Search
-
Re: It’s looking like ajockalypse now for the SNP in the early results – politicalbetting.com
While it's been obvious from market for a few hours Corbyn has won, that much of a difference is pretty astounding -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » That Boris could be so afflicted brings home in a powerful way
You are very funny at times and remember 'pride comes before a fall' However, you have your own opinion on masks no doubt influenced by your time in the far east, but the truth is that the use of masks has not been proven and is not generally used in the west You sneeze at 70mph and a mask is useless as the droplets… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Theresa May will be hoping for another polling industry fa
I thought he lost during Woman's Hour. :-) I have difficulty in believing the election will be decided on this issue. Maybe elections could have been in the 1980s, but it's a very different world now. The security issue people are most concerned about is suicide bombers, and you can't deter them with a strategic nuclear… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Politicalbetting.com: Ten years old today and still going s
Congratulations Mike. To keep something like this going for 10 years is an incredible achievement. Personally I think I have been here about 5 years and on many, many occasions I have turned to PB for better insight on the issues of the day than the MSM does. I particularly remember Edmund's posts about the Japanese… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Migration to New Server
It has been claimed there is not much love lost between Trump and Pence. If so, then from the President's point of view, accepting Harris is much the same as accepting Pence: just the price that must be paid to secure the White House. Remember for Trump, everything's a deal. This makes it very hard to know what he actually… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Absolutely likely. Everyone (bar DC, no not that one) has been stuck at home with no soaps, no sport, no anything and are therefore following the news closely than they normally do plus unlike most of the other issues, lockdown touches everyone. No one cares, really, if Hugh Grant's phone is hacked. Everyone cares about… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden trailing badly in terms of the enthusiasm of his backers
Yes definitely. Even before this crisis I was only going out of the house twice a week due to my caring duties. Even that level of getting out and not being isolated at home was very very hard to cope with. One of my coping methods has been spending a lot of time on here. And in crisis, there is Samaritans. Phone number:… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Rishi Sunak – tipped here for next PM when he was 200/1 now 25
Is this one of these new "constitutional principles" which has been invented JR-M style? Have you forgotten Heath criticising Mrs T? Or even MacMillan doing so very publicly in the House of Lords? Or Mrs T criticising the policies of her predecessors? And letting her criticisms of John Major be known? Yes - it appears you… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A reminder of how well each pollster did at last month’s Euros
It may depend on whether there's "a plan" - such as a cross-party candidate as an alternative. That is safer ground for many MPs (even if the initiative subsequently comes to nothing) than a VONC aimed straight at a GE. Another attraction is that it pre-empts Corbyn insisting he be given a chance, which would be the normal… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s last-ditch bid to stop its Remain backing voters swit
My ballot paper has not made it to Berlin, and even if it arrives tomorrow, I fear it is too late to get it to the council house in time. P.S. before anyone suggests it is because I registered too late, I have been registered as an overseas voter since I moved here and have voted in all other eligible elections. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Next week could see Bercexit if some Tory Leavers have their w
I go for a walk around a reservoir a couple of miles from my house. I have never seen it this empty at this time of year, not even close. Its more like August. There are well established areas of grass that should be under several feet of water. The trails in the wood too are positively dusty. It has been an incredibly dry… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A reminder that national nomination polls at this stage in
The average rebellion rate for Tory MPs in the last Parliament was about 2.6%. Zac Goldsmith is a serial rebeller on 9.5%. http://www.publicwhip.org.uk/mp.php?mpn=Zac_Goldsmith&mpc=Richmond_Park&house=commons This is why Zac has never been promoted to a government position in spite of his ability. Other serial rebellers… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The biggest barrier to a Tory Leaver succeeding Mrs May might
> @Cyclefree said: > Brian Walden has died at 86. He supported Brexit - though had been an Anti- Marketeer even back in the 1960s. > > A bloody good interviewer. And apparently made a very fine speech in Parliament against capital punishment. He was a great House of Commons orator - the Chamber filled up when he was about… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly this election becomes a lot more difficult to call
No I doubt it. If anything the government will recover in the next few days once they U-turn on a few of the bad policies. Everything that has been done can be undone. Boris was clearly preparing the ground for it today on house stealing, I expect it to come for Northern WFA soon as well. That will take the sting out if it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even if Labour secures an early election it is hard to see how
Really? He was a junior Minister, a Cabinet Minister and a very good Chancellor, all over many years. I've no idea what sort of a constituency MP he has been but his voters seem to like him. He is still in the House at an age when many have retired. He doesn't sound like the laziest MP around. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just two months left for Corbyn to achieve his Glastonbury boa
Student fees, public sector wage cap and housing seem to be the major areas of Tory policy apart from Brexit. These are being pursued because of Corbyn, while the core Tory policy of social care has been abandoned. UKIP drove the national agenda from outside parliament, now Jezza is doing the same. This is a Tory… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Kamala Harris makes strong start to her WH2020 campaign and is
A splendid reductio ad absurdam that nearly avoids my original point that freedom of movement has been a blight on the poorest in society, driving down wages while increasing competition for houses and public services. Moreover its clearly damaged community cohesion. Such sweeping societal changes require the consent of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Away from the dramatic political events in the US tonight’s Lo
The Democratic Party is moving left after the defeat of Clinton centrism and will almost certainly pick a left liberal, if not Warren then someone in similar vein. In retrospect after the defeat of the moderate Romney in 2012 the GOP picking a populist conservative in the form of Trump was not that surprising and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP the big gainer with Ipsos-MORI while LAB retains a lea
-
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And as Marf reminds us today was the day when LAB published
I'm currently buying a house in Norwich South- a bastion of green, liberal, utopian loveliness. I'm not kidding, I surveyed the whole English property scene, and saw that Norwich South ticked most of my liberal, lefty boxes. Oxford North has been tainted by Blackwood. and having to walk past the research lab on my way into…
