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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you are betting on the Trump exit markets be careful to che
Who is they? The 25th amendment requires two thirds of both the Senate and House for the President to be removed. The Republicans are only defending 8 out of the 51 seats they hold at the mid terms - mostly in solid red states with strong candidates who are a lot more electable than Roy Moore. I just don't see the politics… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nearly two in three voters don’t approve of the way the govern
It is pretty easy to see why he is not popular - he has no principles. This is a guy who always portrayed himself as a eurosceptic. The moment the referendum arrived, he switched to remain because he thought they would win. When he became Chancellor, he seemed to support hard Brexit and spoke about how the UK could become… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New study finds that in the key general election marginals can
I think it's definitely lower than it has been in the past? http://www.newstatesman.com/2017/06/long-read-how-political-parties-lost-working-class "the image conscious [Conservative] party published a second edition of a pamphlet, entitled the Party of Opportunity, designed to showcase the working-class credentials of 29… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Antifrank on the impact of the big Lords Individual elector
ANTIFRANK Another most interesting article just like the ones you wrote on potential Boundary Changes last June and July. As no legislation is necessary for the next Boundary Changes and as Cameron still wishes to reduce seat numbers to 600, what do you and others of course think will happen politically please? 1.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some analysis of the Tory leadership race and why the hardline
The Wikipedia page for the Tory leadership contest has Javid on 17 backers but the actual number on the list is 15 so the total should be 16 with Javid himself not 17. It's been like that for about 48 hours. If anyone has editing rights for that page perhaps they could correct it. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A 2019 general election moves up in the betting as the pressur
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If they hadn’t have gone into coalition the LDs would likely h
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » FBI officers in Florida make pre-dawn raid to arrest Trump ass
The link doesn't suggests that there's reason for unalloyed pleasure. For example it says that 'two-thirds of the growth in employment since 2008 has been in ‘atypical’ roles such as self-employment, zero-hours contracts or agency work.' Although it must be conceded that the rate of growth in this are has slowed recently. -
Re: Tory members want Badenoch but will she make the final two? – politicalbetting.com
Agree, see also BigG's response and others. The difference is when it was introduced, heating your house was a pretty minor expense if you were on even a low to mid salary. The last couple of years, it's been very different. As I say, why should my tax money subsidise a single pensioner at 68 rather than a single mum with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jesse Phillips moves to second place in the Corbyn successor M
Giles Coren, in The Times yesterday. “ Yesterday morning, after eleven mostly unhappy and pointless years, I left Twitter. It’s no biggie. Nor is it because of something that has happened on there but rather something that happened in the real world (IRL). You see, as 2019 turned into 2020, the topic that was trending… -
Re: Time to bet that Le Pen won’t get on the ballot – politicalbetting.com
Firstly, UKers? Don’t you mean limeys? Secondly. I said he would be gone yesterday, for me there hasn’t’ been nearly enough plod prodding big dogs nuts… Actually, that made me think. Did Nut Nut get a questionnaire as well? Students were getting felt up by plod for having house parties, if Nut Nuts not on the payroll she… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the measles outbreak continues YouGov finds that UKIP vo
I am not sure what is driving the increase in UKIP vote at the moment. I think it is many things - some of which I agree with and some of which I don't. Clearly the ongoing Euro crisis and the response to it by the EU has had some impact. The disregard the EU has shown to the wishes of the populations in Greece and Cyprus… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s time for the Tories to embrace PR
Lots of interesting points made this morning and made very politely too, which is nice. However, the debate has been on how to best elect representatives to the commons, I would suggest that is to put the cart before the horse. Our present system has come down to us from one that evolved to deal with the two party politics… -
Re: The Rise (and Fall?) of Cressida Dick – politicalbetting.com
Way Off Topic - NYT ($) - Mushballs and a Great Blue Spot: What Lies Beneath Jupiter’s Pretty Clouds NASA’s Juno probe is beginning an extended mission that may not have been possible if it hadn’t experienced engine trouble when it first arrived at the giant planet. For something that was to have been done and thrown away… -
Re: What would be happening if Corbyn was still LAB leader – politicalbetting.com
While it's been likely for some time, it is not without its risks. Firstly, no one is going to watch Tucker's show. Secondly, what if someone really shines in the debate? (Not only that, but the NYTimes polling has shown what the most effective line for Republicans is: "yes, I like former President Trump too. But with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What price democracy?
The decision that everyone has been waiting for: Arron Banks v HMRC http://financeandtax.decisions.tribunals.gov.uk//judgmentfiles/j10730/TC06768.pdf This case is about whether gifts to UKIP are exempt from inheritance tax. The legislation (section 24 IHTA 1984) requires MPs to have been elected to the House of Commons at… -
Re: Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com
Another possible Trump VP pick? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhJZI3VeTNI Addendum - A North Dakota lawmaker is removed from a committee after insulting police in a DUI stop BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) - A North Dakota lawmaker has been stripped of his committee assignment as calls have grown for him to resign after he blasted… -
Re: LAB’s VAT on private education plan set to be big issue – politicalbetting.com
VAR has just taken back my France/Tunisia draw winnings! My tactic this World Cup has been to bet against the team most physically tired in the last half hour or so, and the Tunisians were out on their feet so I backed the draw (ie France to equalize). -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters give the Tories a 67% chance of winning most seats but
Indeed. To some extent, I think any Labour leader would have been seen as insufficiently remainy to Lib Dems. After all it wasn't that long ago Chuka was telling people leaving the single market was an acceptable price to pay to introduce immigration restrictions. Ed Miliband wanted to be tough on immigration etc. The Lib… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The internal squabbles in Mr. Corbyn’s Labour – part 105
On the not really a coincidence front, a media outlet in Morocco claimed that a number of intelligence agencies in Europe and North Africa were alerted to a possible plot for multi national attacks by IS sympathisers on New Years Eve. Not too many hours after, the Belgians pick up a couple of people on suspicion of…
