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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: The YouGov LAB leade
That argument works better the other way: the historical success of the Conservative Party has been a function of its ability to hand over to electorally credible national leaders. Baldwin had substantial success with pre-war housing and rescuing the nation from the Great Depression. Macmillan was able to build a strong… -
Re: The July 20th by-elections – Could the Tories lose all three? – politicalbetting.com
On topic: Yes, I expect the Conservatives to lose the lot. Kicking useless Governments at by-elections is tradition, and this lot are supremely useless. Best wishes also to OGH with the recovery. You're obviously far from the only person with the means to shell out for private treatment who has done so to avoid years… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Local By-Election Preview by Harry Hayfield
Now, barely half an hour later UKIP has shortened in P&S to just 10/1 ! Either Shadsy is on here looking and acting on what's said and/or a fair bit of money has been wagered with the Magic Sign on precisely this bet. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this Ed Miliband’s route back to the Labour leadership?
I am sorry Nick, you did say it was an intellectual exercise. I wish I had kept the quote now. It must have been about week or so ago. I greatly admire the fact that you have dedicated so much time to public service. While you were doing that I was spending 80 hours and more a week building companies. So I think we have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The next out of the cabinet betting
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Mandate
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE2019 – the result with two seats to be declared
There's potential for quite a bit of activity in 2020 that has been backed up for months or years, put on hold waiting for Brexit to deliver some clarity. The housing market could start moving again. Investment decisions unlocked. Peope might start spending a little more freely. There could be the start of a feelgood… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Miller expenses case has touched a raw nerve that neith
Prime Ministers in glass houses might be ill-advised to take that line, although I doubt Ed Miliband will bring it up either since he doesn't need to. It is not Miliband or Labour that has been making the running on this. Miliband might be more likely to ask for the PM's assurance that the new Minister will be equally… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Rochester & Strood looks set to bigger even than Eastleigh
Well if we are talking about the House Of Lords forget the hereditaries its the fact it is stuffed full of establishment party stooges (particularly Labour). We need to purge the lot of them! That said it surprises me not that someone of the more extreme Labour tendency would happily defecate on voters democratic equality.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Predict the outcome of May’s London Mayoral Election in the
Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district includes the entire city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs. Errm GOP not filed there ?! Edit: The seat has been held by Democrat Mike Doyle since 1995. In the 2006 election, he faced Green Party candidate Titus North and returned to the house with 90% of the vote.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Clegg thinks there are votes to be had in pursuing a fi
You should read the article it's a very good one written by a journalist who knows China well. Oh and he and Blanchflower and all the other Keynesians haven't been proved wrong on the economy. The economy is only now picking up since the deficit reduction programme has stalled and the government decided to intervene in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unless Salmond can find a way of turning the oldies in the
Interestingly for this discussion, Sky News about to repeat a feature on how the immigrants to Scotland are going to vote on 18th September. One man featured is a Syrian refugee and the venue is some community hall, presumably in the East End of Glasgow judging by the accent of the locals interviewed. Probably near the Red… -
Re: LAB is grossly over-priced in the GE majority betting – politicalbetting.com
In other news: John Bercow has been found guilty of bullying House of Commons staff by the standards watchdog and banned from holding a pass allowing him access to parliament buildings for life.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on whether or not we’ll have another EU referendum bef
I still break out in a cold sweat over the June 27th. Scheduled a thread to go up at 5am, climb into bed at 1am, and get an alert that Hillary Benn has been sacked, so have to write a thread in bed, whilst desperately wanting to go to sleep. Wake up a few hours later find several other shadow cabinet ministers have… -
Re: Meanwhile, in the Treasury… – politicalbetting.com
Boris Johnson had to stand down as PM because he was a lying toe rag who had been found to lie to the country, Parliament and his cabinet colleagues, several of whom eventually had enough of being sent out to tell lies for him and quit. The fiasco of Truss's premiership (as his preferred candidate) has not changed this. It… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Clinton is being urged to challenge the results in three key s
The totally OTT MSM fuss about supposed 'fake news' - including Obama claiming it swung the election against Hillary tells me they're feeling very threatened. Trump has his POTUS bully-pulpit and a Twitter/Facebook/Instagram account that reaches 25m without a RT. He posted his 100 Day plan on YouTube. He's not playing the… -
Re: The six seats on the LD by-election watch list – politicalbetting.com
Nope. Far from it. Have had numerous ones. Have lived in the same Police Authority ever since and moved house once. The stage I am stuck at, for forty days and counting is the one where they check the Police computer for any criminal record or other breach (which I don't have). The administration, ID, List 99 has all been… -
Re: Longstanding PBer, DavidL, gives his forecasts for the new year – politicalbetting.com
Currently it is taking 3 years to get cases to trial. 3 years. In some cases longer. The "scrotes" have been caught and charged. But it will take years before they are tried. And the longer the wait the greater the chance of a Not Guilty verdict. Plus the pain and stress for victims and witnesses as well as for people who… -
Re: Today the US MidTerms – the final final chapter – politicalbetting.com
An executive summary that is longer than 30 pages is a report. Governance matters, of course it does. I've written enough headers making that point. But this smacks of being seen to do lots of stuff but not addressing substantive issues which really matter. What does it say about social care? About the usurious interest… -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2025 – politicalbetting.com
The Lords stopped Gove abolishing it - opposition in the Lords with a significant Opposition component. The new Govt put forward new proposals in July, which afaics introduced more flexibility, it seems at a quick examination to do with application to broader categories than each individual sites. I don't think it is clear…
