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Re: Tory elections expert Lord Hayward reckons that new boundaries give a 5-10 seat bonus to his party –
I would add: Gatherings over 1000 people require a lateral flow test first. It’s surprising how much difference that single NPI can make. -
Re: The Boundary changes – the winners and losers – politicalbetting.com
My "bet" (theoretically speaking) is that 95.46% of the boundaries just recommended for England will be implemented. What do actual experts think? -
Re: The Ipsos-MORI Economic Optimism index jumps to its highest level for six years – politicalbetting.c
My constituency of Dundee West includes bits of Angus (where I live) and Perthshire. I really don't see what the fuss is about. There is no need for Westminster and local authority boundaries to align. -
Re: By far the biggest concern of MPs today – what’s happening to their constituency in the boundary rev
Windrush happened though because of a cock up by the civil service destroying records they deemeed no longer of use. Then people couldnt prove it because the records had been destroyed I believe at the time the home office minister was jack straw, it was incompetence rather than malice. As for convicted criminals well… -
Re: Will the controls all be lifted on June 21st? Now there’s a betting market – politicalbetting.com
Currently in the entire SW of England there are 13 patients in hospital with covid, and only one on a ventilator. I struggle to see the issue with relaxing social distancing and removing mask requirements for entertainment. Its summer, vaccination continues apace and the vulnerable are as safe as they are likely to get.… -
Re: This is why Friday was National Fish and Chips Day – politicalbetting.com
The Case Fatality Rate for Hong Kong Flu is estimated by the WHO to be < 0.2% The Infection Fatality Rate for Covid must be greater than 0.56% since that is the population death rate in Peru, and it's unlikely that the whole population there has been infected. The Case Fatality Rate for Covid is likely about twice that of… -
Re: A reminder that the polling mode can impact the result – politicalbetting.com
Because Oxfam says we`re guilty. On the 'too much access to hotspots' thing, it will be interesting to see where the current "Right to Roam" campaign goes, bearing in mind population density and that England's 225,000km of Public Rights of Way are not exactly overused. -
Re: Could Johnson be tempted to go for an early election – just after the new boundaries come into effec
The latest conspiracy theory is that there is a new thread. Don’t believe a word of it! -
Re: The Chancellor’s controversial letter to Chesham and Amersham voters – politicalbetting.com
Suspect that a high % of "Off Topic" hits are mistakes, where the PBer was trying to register a "Like". Know that's happened with me. Would it be possible to move the "Off Topic" button, say next to "Flag"? BTW, what is THAT supposed to mean? -
Re: England’s R rate getting above one casts a shadow over positive holiday news from Spain and France –
Tricky for government though? Trend in infections going up, hospitalisations flat, does it mean remains flat thanks to vaccination or just taking time to hit the 2k+? Tricky because having declared freedom, difficult to then undeclare freedom? -
Re: After the Portugal decision the front pages are entirely predictable – politicalbetting.com
"Lucky" is not the way it's being characterized by Belize media. -
Re: The holiday hopes of thousands get dashed as Shapps moves Portugal back to the Amber list – politica
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Re: The big dividing line in British politics – retirees who gave Johnson his majority – politicalbettin
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Re: After what’s being seen as a good interview with Piers Morgan Starmer recovers a touch in the “Next
Don’t think so. The budget approves taxation, not expenditure (or to the extent parliament approves expenditure it approves maximum limits, which this wouldn’t fall under). I think. -
Re: Fourteen months after becoming leader Starmer makes his first appearance in front of a live studio a
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Re: As UK COVID deaths drop to zero the front page of tomorrow’s Daily Mail – politicalbetting.com
The one I mentioned below - house in multiple occupation pushed to the max. 2+ adults per room - even a bathroom converted into a bedroom. I voted remain, by the way. But I don't shut my eyes as to why it happened. -
Re: Trump becoming an even stronger betting favourite for the WH2024 Republican nomination – politicalbe
Politician, like all of us, make mistakes all the time. If Diane Abbot had said £300,000 when she meant £3 million, or even £3 million when she meant £3 billion then you would have a point that she was unfairly picked on. She didn’t. Listen to the interview (or just read the transcript). Do you have any idea what the cost… -
Re: Supporting a better infrastructure is fine until it is your house that they want to demolish – polit
Exactly. Businesses will be forced to continue operating at half capacity but without furlough. Customers will break lockdown - thus increasing the risk - but businesses will not benefit. It's lose-lose. -
Re: Comparing the latest polling – pollster by pollster – politicalbetting.com
Been to the Sandia Lab and to the (very impressive) museum of the nuclear bomb. Reminded me of Sana'a in Yemen (the landscape, if not the city). -
Re: “Probability factor of one to one. We have normality. I repeat: we have normality. Anything you stil
WHill have reduced Lib Dem Odds down in C&A down to 8/1 (from 10/1)... still not that attractive but anyone got a sense if a David Steel`surge' is happening?