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Re: Nikki Haley now clear second favourite for the GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
I think there's less to Haley than meets the eye. She's been after the White House for a long time and has played quite a canny game so far. However, those decent political skills mask, IMO, a bit of an emptiness underneath. Though overall, that wouldn't be a bad thing for America or the world. As you say though, Trump's… -
Re: Labour’s poll leads continue – politicalbetting.com
‘Revealed: Furious Boris Johnson ‘threatens legal action’ over biography’s claims about Carrie’ - Exclusive: The prime minister was distracted for hours by allegations in Lord Ashcroft’s book, sources say Boris Johnson spent hours in a state of fury in No 10 after claims about his wife were published in the serialisation… -
Re: The message is getting through to CON MPs and more are wearing masks – politicalbetting.com
A harrowing but necessary primer on the rise of the Jalisco cartel ‘García, whose son César Ulises disappeared in 2017 and has not been found, described the macabre routine of such relatives as they sifted through excavated remains for those they had loved and lost. “You see these things up on the screen and say to… -
Re: The French election markets are too confident – politicalbetting.com
Afternoon all :) A lovely afternoon in East London - I drop in for a quick perusal and it's all about the "I" word. The problem with the immigration debate is it's a jungle of nuances, misconceptions, differing experiences and goes beyond simple economics to touch on deep-rooted cultural and social attitudes and mores. In… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » BMG polls brings good news for both sides
Farage, Farage, Farage, the latest bogeyman of REMAIN...... Let us demonise him say REMAIN just as they tried with Boris. Your Farage comments might be a mildly interesting personal view from a sample of one. Presumably you came to that linkage of Farage entirely by yourself? It may also be entirely coincidental that last… -
Re: The Tories, just like Game of Thrones but with more sex and backstabbing – politicalbetting.com
Four hours in. £508 through the till, £300 of which has been cash! -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We shouldn’t look much past Lindsay Hoyle as next Speaker
Some previous projects I have worked on I have been able to work from home, while other people on my team have been working from Italy, Ukraine, Russia, Poland, Ireland, etc. On my current project the project manager insists on me travelling down to London each week, and I'm considered eccentric by taking the train rather… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Father of six who has never been a minister nor changed a napp
I think that's right. And I'm a bit doubtful about the family's motivations here. Sure, he's behaving unusually and it doesn't seem very wise, but why are they so desperate about it to the point of considering making their child homeless? Is he an unpleasant resident? Does their affection for him depend on his career path?… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest French polls not quite as good for Macron as they were
Labour party pledges to outlaw all zero-hours contracts https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/29/election-labour-mcdonnell-corbyn-zero-hours-economy But lots of people actually like them...and it will totally screw so many businesses if they outlaw all ZHC, no ifs, no buts. ZHC is basically just agency work under… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium sees the Tory lead up 10% in a week to 19%. Labour are
Betting question team - I put £5 e/w 1/5th the odds on a horse on the Betfair Exchange odds of Decimal 13. The horse was placed. They paid out £7 profit plus returned my stake. I think they should have paid out £12 profit plus returned my stake. My calcs: 13 = 12/1 12/1 x 1/5th the odds = 2.4 Therefore they should have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What I’m hoping to tell the House of Lords next week about the
No, David Davis, not Boris Johnson, is clearly the face of the negotiations, and Johnson seems so far to have been pretty well marginalised. There are two parties to these negotiations. One side has clearly entered them in a reasonably constructive manner wishing to talk about everything and published lots of detail on its… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some Royal wedding betting markets
FPT HHemmelig said: "Yeah, the US has definitely managed to round up and deport all the millions of illegals living there." My wife comes originally from a country that supplies the UK with immigrants, some of them illegal. She, of course, is here legally. But, since she runs a shop in a London market, she frequently… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s first PMQs buzzword bingo
Well, this has got serious all of a sudden! 1. That's rather a problem with God than with the Pope really. I don't like anyone telling me what to do either. Nor did my parents. I especially don't like priests telling me what to do. I think that has much to do with the Italian Catholicism I grew up with. But what… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
Leveson: Papers that hate human rights – except when it’s their rights One of the more remarkable features of the “war on Leveson” waged by leading British papers has been their willingness to appeal to the European Convention on Human Rights. In the cases of several newspaper groups this is the most flagrant hypocrisy.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Rolling back green taxes will create some CON branding issu
On topic: The premise is wrong. You can still be the 'greenest government ever' and change the mix of policies to reduce the direct effect on household budgets of the the various taxes and levies. Some of those policies look pretty inefficient to me, so there may well be room for reducing the taxes/levies without… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On this day before Osborne’s 2012 Budget ICM had the Tories
As others have already observed it wasn't so much competence that destroyed Osborne but the political idiocy of dropping all in this together. The Tories had done a very good job of holding together a perception coalition - cuts were needed, they hit everyone, and it was Labour's fault. The abandonment of the 50p tax rate… -
Re: How Betfair reacted to the failed Trump assassination attempt – politicalbetting.com
Eleven hours of Times Radio election coverage from a whole fortnight ago https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53ZuE4V5Jc0 Presented by Matt Chorley who iirc has been signed up by the BBC now. It is where I spent much of ekection night. Its budget of £2.50 meant there were no gimmicks like the main channels. -
Re: Liberal Democrat: Recovery or Resurgence? – politicalbetting.com
Not totally crazy. In the same way that Brighton got Londonised and then burst to infect the rest of Sussex, a similar thing has been going on with Cambridge and southern Cambridgeshire. For the Conservatives to survive in Ely/Huntingdon/St Neots etc, they need to come through the middle of a three horse race. -
Re: The Tory leadership will be decided in the nomination race – politicalbetting.com
There's what is possible constitutionally, and then there's what is possible politically. Constitutionally they could be PM as a Lord. We'd have PMs Questions in the Lords, presumably general government questions to the Leader of the House in the Commons. Politically you'd think it would be untenable, particularly if… -
Re: Where the race stands (0510 GMT) – politicalbetting.com
I'm not sure about that, personally. Trump's public background is in TV, and the 24-hour media spectacle of twitter has also been central to his presidency . He's already shifted the norms of US public life and office to the extent that BIden has already felt compelled to tweet in quite a different and more routine way…