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Re: Raynergate isn’t cutting through – politicalbetting.com
In terms of my travel, leaving the EU has made absolutely no difference. When you get on a cruise ship in Southampton, I reckon on 15 minutes from dropping the cases with the porters at the terminal to stepping on board. The record was 9 minutes on a 45% full ship just after Covid - it has been half an hour on a full ship… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Dominic Cummings Should resign (from a fan)
Well, let's see. Since the month of the EU referendum, we have seen off two prime ministers, had two general elections, a political party was briefly created then vanished (CUK - remember them?), Nigel Farage briefly topped the polls, the entire country has been put under house arrest and the president of the United States… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As Trump’s rating slump even more it’s now odds-on that he won
This newsweek article and cover seem to have it right. Trumps executive orders are often over trivial things. Trump is Ted Bundy: http://www.newsweek.com/2017/08/11/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-gop-white-house-potus-bannon-643996.html?amp=1 Trump has done bugger all apart from golf and twitter in 6 months. He has been West… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Might Balls be Labour’s answer at 100/1?
High house prices certainly do help people downsizing - the relative differnece between ones current selling price and what one has to pay for the new, smaller, home does really change much. The idea that a lower pound is good for exporters is one that I have been reading about for most of my life but it seldom seems to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : March 3rd 2016
If she is indicted on national security, misuse of classified information and public corruption charges, she is gone. More accurately the party will ditch her Because you can't run for office with those kind of charges. It may be legal but it's not realistic. She is already way underwater on 'honest and trustworthy' and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Since TIG was formed the Tories have enjoyed leads of between
The European Union is poised to tell Theresa May that she must hold a second referendum or soften Brexit in return for them granting a lengthy delay to Britain’s departure date. The Times understands that the prime minister has been told by senior EU officials and other European leaders that conditions for an extension to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on the year of Trump’s impeachment
Martin Armstrong has done an excellent paper on impeachment with his conclusion being that the rules over impeachment can pretty much be made up as you go along - the you being as the 'powers' wish. I don't think it's a certainty that the Democrats take back the house. The US economy will do pretty well this year as it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Like September’s @LordAshcroft poll latest constituency pol
Stand PB Hodges...Stand! Don't forget between now and the GE there will be swingback, Ed will be crapper, Balls will be even crapper, Dave will look fantastic, the Universal Credit will be a success(oh wait there), the housing boom, wages will be 10% above inflation, petrol will be 50p a litre, there will be a crossover in… -
Re: So why haven’t Team Boris announced the names or his candidacy? – politicalbetting.com
Another complaint that has been made weekly ever since I have been here (2009). Cf the old joke "Punch isn't as funny as it used to be, but then it never has been." I can promise you I am watching developments and prices like a hawk because of an imprudently large Sunak lay position, and that makes me aware that other… -
Re: Yet again the Oxford stranglehold on No.10 continues – politicalbetting.com
It's the coalition status that kills it. If the left could have managed a big tent coalition, the polls would have been about 48/44 and it looked like game on. But M5S have made themselves uncoalitionable in the last fortnight, so the likely result now looks more like 48/35 and MPR showing a majority of 80 on a 400 seat… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tipping point. Why Scotland’s ultimate independence now looks
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Safe for now – but for how long?
I don't want to *blame* anyone. House prices have inflated under both Labour and Tory governments and mass immigration has been a feature of the last seven years, as well as the previous 13. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this is what is driving the Tory lead?
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Re: Was Jack Cade Right – would society be better with fewer lawyers? – politicalbetting.com
This is the key bit: "As I have written before in these pages, it is a pre-planned strategy. The machinery for legal guerrilla warfare is already in place. Mr Trump’s operatives knew there would be a ‘blue switch’ towards the Democrats late in the process as postal ballots were counted last, and knew that this could be… -
Re: The big MidTerms loser – one Donald Trump – politicalbetting.com
The point is that it establishes an expectation of the result. First, that can demoralise your opponents and cause them not to bother queuing for three votes to cast a supposedly futile vote. Second, when you underperform your polls you can claim that there has been electoral fraud. The GOP has historically under-performed… -
Re: Was the CONHome members’ survey the driver of the re-shuffle? – politicalbetting.com
Morning all. Interesting events last night. On streetlights, we have been on that one as a country for about 15 years, and now about 60% of streetlights are leds , which are not necessarily cheaper to run than sodium (orange) lights, but are more directed and last far longer. If you want to know the lifecycle cost of a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New London poll finds Sadiq Khan heading for a first round vic
January 21st is, according to Mr Speaker, the absolute final deadline for the MV. On the 21st Jan, May must come the house, announce no deal has been reached, and trigger the failsafe procedures in the Withdrawal Act. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What happened when Guido got into an after dinner discussion w
The idea that the will of the majority of the British people could be thwarted by a rag-tag bunch of bishops, fops and political has-beens and never-wases is a total disgrace. Time to shut down the House of Lords, once and for all. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on Mrs May outdistancing Mrs Thatcher’s tenure as Prim
A bill to take the US out of the United Nations has been introduced to Congress by a former member of Trump's transition team... https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/193/all-info -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As we await the Lord Ashcroft polling this afternoon
"Ukip are attempted to recruit Conservative MPs from under the noses of the Whips over glasses of beer on the House of Commons terrace. A number of Tory MPs have been approached to defect to Nigel Farage's party by a senior Ukip official working in the office of a member of the Lords. Matthew Richardson, a barrister and…
