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Re: Could more Tory MP defections be in the pipeline? – politicalbetting.com
TBH I think it is the other way round. Mainstream news outlets have generally been 24-48 hours behind the situation on the ground, compared to specialist sources. To me the normal MSM reporting in the normal news cycle has been dire, and the elements that have done OK sometimes are 1) The rolling summary reports from the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How Trump and his media acolytes got the coronavirus wrong
I started the move to my new home today. Came back to the place we’re leaving to find my daughter in tears. She had taken the dog for a walk along a footpath heading to Thwaites Fell. No-one around. An old woman came out of a house at the start of the footpath and started abusing my daughter, saying that she had no right… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Michael Gove: the next Tory Leader?
Today's article by Polly Toynbee is one of her best, because unusually she has been able to look at Labour's current positioning with some detachment. Her addenda are also worth reading. Key points for me: "Labour "overspending" has been successfully blamed for the size of the national debt, with the cost of the crash and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sunday Polling Roundup
George Eaton's 2p "...Privately, Miliband’s allies are dismissive of such intemperance. To a degree under-appreciated in Westminster, the Labour leader’s strategy has been shaped by the constitutional novelty of a fixed-term parliament. As one shadow cabinet member put it to me, “We know the date of the next election.… -
Re: Tamworth – the next by-election? – politicalbetting.com
Catching up on late world electoral news, I missed the Grenada election on June 23rd which saw the centrist National Democratic Congress (NDC) sweep aside more than a decade of absolute rule by the centre-right New National Party (NNP). In the last two elections for the 15-member House of Representatives, the NNP won all… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Behind all the terrible COVID-19 statistics a story of two wom
That's not the NHS, doctors or governments advice for returning to work. Returning to work from a near death experience has never been a case of all or nothing no halfway house. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Reshuffle talk
You are responding to a post of mine that has been deleted. Am I complaining? OGH House. OGH rules. If you don't like it post somewhere else. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Vox Populi, Vox Dei, the polling that explains why Mrs May
My understanding is that the Parliament Act enables the Commons to override the will of the Lords on ANY piece of legislation which has been delayed in the Upper House for at least one year. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Bercow does stand down then Lindsay Hoyle, surely, will be
Very well put. My old house has just been rented by a divorcee in her early 40s. There do seem to be an awful lot of them around. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM leader ratings in the Mirror make miserable reading for
Excellent news. The seizing-up of the housing market has been one of the prime impediments to economic recovery, with massive knock-on effects to lots of other parts of the economy. -
Re: Could Reform leader Tice benefit from BoJo’s travails? – politicalbetting.com
That's the other thing the last 48 hours has done. For two years, BoJo has done a remarkable job of holding the line that misbehaviour doesn't get you sacked. It's been an important principle for him. But we now have a sleaze line; anyone who behaves as badly as Paterson will find their position becomes untenable. Up to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Caught in the backwash. The SNP subsides and the Conservatives
F1: just under an hour and a half until third and final practice. The season so far has been immensely tightly balanced, and a key strength for Mercedes has been dominance in qualifying. Looking like that might be under threat (I wonder if that's due to the ban on oil-burning?). If so, Vettel perhaps should be favourite… -
Re: Opinium finds that the public mostly believed the claims made to MPs on Wednesday by Dom Cummings –
Why are we debating the minutiae of a wedding that we do not yet know was a wedding? Aren't we where we were with Megan and Harry - lots of speculating about an assertion by Megan that turned out to be wrong. It could have been a blessing after a Civil Marriage, for all we know. The commentary on Times Radio has crossed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I’m expecting Boris to fail in his bid to be Theresa May’s
This is at once astonishing, and completely unsurprising..... https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-trumps-washington/trumps-escalating-war-on-the-truth-is-on-purpose Only three members of Nixon’s enemies list are still alive. (Ron Dellums, a former member of Congress particularly loathed by Nixon for his anti-war… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this story is right then you should take the 4/1 on Mrs May
Thanks. Although that's an option only available if the same materials have already been extensively tested: " The report should be supported by test data which the test-house already has in its possession and so this option may not be of benefit if the products have not already been tested in multiple situations /… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not a bad set of weekend polls for Labour but doubts fueled
The Lib Dems are in a pickle over this because they can only get out of it if Rennard apologises. Since it is nowhere near the legal standard of proof and he's been hung out to dry by Clegg he is minded to certainly not apologise and the halfway house verdict the Lib Dems came to tars him 'morally' . Basically it comes… -
Re: Why I’m not convinced by LAB’S double digit poll leads – politicalbetting.com
I’m reporting from the front lines in Burgundy today so I can confirm it’s definitely not as popular here as in the UK, but people do know it’s on. The coronation on the other hand: I was just speaking to the estate agent who came to value our house for tax reasons (who has an interesting surname - see below) and he had… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The prorogue debate is a red herring: the question is No Deal
Great piece David. I do think there remains the prospect of Boris calling a General Election - if he puts a vote for dissolution to the House on its return at the beginning of September there is time for a General Election on 17th or 24th October. As has been pointed out No Deal is becoming popular amongst the stupid, so… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn found his voice on Thursday. Unfortunately, it was e
There has been some surprise expressed on here and in the media at the different audience reactions to the PM and Gove in the Sky debates. In my view it is not at all surprising. The PM has been at the forefront of British politics for 11 years. He is now at the same stage as Blair was in 2005.Margaret Thatcher did 11… -
Re: Criminal defendant Trump takes a tumble in the polls. – politicalbetting.com
Three phases to the Patriot uprising: 1 Bar traitors from voting. That is firstly by removing polling stations to make for long queues and a long journey to vote for democrats - already happened last time surely will just scale up this time. And have armed guards to drive away voters - again that happened last time in a…