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Re: Trump acolyte Lindsey Graham to fall victim to the blue wave? – politicalbetting.com
What is the probability that Biden wins every state? Just to an order of magnitude. Is it 1 % or 0.1 % or 0.01 % ? -
Re: READING THE TEA LEAVES: A LOOK AT NORTH CAROLINA EARLY VOTING – politicalbetting.com
I didn't ask for anything. Someone else asked. I added context. 2% of the country signing a petition is not small in the world of petitions, but petitions are small in the world of... well in the real world. -
Re: Hunger for change. The messed-up debate about free school meals – politicalbetting.com
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Re: If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1320385240171511809?s=20 -
Re: My logic for bailing out of the spread betting markets on this year’s White House Race – politicalbe
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Re: Announcing the PB WH2020 election night Zoom “party” – politicalbetting.com
+1 to @Nemtynakht. This week the R number has started to move down for the country as a whole, which was before any impact of Starmer's politicking, Burnham's self-promotion, or Drakeford's behaving like a Corbynista Traffic Warden. Can't comment on chippy Nicky - I've been ignoring her. 16 October - 1.3-1.5 range. 23… -
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
Your "argument" is apples & oranges & kiwi & god-knows-what all mixed together - a real fruit salad! First, someone said that it's NOT a long line because of social distancing. Then yours truly said ANY line this early is by definition impressive. Then you say that early voting in person is true sign of intensity, to which… -
Re: Why Isn’t Labour Cutting Through? – politicalbetting.com
If only the East Germans could have ordered blue jeans, plastic carrier bags and rock and roll cassette tapes online.... -
Re: The post debate betting moves just a touch to Trump – politicalbetting.com
If I were Boris I think I would be pretty happy with this stuff going on at the moment, on the basis that the goose being cooked is Rishi Sunak's. -
Re: The final debate: Trump better than last time but this was no game-changer – politicalbetting.com
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Re: As we go into the final WH2020 debate Biden edges up further in the betting – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Where are the defectors? – politicalbetting.com
Preparation for a concentrated 3-month period of intensified stealing -
Re: At the 2018 midterms, the last time US pollsters were tested in national elections, the Democrat mar
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Re: If Florida flips, as the polls are suggesting, then Trump is doomed – politicalbetting.com
Florida appears a dead heat. Another one going to Trump on election day. Trumps voters appear more solid and will react to Obama speech last night with a determination to vote. -
Re: Home truths about Covid-19 – politicalbetting.com
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Re: What makes the Texas battle intriguing is the historic polling understatement of the Democrats in th
i) We already have a minimum wage, otherwise the best the government can do is ensure most own a property and build up some assets. ii) The link is based on iq which is largely inherited and little the government can do about it -
Re: The Johnson/Cummings power grab is in danger of undermining democracy – politicalbetting.com
https://twitter.com/MikeClarke2020s/status/1318852800420380672?s=20 -
Re: Unlike WH2016 Trump’s opponent this time has strong positive favourability ratings – politicalbettin
Khan is Bailey's best and only hope. I think this dynamic where the Mayors and devolved assemblies are trying to find a way to be seen to be different is really very unfortunate. I'm sure that they're mostly doing what they think is best, but being a little different is a plus rather than a negative factor, particularly if… -
Re: Is it 1948 redux? A lesson from history. – politicalbetting.com
If you assume that the only purpose of a high tax rate is to increase tax take. That is not an assumption everyone will agree with.