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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Well this is turning into quite the volte-facemasks from Boris
I think this is too pessimistic. London is not a pure tourist / office economy though agree much of the fluffier stuff is - approximately 3.5 million people live in Inner London. That is approx the population of Berlin. House prices and rentals may shift, but they won't be vanishing in the couple of years it may take to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a Year of Revolt, what’s in store for 2017?
Happy new year all. Apologies for not putting together either my return to my 2016 predictions(probably my worst ever even by my low standards) or my view on 2017. I've been a bit tied up. For what it's worth, I agree with much of David Herdson's analysis. He should be terrified. A few extra thoughts. Theresa May should be… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Big news from Westminster is that there are LAB calls for E
The blank piece of paper was always a huge mistake and I said so at the time. Labour needed to think and debate carefully what they were for and what sort of a future they believed in. That might have looked divided and messy from time to time but so what? If the outcome was a credible policy for government they simply… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Getting on for a third of all votes at GE2015 could be tact
Sharp piece on SLAB by Holyrood magazine, the apolitical journal for the Scottish parliament and its doings. 'Labour’s pains ..With just six months to go to the referendum, Scottish Labour seems moribund. The vote on the welfare cap reveals the inherent flaw because this is a party still ruled by Westminster and it has its… -
Re: What do we think of the Desantis WH2024 camaign slogan? – politicalbetting.com
PBers from OGH onward are getting their knickers in a twist over the ALLEGED national slogan for impending DeSantis for POTUS 2024 campaiagn. "Make America Florida" will NOT be THE campaign slogan for RDS though it will likely be used (to a degree) in the Sunshine State. As has been noted, most Americans do NOT perceive… -
Re: A Lost Decade – politicalbetting.com
Thank you Trump and Speaker Johnson. Russian strikes completely destroy key Ukrainian power plant https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-68788110 A major power plant near Kyiv was completely destroyed by Russian strikes early on Thursday, energy company Centrenergo said. Trypillya power plant was the largest provider of… -
Re: The betting as at 0417 GMT – politicalbetting.com
Yes that was me and they don't look nearly so smug now. The Democrats have really done well in this cycle. It is hard to get a clear comprehensive picture but so far the Dems have gained 3 House seats and lost 8. A lot of the closest races still to declare, of course, but the idea of a red wave has been binned. Fetterman… -
Re: Johnson now just a 27% betting chance of going this year – politicalbetting.com
Afternoon all :) No Stodge Saturday Patent today - keeping what embers I have alive for Royal Ascot starting on Tuesday. I was told by a friend to "bet the house on BAAEED" - I'd better not, Mrs Stodge might be upset if I have to tell her we'll be leaving in the car for a few days... Catching up on the morning debate about… -
Re: The LDs take Chesham and Amersham with a 25% CON to LD swing – politicalbetting.com
Is this what they meant by Singapore-on-the-Thames? A British man was arrested and now faces up to six months in prison in Singapore after he was filmed on a train without a mask. Father-of-two Benjamin Glynn, 39, claims his passport has been confiscated and he has unable to return to the UK with his family whilst he… -
Re: Nadine’s going to have to put up with more Tweets like this – politicalbetting.com
. This is nice from the Guardian: ...Millions of words will be written about him in the next 48 hours. I’ll offer a detail that sums up his career more than any other. Nobody, not even Sir Ian Botham, has been player of the match in three Ashes-winning victories. Broad has: the Oval 2009, Durham 2013, Trent Bridge 2015.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As we approach the slightly later than planned day of reckonin
The same happened with Thatcher of course and the famous "no such thing as society" quote. Listen to the full quote and nobody reasonable could disagree with it. Take it out of context and its twisted to mean the opposite of what she was saying. I think we have gone through a period when too many children and people have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Clinton does win the popular vote then it’ll make the polli
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Re: Will Johnson ever be able to shake off partygate? – politicalbetting.com
Haven't started Picard season 3, the first two were so awful so I'm waiting until it's all out to watch it. On the latter it's because modern TV writers have planet sized egos. They can't admit they got it wrong, season 3 has got a new writing team after Paramount sacked the original team after season 2 flopped. The… -
Re: Cooper moves to third in the SKS successor betting – politicalbetting.com
That’s good to hear. Like most I’ve been pretty put off by much of the government’s output the last year but I actually thought Boris came across dare I say, as Prime Ministerial today. If the booster hotline is ringing off the hook then he’s done his job. A shame Philip’s school has ignored him on nativity plays though.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Corbyn and his fans should be hoping Trump wins the White
Superficially I could agree with TSE's analogy. However, there is a problem with accepting it. Trump is essentially in a head-to-head with one other candidate (also a weak and divisive candidate). He is a household name. He is a significant figure in business. He has had his own TV show. He is also actually quite an… -
Re: The final battle of WH2020 – the Georgia run-off for two senate seats – politicalbetting.com
Thinking of this in terms of incipient coup or even global strategy is way off base. Trumpsky is simply firing more people, like he likes to do, if you haven't noticed. Upper echelon of his "government" has been perpetual musical chairs for four years. Why should he stop now? Keep in mind that "You're fired" is the phrase… -
Re: If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
Pelosi (whatever one thinks of her) has actually been very effective in herding the Congressional cats; Feinstein, in contrast, looks every bit a relic from another age. And yet at the same time, Buttigieg was briefly a genuine prospect to be the youngest presidential candidate since Kennedy, and AOC in a very youthful… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Night Hawks is now open
Looks like the Mercer story gets messier Tony Gallagher @gallaghereditor 4m Mercer was paid £4,000 as part of a contract he believed would earn £24,000. This cash has not yet been declared. Tony Gallagher @gallaghereditor 51s Mercer boasted he had persuaded 20 MPs to back his Fiji group #mercer Tony Gallagher… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remember when the BBC’s Woman’s Hour asked David Cameron and D
That might be right, but I'm not sure the SNP causing chaos in the House of Commons would necessarily piss off Scottish anti-independence voters that much. If the Scottish Parliament/Government was still ticking over as usual, but the British Parliament has been ground to a halt and the government is unable to get its… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At the last Gorton by-election the Tories, led by the visionar
Inner south-east Manchester in the mid-to-late sixties was a different place to what it is now. There were many leafy middle-class areas (Fallowfield, Rusholme, Levenshulme) whose large houses have since been split up and multi-occupied; the student and Muslim vote in these areas has grown massively. For the culturally…