, a Brexit minister, said a Labour amendment due to be debated tomorrow would remove the Government’s power to negotiate with Brussels, handing it instead to Parliament.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the TMay successor betting the BoJo price slumps
The Tories may have dug a bit of a hole for themselves there. They can hardly argue about overreactions when they were calling for a by-election over some, admittedly appalling (and I wouldn't have been too sad to see the back of him) words, and then call a political witch hunt on actual harassment, even if as in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Full round up of this week’s local by-elections with news o
@Hertsmere_Pubgoer @Socrates I don't want to come over all Tap, but... There is a lot more to Simon Walsh's case than most people know (I know him well - not a friend, but definitely a friendly acquaintance). He was a very effective chairman of the City of London Police Authority. He made life difficult for them - he had… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TNS poll has the Tories ahead whilst their appears to be pr
?? Can't say I've heard that analogy before, though google suggests you are referring to the dead cat strategy? I'm sure it used to go by another name. Distracting the argument away from what your opponents want to talk about doesn't seem like it needs a fancy name - in my house it used to be called the 'Tory government'… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB most seats slips to just a 40% chance making it the bes
There has been a lot of discussion on here about what happens in the event of a narrow LAB win (most seats) but not so much a narrow CON win. They would presumably seek a continuation of the coalition, given the effect of the last one I'm sure the Lib Dems would extract a high price, namely -abolition of the Bedroom Tax… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ex-top Trump aide says expect a big anti-Clinton Wikileaks
Crap! Vanilla swallowed my comment. so repeat. There's no point going around the houses each night on PB about what we personally think about Brexit. The decision has been made and it's going ahead. Some of us voted Leave because we thought it was time to take back sovereignty and Brexit would have a beneficial to neutral… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s looking like a no-deal brexit or else an Article 50 exten
Here In summary: The Sovereign could refuse a request from the Prime Minister to dissolve Parliament if three conditions were met: - if the existing Parliament was still "vital, viable, and capable of doing its job", - if a general election would be "detrimental to the national economy", and - if the Sovereign could "rely… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on Theresa May’s new anti-terrorist measures
Yes - in fact you'll find they will do it during the election too, since only correspondence relating to the specific constituency counts against spending limits (apart from the high national limit). It's a loophole. Cameron can write to you ever day between now and May 7 and so long as he's writing to other people too, it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The hurdles Hillary has to surmount are getting higher
Moderate, undoubtedly. But competent? Medicare, Whitewater, Lewinsky, 2008, Libya, emails, Syria, Iran... I have to admit I am struggling to think of one major success she has pulled off in a long career at the top (since 1972). Admittedly, I'm not an expert. Further, failures get reported more than successes. But in a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nothing up my sleeve
Yet another possibility is a vote of no confidence (VONC) in the government under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act. This would trigger a 14-day countdown to a general election unless a contrary resolution that “this House has no confidence in Her Majesty’s government” were passed. Of course, there is no guarantee that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes Buzzword Bingo on tomorrow’s Labour leadership de
1,000/1 shots: - "It is time for Labour to disband" - "We have been wrong about everything for ever" - "We deserved this, because we are cocks" - "Owen Jones is a total cockwomble" - "We are morally incompetent" - "We let children get raped because it was Asians doing it" - "We brought back filthy Dickensian workhouses" -… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show on Trump, Brussels,
There is a laxness in the smaller airports in Europe. However Brussels I would expect to be on par with Heathrow given the number of high profile targets that pass through. It basically comes from the inability to comprehend that being so nice they won't be a terrorist target. Unfortunately they are now being brought into… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Ashcroft phone poll, like Populus this morning, has CON
I don't remember who said it but my objection to the prediction of a recession next year was because the reasoning given was that 'they happen on average every 7 years so we're due one soon', which is an epic logical failure. Recessions happen for all sorts of reasons but clockwork timing isn't one (there is, as has long… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP no longer odds-on betting favourite to secure most vot
Victoria Steveley @vsteveley_utv 3m PM David Cameron's just off the phone with First Minister Peter Robinson after announcing enquiry into OTR letters: http://www.u.tv/news/PM-launches-inquiry-into-OTR-letters/5ac17453-1af0-40c5-b004-509c6790a91d#.Uw9inJ0QOIc.twitter … The announcement comes after DUP First Minister Peter… -
Re: There will be no May election – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn harking back to LAB’s GE2017 vote share is no solution
I think you can make the case that the EU has primarily been run in the interests of big business, and one of the justifications for the single market is that it creates a larger home market to make it easier for big pan-European businesses to develop, so this seems relatively explicit. However, I think this has been a… -
Re: No Sh*t, Sherlock! – politicalbetting.com
After all the family share trading stuff and now FTX, you would think we might see a sort of MP expenses scandal blow up where the media really focuses on all the dodgy financial shit that has been going on....but instead we have the likes of the NYT doing soft soap pieces on SBF. I thought Dave Chappelles bit on SNL the… -
Re: Why Ukraine was particularly vulnerable to Putin’s ambitions – politicalbetting.com
I've only been to a few hustings, but I've never been to one where a candidate has had half an hour to speak. But I've always gone with an open mind and a willingness to listen otherwise it's pointless going. If you *know* which way you're going to vote, why attend? -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Multiculturalism was buried this week, un-noticed
Brilliant analysis, Edmund: thank you. And a great article from David too: thanks again. Personally, I think there's another aspect to Trojan Horse, and that is the implications it has for Conservative Education policy. For example, how is Mr Gove going to check that the curriculum offered in schools is appropriate (ie… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two massive poll boosts for REMAIN with voting starting in
Pt 2 That's why I think voting to leave is in the interest of both ourselves and the other members of the EU. If the 2nd largest EU economy and 2nd largest contributor walks out the door it will force the other 26 countries to have a major reassessment of what the EU should do and what it shouldn't. Let's face it we've…