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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other polling news tonight – ComRes has the NHS moving
TimB Hillary has always been very dry and calculating, she also got out of the Obama team at the right time. She may not be that charismatic, but she is the most ruthless presidential candidate since Nixon with a political brain to match, and I expect her to win the White House at the second attempt as he did! -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Osborne’s tax credits dilemma might be solved by the Lords
How does the HoL being democratic allow it to do its work in a better way? It's quite possible that a democratic HoL would do its job worse, and be in continuous argument with the HoC. Time for the HoL to be a House of Experts, something the HoC has never been, and something which fits its role much better. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What’ll be critical in the next week or so is whether this
Wasn't it always assumed that Bush would be the establishment choice, which to the distant observer seems bizarre as Hillary sitting in a jail cell would still beat him in a race to the White House. The Republican establishment has been going through a Corbynite phase at the moment, its more important to be ideologically… -
Re: The first post-Christmas poll has LAB leading by 26% – politicalbetting.com
As we're talking about education, I'll share this story. My sister's eldest is in year 2 at the primary school across the road from their house. At the beginning of December, my sister received an email from the school saying that her daughter's teacher had resigned with immediate effect citing personal reasons. As it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s local By-Election: The detailed results
Tim A few other gleaned tidbits. 1. The speculative flight path as shown on the linked map represents only 2.5 hours flying time. MH370 would have had at least 4.5 hours (assuming no extraordinary fuel loss) and maybe up to 7 hours (depending on its initial fuel loading which hasn't been released to the public). So the end… -
Re: Politics over past year as seen by the betting markets – politicalbetting.com
Morning all, may have been commented on earlier but the NY Court of Appeals (the highest court) has overturned the Democrats’ redistricting plans in NY and gave it to a neutral expert to draw up. Fairly big blow for the Democrats for the House - the original plans would have seen the likely GOP seats go from 8 to 4. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Allies of Boris worried that Tory MPs will practice safe X to
Lots of very bad mistakes get made. Whole countries have gone Communist in the past. As to "do or have taken the stuff", we all know people who are or have been tobacco smokers. Lots of them have survived unscathed. That doesn't make smoking ok. The "apocalyptic stories" tend to be sober and factual court reports of people… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Considering that we inherited a deficit almost on the same scale as Greece, the fact our reforms have seen a slight decrease or no change in child poverty depending upon the metric is good news. In Greece the line where we would draw child poverty at would see almost the entire country beneath it now. That is a nation that… -
Re: Johnson was right to announce his departure when he did – politicalbetting.com
Americans also very rarely vote for POTUS due to foreign policy. Current outlook is gas (petrol for us) prices have stabilised and even reduced, and the Dobbs decision has been more harm for GOP in electoral terms. Outlook for November is a GOP House and Dem Senate, which will mean no legislation is passed for 2 years. If… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory survival plan is based on the Lib Dems staying str
There has been much talk on PB about the population at large failing to feel the effect of the economic recovery as measured by economic metrics such as GDP growth, inflation or Real Household Disposable Income. I have countered to some posts by pointing out that there are a number of indices based on confidence surveys… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB hold the Cowdenbeath Holyrood by-election on a 12.5 per
There has been much talk on PB about the population at large failing to feel the effect of the economic recovery as measured by economic metrics such as GDP growth, inflation or Real Household Disposable Income. I have countered to some posts by pointing out that there are a number of indices based on confidence surveys… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bercow going in the summer opens the way for a Buckingham by-e
I have read all 155 pages of the Cox Report. If Bercow had any understanding of its absolutely withering criticisms and any honour, he would resign this evening. It is well worth reading. It paints a horrifying picture which ought to shame MPs and the House's senior management. It describes a culture where MPs and staff… -
Re: Putting two fingers up to Biden on Ulster is a big gamble – politicalbetting.com
The early 2000s seem a long forgotten utopia of cheap food, cheap fuel, cheap money and rising asset values all predicated on cheap resources and cheap labour. Each of these has from 2008 has been undermined - the last to fall is cheap money and it is affecting our entire economic and political culture. Those of us with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If winning the Euro elections had been a good general election
> @TheScreamingEagles said: > I’ve been out of the country the last few days, has anything important happened in British politics in the last 48 hours or so? If the measure is whether Lord Falconer has resigned, then no..... -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Richard Nabavi says EU leaders should remember European histor
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB’s “Labour insider”, Henry G Manson, marks your card for
A man cleared of raping a woman has been ordered to give police 24 hours' notice before he has sex. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-35385227 -
Re: Keeping Score: My 2021 Roundup – politicalbetting.com
This has always been a bone of contention at NYE for me. Jools Holland is a NYE institution. Sometimes I've ended up at houses where BBC1 is on for NYE, and it is utterly joyless. JH might ne filmed 2 weeks in advance, but manages to capture the joy that NYE should be; BBC1 gets the arbitrariness of the date change but… -
Re: Could this explain the Betfair market? – politicalbetting.com
Owen Winter @OwenWntr · 41m A million polls an hour but Harris's nationwide lead has been 1.5 for six days straight https://economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/trump-harris-polls https://x.com/OwenWntr/status/1851945602377990253 -
Re: Johnson’s lockdown gift to Starmer – politicalbetting.com
Perhaps we should remember it was the coverup that did for Nixon, not the break in. In fact, for many years there was no conclusive evidence to show he had ordered or even knew about the break in (although we all knew he did, of course). However, one point does quite alarm me. Is it true the Met has said they will not name… -
Re: State of the Union, Election Day – politicalbetting.com
The queues to vote in the US would disgrace a banana republic. I've never had to wait longer than five minutes in the UK so my endurance level has never been tested. But I suspect it would be less than two hours.
