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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How Ed Miliband compares to his predecessors
Boost for Trudeau's Liberals in Canada With the Conservatives ensnarled in the biggest political scandal in their seven years in government, a new poll suggests Justin Trudeau’s Liberals are en route to winning a massive majority in the next election. More than four in 10 Canadians, 44%, said they would vote Liberal in the… -
Re: The Lib-Lab pact that isn’t but could still hurt the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Not really. For me it's about riding a horse across country *on a wholly unpredictable route*. The trouble with the current pretendy substitute is that you know in advance that the route has been planned by a human being, with all the elf n safety considerations that entails. Nobody goes hunting to "see an animal ripped to… -
Re: Stodge and MoonRabbit’s Cheltenham Preview – politicalbetting.com
It’s a game of three halves. Or more. As it has been for a long time. Good middle class job + a smaller mortgage on a good property = “I hear things are tough for some” Bottom end job + mad rental rates = “I’m fucked” Retired from bottom end job = “I’m fucked, but I enjoy life more” Retired from a high end job on massive… -
Re: Last night’s debate brings no happy ending for Bobby J – politicalbetting.com
FPT: (Jump to last 2 paras for the Disabled MPs thing.) That's interesting, and I disagree. I'd say that Type I does meet the EA2010 definition, and Type II does sometimes. Without rabbit-holing for case law around "long term effects of progressive diseases under EA2010" and so on, I sometimes see Type I used as an example… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Index Case. Dealing with Covid-19 inside our care homes
Oh I agree, and with the odd exception its been refreshing to see PB Tories openly calling out its failings. But we are friends who share an interest in politics and society. Its in the wider world where this is a problem - social media doubly so. Absolute lunatics on Facebook community group incensed that a councillor… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If there’s no referendum on the Osborne plan for an elected
I agree. Ashcroft's polls do tend to bounce around a bit and a 7% drop wouldn't be out of the question but I don't think it's likely starting where it is (i.e. at the low end of where the Tories have been polling). I also don't see any good reason why the Tories should suddenly drop that far. Likewise UKIP. Ashcroft's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris Johnson can lead Britain out of Europe – if he’s ser
They may recognize it. But they still deprecate it. Cruz would not have been eligible to be an intern at the White House, before relinquishing his Canadian citizenship in 2014. Obama probably still wouldn't qualify for that, despite occupying the Oval Office for 8 years... The phrase doesn't need to be 'clarified'. It has… -
Re: R&W has the worst voting poll in months for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
I think that is part of the answer. People look at this (and @Dougseal had the same response) and say "but look at London!". London has always been different for many reasons - rich and poor typically lived a lot closer than many provincial cities, the cost of housing meant people had to seek bargains etc. Go outside that… -
Re: David Davis slams the voter ID requirement – politicalbetting.com
*slicing onions* I wonder how many peers had new ones made or the old ones refurbished in the last few months? https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronation-robes-banned-king-charles-29716823 'Viscount Torrington, joint chairman of the Hereditary Peerage Association, who has not been invited to the Coronation, said:… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Get well soon, Prime Minister
(FPT) I think government needs to be a little more proactive than that (as it ought to have been in dealing with the pandemic outbreak). ‘Finding a balance’ is too passive an approach. There are whole sectors of the economy - retail; leisure; commercial real estate, for example - which will very likely not return in to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The number of Tory MPs elected on December 12th will determine
This is one of those smelly ones where neither Gyimah or Dent Coad come out well. Gyimah because Dent Coad does seem to have been some distance from detailed discussions on the Grenfell refurb. Dent Coad because she has repeatedly used the same approach as Gyimah to tar all the Conservative councillors as complicit, even… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If UKIP is a bit on the wane then maybe there are some good
So its because it was or might have been dangerous? But why should anyone be surprised that he would risk a bit of danger to show solidarity. In any event he was surrounded by journalists. (Warning satire alert). In reality he has guards doesn't he? On top of that the place was swarming with police and the attackers had… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
A few points from Oldham. First of all the labour man is clearly and understandably well thought of, he seems a thoroughly decent bloke and good luck to him. Looking at turnout the wider electorate is absolutely sick of politics, around 1 in 4 even bothered to vote, taking into account postal votes the % of people… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first months of a Corbyn government
Disagree entirely. Kicking cans down the road isn't 'bringing order' it's delaying making some tough decisions. Corbyn, as a populist who says what people want to hear, would be good at it, of course. But that doesn't mean it would be helpful. In fact, it would economically and socially be the most damaging outcome of all.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first of Lord Ashcroft’s weekly phone polls has CON 2%
This is, of course, one poll. Insofar as it shows a Tory lead of 2%, it is line with recent results showing a Labour lead of 1%. Given that Lord Ashcroft uses his own methods, the divergence is hardly surprising. The fact that the Tories are ahead is not a validation of latter day Joachims of Fiore, such as Dr Fisher at… -
Re: WH2024: the early primary States – politicalbetting.com
The Israeli military says in the last hour three explosive devices were detonated close to its troops in two locations in the north of the Gaza Strip, which it says violates the "framework of the operational pause”. It says that in one of the locations Israeli troops were shot at, and they responded with fire. "A number of… -
Re: Ministers are not handling the COVID inquiry well – politicalbetting.com
I’m not predicting “disaster”. I am noting that British trade policy, post-Brexit, is not on course with promises made by Leave. This gives me no satisfaction. British growth has been fucked for some time and any sane person who looks at the situation points to Planning / Housing Infrastructure Industrial Policy Regional… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM Phone poll sees Leave 4% ahead. A fortnight ago Remain
You might as well ask whether you'd swap to get a horse into Downing Street. It is about as likely. Leave is Labour's disaster as well as Dave's. It has been totally invisible and has made no effort to run any kind of serious campaign. Clearly this is because the leadership is not that bothered about the result. The unions… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The pollsters might have to start applying a shy Labour fil
There are some rather amusing quotes from union leaders about Corbyn This made me LOL, it has the reek of What Have We Done about it “I’m honestly shocked at how bad the operation has been for the past 48 hours. I honestly thought [Mr Corbyn] would be better than this.” -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP are betting favourites to win in just five seats at GE
The Lib Dem MP for Eastleigh has just been on Radio 5 over a story in the Daily Mail. It turns out that some of the Christmas cards he sent out to constituents were unstamped, meaning that they had to go to the sorting office to pick them up, not knowing what they were, at a cost of £1.53.…